Tropical Storm Alberto

[slosh]

I don't remember the specifics, but some models do not take into account that the system is overland and end p over estimate intensity. I don;t know how the GFDL reacts though.

[cpdaman]

christy what site did u get that water vap. imagery from

[wxman57]

I think I've heard about the dry air and shear in 70% of these posts, let's talk about something else other then how dry it is. BTW, remember last week when we talked about how the dry air was going to leave? What's going to happen within the next few days?

Shear will increase and the dry air will increase as the ridge builds over the Gulf coast. As I look at the enhanced IR loop, it's looking like the LLC is elongating and dissipating rather than moving anywhere. Shear does appear to be on the increase. If we're lucky, it may not survive the night. I think there's a better than 50-50 chance that first visible imagery tomorrow shows no LLC.

[Stratosphere747]

christy what site did u get that water vap. imagery from

Not sure where that one is from, but try..

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsdsol/main.html

And use either the 4km or 16km WV

[CHRISTY]

christy what site did u get that water vap. imagery from

hereu go....http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/

[wxman57]

It may actually be the storm's interaction with dry air that is creating more convection this evening.

Are we looking at the same storm? Convection has been steadily decreasing since about noon.

[cycloneye]

The wave east of the Lesser Antilles looks much more impressive than Alberto.

[CHRISTY]

hey have u guys noticed that now some models are no longer showing a florida landfall.PS!Take cover for the naked swirl....

[Cyclenall]

The wave east of the Lesser Antilles looks much more impressive than Alberto.

You read my mind! I'm putting my eyes on this next system that could do much more then ulgy old Al!

[Stratosphere747]

The wave east of the Lesser Antilles looks much more impressive than Alberto.

That's an awful harsh thing to say about Alberto...

Sad thing it's true.....

[brunota2003]

The wave east of the Lesser Antilles looks much more impressive than Alberto.

That's an awful harsh thing to say about Alberto...

Sad thing it's true.....

Lets try not to tick Alberto off now... j/k however, the wave does look better that Alberto ATTM

[Cyclenall]

I'm sorry but I just have to do this:

[Windtalker1]

Saving Grace.. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-ir2.html Looks to me that reinforcements of some moist strong Thunderstorms from the Yucatan is streaming into the center of circulation.

[CHRISTY]

Alberto to me is no more later tonight if not tomorrow...check out this loop.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/rtwx/ewall/SAT_GULF/anim8ir.html

[sweetpea]

Saving Grace.. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-ir2.html Looks to me that reinforcements of some moist strong Thunderstorms from the Yucatan is streaming into the center of circulation.

I have been wondering the same thing. What would happen if it did get sucked into Alberto?

[Brent]

Poor Alberto.

[Windtalker1]

Saving Grace.. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-ir2.html Looks to me that reinforcements of some moist strong Thunderstorms from the Yucatan is streaming into the center of circulation.

I have been wondering the same thing. What would happen if it did get sucked into Alberto?

I don't know...maybe someone else can commet.

[rockyman]

How's the old saying go...

The best way to get over the last one is with the next one.

[whereverwx]

This is a loop of Alberto from sunrise to sunset: Download link

It hasn't moved much.

[wxman57]

Saving Grace.. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-ir2.html Looks to me that reinforcements of some moist strong Thunderstorms from the Yucatan is streaming into the center of circulation.

Why would that be a "saving grace"? You want it to intensify? Well, those storms over the Yucatan fired up with afternoon heating. They'll not likely migrate out over the water. So no "saving grace". Alberto appears to be losing its LLC tonight. Good riddance!