Tropical Storm Chris

[StormsAhead]

SXXX50 KNHC 012359
AF303 0103A CHRIS HDOB 44 KNHC
2347. 1900N 06048W 00305 0049 106 032 236 212 032 00365 0000000000
2348 1859N 06050W 00304 0048 104 033 236 212 034 00363 0000000000
2348. 1858N 06051W 00305 0048 102 032 232 220 033 00364 0000000000
2349 1857N 06052W 00306 0048 103 033 230 222 034 00365 0000000000
2349. 1855N 06053W 00303 0047 105 034 232 218 034 00361 0000000000
2350 1854N 06055W 00306 0047 104 034 230 220 035 00363 0000000000
2350. 1853N 06056W 00305 0046 101 033 230 222 034 00361 0000000000
2351 1852N 06057W 00305 0045 099 032 228 224 033 00361 0000000000
2351. 1851N 06058W 00305 0044 103 029 222 222 031 00359 0000000000
2352 1849N 06100W 00304 0042 105 037 226 220 039 00357 0000000000
2352. 1848N 06101W 00306 0041 104 043 226 216 045 00357 0000000000
2353 1847N 06102W 00304 0039 104 044 222 222 046 00354 0000000000
2353. 1846N 06103W 00307 0038 099 041 218 218 042 00356 0000000000
2354 1845N 06105W 00302 0038 097 038 216 216 040 00351 0000000000
2354. 1843N 06106W 00306 0038 105 033 224 224 035 00355 0000000000
2355 1842N 06107W 00325 0038 107 035 224 222 037 00373 0000000000
2355. 1841N 06107W 00375 0040 112 040 226 212 041 00425 0000000000
2356 1839N 06107W 00345 0036 108 038 224 218 040 00392 0000000000
2356. 1838N 06108W 00331 0033 106 038 220 220 039 00375 0000000000
2357 1836N 06108W 00326 0033 109 042 224 220 044 00370 0000000000

[WindRunner]

Should be hitting the center in the next 20min or so.

[MississippiHurricane]

...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS FROM CHRIS SPREADING OVER THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF
ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...SABA...ST.
EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...ST. MARTIN...AND ST. MAARTEN. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.6 WEST OR ABOUT 45
MILES...75 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BARBUDA.

CHRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF CHRIS WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER
THE NORTHERNMOST LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS STILL INVESTIGATING CHRIS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MOST RECENT MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT
WAS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
EASTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...18.3 N...61.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

[CrazyC83]

Will this be the last pass through the center? I would assume fuel is running fairly low by now...when is the next mission?

[StormsAhead]

Will this be the last pass through the center? I would assume fuel is running fairly low by now...when is the next mission?

This will most likely be the last pass since they were only scheduled to be in the storm through 7:30 PM. The next flight will depart around 1 AM EDT.

[WindRunner]

[Rainband]

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wwamap/wwatxtge ... %20warning

Interesting

[MississippiHurricane]

speed of movement increased from 10 to 13 mph other than that it is still the same as the last advisory

[Windtalker1]

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=tbw&wwa=storm%20warning

Interesting

Very Interesting indeed...what do they know that we don't?

[WmE]

Hurricane conditions expected??

[MiamiensisWx]

Banding and consolidation appears to be improving as shear appears to have decreased slightly on this loop.

[Bailey1777]

A pro met on one of the other threads said he just talked to JB in length and that the general feeling right now with all the long range setups is that Chris will be a problem somewhere between SW Louisianna and Brownsville.

[Grease Monkey]

speed of movement increased from 10 to 13 mph other than that it is still the same as the last advisory

So will that have a noticable affect on intensity and the projected path?

[gerrit]

thanks AL.....I'm in St. Thomas, VI and hoping this thing doesn't do any weird turns to the west in the next 6-12 hours or so.....

Same here! I'm telling Chris: up, up up!!

[Grease Monkey]

Maybe we need a reporting live from chris thread.

[StormsAhead]

SXXX50 KNHC 020009
AF303 0103A CHRIS HDOB 45 KNHC
2357. 1835N 06108W 00329 0031 112 044 220 220 047 00370 0000000000
2358 1833N 06109W 00323 0029 114 048 220 212 048 00362 0000000000
2358. 1832N 06109W 00329 0027 117 049 218 212 050 00366 0000000000
2359 1831N 06110W 00325 0024 114 047 218 214 048 00360 0000000000
2359. 1829N 06110W 00327 0021 114 050 220 210 050 00358 0000000000
0000 1828N 06110W 00328 0018 110 048 216 214 050 00356 0000000000
0000. 1826N 06111W 00326 0014 108 050 212 212 052 00351 0000000000
0001 1825N 06111W 00328 0011 107 053 208 208 054 00349 0000000000
0001. 1824N 06112W 00327 0006 108 050 210 210 052 00344 0000000000
0002 1822N 06112W 00325 0002 108 046 212 212 048 00338 0000000000
0002. 1821N 06113W 00328 5002 109 034 224 224 038 00337 0000000000
0003 1819N 06113W 00327 5004 116 029 226 226 029 00333 0000000000
0003. 1818N 06113W 00326 5006 120 029 224 224 029 00331 0000000000
0004 1816N 06114W 00326 5009 118 027 226 226 028 00328 0000000000
0004. 1815N 06115W 00329 5011 114 029 228 224 029 00328 0000000000
0005 1814N 06116W 00327 5015 117 031 232 226 032 00322 0000000000
0005. 1812N 06116W 00326 5019 115 033 226 226 034 00317 0000000000
0006 1811N 06117W 00327 5021 111 032 226 226 032 00317 0000000000
0006. 1810N 06118W 00328 5024 107 032 224 224 033 00314 0000000000
0007 1808N 06119W 00324 5031 107 035 222 222 036 00304 0000000000

[Windtalker1]

A pro met on one of the other threads said he just talked to JB in length and that the general feeling right now with all the long range setups is that Chris will be a problem somewhere between SW Louisianna and Brownsville.

True he did say that but he said also "after it hit around the Miami area"

[jasons2k]

A pro met on one of the other threads said he just talked to JB in length and that the general feeling right now with all the long range setups is that Chris will be a problem somewhere between SW Louisianna and Brownsville.

True he did say that but he said also "after it hit around the Miami area"

Where is this? Thanks.

[WindRunner]

[Bailey1777]

On the Where will Chris go thread.