Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

raynpa · #1101 Postby **raynpa** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:01 pm

Convections looks like its building westward over the center. System might be getting ready to crank up. :cry:

#1102 Postby **cjrciadt** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:02 pm

With the lack of recon data and the "loco" model runs, this is frustrating day. :grr:

#1103 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:04 pm

could they send out another plane to replace this one?

#1104 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:06 pm

Definitly something is not right about this mission.Or they are having computer problems on board,or mechanical problems forced them to return to St Croix.

WindRunner · #1105 Postby **WindRunner** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:08 pm

I'm not suprised the 2pm didn't have anything, as the general public could care less about the status of the plane. However, I would expect to see somethig about this in the 5pm discussion if we don't hear/see anything about it sooner.

gotoman38 · #1106 Postby **gotoman38** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:25 pm

HMMPH
I hope they have some reports for us.... this is an important time in E's develpment.

#1107 Postby **TheEuropean** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:26 pm

gotoman38 wrote:HMMPH
I hope they have some reports for us.... this is an important time in E's develpment.

And I hope they will come home safely.

canegrl04 · #1108 Postby **canegrl04** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:32 pm

I don't want to sound like a fearmongerer,but I'm getting bad vibes with Ernesto

Hes going to be a monster in the Gulf next week. It looks like all the Katrina 1 year anniversary remembrances will be overshadowed by Ernesto

gotoman38 · #1109 Postby **gotoman38** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:38 pm

TheEuropean wrote:
gotoman38 wrote:HMMPH
I hope they have some reports for us.... this is an important time in E's develpment.

And I hope they will come home safely.

Amen.

These are some real warrior heroes navigating the big storms.

WindRunner · #1110 Postby **WindRunner** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:45 pm

Well, we can now confirm that the issue is with the plane, as the NHC is uploading data from a recently begun training mission perfectly well.

SunnyThoughts · #1111 Postby **SunnyThoughts** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:54 pm

TWC just reported that recon is reporting 66mph flight level winds...so apparently they are getting the info somehow.

Website · #1112 Postby **Brent** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:59 pm

URNT12 KNHC 261842
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 26/1754Z
B. 15 DEG 43 MIN N
71 DEG 07 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1415 M
D. 40 KT
E. 334 DEG 27 NM
F. 118 DEG 51 KT
G. 017 DEG 591 NM
H. 997 MB
I. 15 C/ 1523 M
J. 22 C/ 1511 M
K. 15 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345/8
O. 0.2/3 NM
P. AF304 0405A ERNESTO
MAX FL WIND INBOUND 51 KT NE QUAD 1718Z.
MAX FL WIND OUTBOUND 58 KT NE QUAD AT 1757Z'

tallywx · #1113 Postby **tallywx** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:02 pm

Plot of new VORTEX. Center is NE of presumed 2 p.m. NHC location.

Sure the GFS is on crack...but Ernesto seems to enjoy pulling to the north.

Damar91 · #1114 Postby **Damar91** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:05 pm

I'm not even going to say it.

#1115 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:07 pm

gfs may be right

#1116 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:07 pm

gfs/gfdl may be right

Damar91 · #1117 Postby **Damar91** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:09 pm

I'm not even going to say it.

#1118 Postby **Toadstool** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:16 pm

Damar91 wrote:I'm not even going to say it.

You better not... that is the one word the knights who say ni cannot hear!

Derek Ortt · #1119 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:17 pm

this is a center reformation and nothing more

this is not going to hit the Florida Peninsula

#1120 Postby **Bailey1777** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:17 pm

And you shouldn't. They repositioned the center it's not a Northerly turn!

Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

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