Tropical Storm Alberto

The_OD_42 · #1121 Postby **The_OD_42** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 11:08 pm

I just checked Accuweather's forecast for various cities in Citrus, Hernando & Pasco counties and one of those cities was Dade City. Its forecast for Monday night consists of 89 mph wind gusts. Surely this cant be right can it? Here's a link
[url]http://wwwa.accuweather.com/forecast-detail.asp?partner=accuweather&myadc=0&traveler=1&zipcode=33523&fday=2&metric=0[url]

Scorpion · #1122 Postby **Scorpion** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 11:10 pm

Sounds like an error to me.

HurricaneHunter914 · #1123 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 11:11 pm

Actually I'm afraid to say that Slaccuweather could be right. A TS like "Alberto" that is forecasted grow to 60 mph winds can easily cause near 90 mph gusts.

Yankeegirl · #1124 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 11:12 pm

Well I am still baffeled about the computer model plots put out by wunderground... Looks like the track might be more to the west than first thought... ?

The_OD_42 · #1125 Postby **The_OD_42** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 11:13 pm

i think although Alberto may strengthen, it is an error. If you look at the rest of the cities around that region, you will see the rest of them having gusts topping off around 60. That's why I was so astonished by this. Also, Ive heard from many, many people that Accuweather is sometimes...."out there".

Extremeweatherguy · #1126 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 11:14 pm

accuweather always over does their gust forecast. All of their 15 day forecast details are done by computer.

Scorpion · #1127 Postby **Scorpion** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 11:16 pm

This is kind of strange...but anyone notice that the thunderstorms are moving in the opposite orientation than the LLC?

Yankeegirl · #1128 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 11:24 pm

still not completely sold on a Florida hit.... Not too sure... Just a hunch....

Stratosphere747 · #1129 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 11:26 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Oh gosh I hope not, that blob is probably the reason the NHC expects more strengthening now.

That "blob" happened long after the NHC's advisory and discussion.

#1130 Postby **curtadams** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 11:29 pm

That convective burst hasn't gone away. It looks to me like it's close to the LLC (which has moved NE quite a bit although it deteriorating in form) so it's probably from the LLC's updraft. I think Alberto is back in business and based on that and the NE track the NHC's psychic abilities are still working.

CHRISTY · #1131 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 11:38 pm

convection continues to flare up.......could get interesting tomorrow.

Brandon007 · #1132 Postby **Brandon007** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 11:49 pm

this thing just keeps failing to die :eek:

I mean it should have died several times and its been in hostile conditions since its birth this thing is a real fighter maybe we will actually see 60mph before landfall, who knows

cmdebbie · #1133 Postby **cmdebbie** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 11:54 pm

Brandon007 wrote:this thing just keeps failing to die I mean it should have died several times and its been in hostile conditions since its birth this thing is a real fighter maybe we will actually see 60mph before landfall, who knows

Kind of reminds me of the energizer bunny....it just keeps going, and going, and going. 8-)

JamesFromMaine2 · #1134 Postby **JamesFromMaine2** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 11:56 pm

Could this be a sign that the way storms and wave kept fighting last year could happen again this year? lol

cmdebbie · #1135 Postby **cmdebbie** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 11:58 pm

JamesFromMaine2 wrote:Could this be a sign that the way storms and wave kept fighting last year could happen again this year? lol

If so, one can only hope that they are all "fishes."

Extremeweatherguy · #1136 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Mon Jun 12, 2006 12:14 am

this thing looks like it is stationary. Here is the latest shortwave Infrared loop:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

Almost looks like a slight southward drift.

#1137 Postby **Stormcenter** » Mon Jun 12, 2006 12:16 am

Extremeweatherguy wrote:this thing looks like it is stationary. Here is the latest shortwave Infrared loop:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

Almost looks like a slight southward drift.

I noted that earlier too. If it's moving it's not doing it quickly at all.

http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satelli ... itype=irbw

all_we_know_is_FALLING · #1138 Postby **all_we_know_is_FALLING** » Mon Jun 12, 2006 12:18 am

CHRISTY wrote:convection continues to flare up.......could get interesting tomorrow.

Indeed! We'll have to wait and see if this convection is sheared off towards FLA or if it can sustain itself through the night.

I'm heading off to bed and can't wait to see if it does!

Audrey2Katrina · #1139 Postby **Audrey2Katrina** » Mon Jun 12, 2006 12:35 am

Stormcenter wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:this thing looks like it is stationary. Here is the latest shortwave Infrared loop:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

Almost looks like a slight southward drift.

I noted that earlier too. If it's moving it's not doing it quickly at all.

http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satelli ... itype=irbw

also seems to still have several other vortices, most prominently two working in there. But it does seem to have all but completely stalled... dunno... that convection still seems to drift off from the center.

A2K

HurricaneHunter914 · #1140 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Mon Jun 12, 2006 12:39 am

That big flare will bring alot of needed rain to Florida whether "Alberto" makes landfall in the Plywood State or not.

Tropical Storm Alberto

Who is online