Tropical Storm Chris

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CronkPSU
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#1121 Postby CronkPSU » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:18 pm

I want to take this chance to say thanks to Derek again and everyone else for their expert insights, as someone living in florida I really do appreciate it
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#1122 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:24 pm

How high does the Dvorak estimate have to be for Chris to be classified as a hurricane?
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#1123 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:25 pm

4.0
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#1124 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:26 pm

Not sure what to make of the track. The models seem determined now to send Chris over Hispanola or at least Cuba. Wonder if the NHC will change their track later or if they think the models are underperforming right now.
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Rainband

#1125 Postby Rainband » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:28 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:Rainband,

you are looking at the wrong models. Only the GFDL is valid in this instance, but the rest of the CONU is well north of that track
I was reverse -removed-. I can't imagine another hurricane hitting the United States. :(
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#1126 Postby skufful » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:29 pm

Rainband wrote:
Derek Ortt wrote:Rainband,

you are looking at the wrong models. Only the GFDL is valid in this instance, but the rest of the CONU is well north of that track
I was reverse -removed-. I can't imagine another hurricane hitting the United States. :(


Reverse -removed- - I didn't think that happened here.
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#1127 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:31 pm

TampaFl wrote:
Opal storm wrote:I don't know if it's been mentioned or not but I saw the Accuwx track on the local news and their track goes all the way to TX/MX,but almost all the Gulf coast is in the cone.



Image



I simply cannot see this track verifying. The system I (remember I am saying I) think would have to ride the periphery of the area of high pressure in the GOM. I can't see it traveling straight west and ignoring the High.
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#1128 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:31 pm

well there track has been N of the consensus since last night. I don't see why they will change now.
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#1129 Postby f5 » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:37 pm

will he try to copy Rita as he is wanting to?
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#1130 Postby Kennethb » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:39 pm

Typical tropical delimena. Many will make a prediction, a few will be correct.

On serious note, we in Louisiana are just beginning to make signficant progress. It seems like a bad dream that we could have to deal with a storm so soon.

Too, How much will we be paying for gas if Chris does cross the GOM?
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#1131 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:40 pm

Kennethb wrote:Too, How much will we be paying for gas if Chris does cross the GOM?


Do you really want to know? :(
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#1132 Postby Cape Verde » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:41 pm

I could have made Accuweather's forecast eyepath. Somewhere between Belize and Panama City, or maybe still 250 miles offshore. :D
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#1133 Postby KatDaddy » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:42 pm

Regardless of who thinks what about Joe B and Accu-weather its a very scary possibilty for us Rita and Katrina victims of last year.
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#1134 Postby cjrciadt » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:42 pm

Brent wrote:
Kennethb wrote:Too, How much will we be paying for gas if Chris does cross the GOM?


Do you really want to know? :(

Watch this movie I found last year. :wink: :lol:
http://toccionline.kizash.com/movies/i_cant_afford_my_gasoline/Anyway, watching me very closely.
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#1135 Postby Normandy » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:43 pm

The DR is not gonna kill Chris, unfortunately.
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#1136 Postby perk » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:44 pm

Derek let's hope this is the last time you will have to tell those (it's gonna hit hispanolia) members that their looking at the wrong models.
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#1137 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:45 pm

looks like it's wobbling back North.... now we can lay off the crashing into Hispanolia scenario
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#1138 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:46 pm

Normandy wrote:The DR is not gonna kill Chris, unfortunately.


Yeah, I don't think so. I do think it will produce some squalls for Hispanola, but I just don't see a track like that happening.
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#1139 Postby Normandy » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:47 pm

First of all, for it to bury itself into Hispanola it would have to hit PR, and to hit PR it needs to move due west.
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#1140 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:49 pm

Busy at work today but just checked the latest sat pic and as I suspected Chris is looking better and better.

I think it has the possibility of being quite problematic down the road and expect a track that is north of the Greater Antilles.....
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