Tropical Storm Chris

[PTrackerLA]

What was the last storm to start NE of the islands and go W to WNW through the straits all the way to Texas! Long W path to not find a weakness!

That would be Rita last year started in about the same area and hit the La. Texas line.
Tim

And was forecasted to hit around the Brownsville area when it entered the gulf....

[Brent]

New projected path at 11, near Havana Sunday Evening.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... _5day.html

[Extremeweatherguy]

11pm track:

[PTrackerLA]

New projected path at 11, near Havana Sunday Evening.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... _5day.html

That path would not weaken it very much at all.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

This storm is looking good tonight...Nice cdo forming would not be suprized if the next recon found the start of a eye. Lets wait in see we are all in for this ride.

[Bailey1777]

Did I understand the 11pm right? They are going to send recon back in tonight?

[Regit]

New projected path at 11, near Havana Sunday Evening.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... _5day.html

That path would not weaken it very much at all.

It would be interacting with land for a long time.

[DESTRUCTION5]

11pm track:

Looks like they have slowed it down a bit..

[Extremeweatherguy]

New projected path at 11, near Havana Sunday Evening.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... _5day.html

That path would not weaken it very much at all.

It would be interacting with land for a long time.

this is no different than the 5pm track.

[WindRunner]

Did I understand the 11pm right? They are going to send recon back in tonight?

Yes, a mission has been scheduled to take off at 1am EDT since sometime this morning.

[Extremeweatherguy]

11pm track:

Looks like they have slowed it down a bit..

not really, looks like the same speed.

[Blown Away]

What was the last storm to start NE of the islands and go W to WNW through the straits all the way to Texas! Long W path to not find a weakness!

That would be Rita last year started in about the same area and hit the La. Texas line.
Tim

And was forecasted to hit around the Brownsville area when it entered the gulf....

Rita formed about 600 miles W of Chris, above DR!

[JonathanBelles]

11pm track:

Looks like they have slowed it down a bit..

not really, looks like the same speed.

i wish it would slow down

[HouTXmetro]

Well the good news is that it won't take much of a southward shift in Chris' track to put it over Cuba. We know that would really hurt him. Secondly t will be close to land so that will atleast disrupt strenghthening until it clears the straights of Florida.

[max]

This storm is looking good tonight...Nice cdo forming would not be suprized if the next recon found the start of a eye. Lets wait in see we are all in for this ride.

It may be one crazy ride tonight for sure. I hope not for the people out there in the path of Chris though.

[Canelaw99]

Actually, I thought they had sped it up a bit. I remember one of the advisories earlier, the 11 am I think it was, had the Sunday position still SE of Miami, yet now it's almost directly south of Key West.

What is going to cause Chris to go almost directly due west (a smidge north of west, but it's pretty west) as it appears on the 11pm track?

[Regit]

New projected path at 11, near Havana Sunday Evening.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... _5day.html

That path would not weaken it very much at all.

It would be interacting with land for a long time.

this is no different than the 5pm track.

I didn't say it was.

I said it would be interacting with land for a long time.

[Extremeweatherguy]

New projected path at 11, near Havana Sunday Evening.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... _5day.html

That path would not weaken it very much at all.

It would be interacting with land for a long time.

this is no different than the 5pm track.

I didn't say it was.

I said it would be interacting with land for a long time.

but we already knew that. You said it as though it was something new from the 11pm track.

[cycloneye]

[Extremeweatherguy]

Well the good news is that it won't take much of a southward shift in Chris' track to put it over Cuba. We know that would really hurt him. Secondly t will be close to land so that will atleast disrupt strenghthening until it clears the straights of Florida.

one thing to remember is that western Cuba is not too mountainous (compared to the other islands). A track over that region would only weaken chris slightly.