KatDaddy wrote:Very true. I searched the Internet for Katrina photos. I found one of Katrina off the E Coast of Florida. She was small, the size of Chris but exploded in size over the SE GOM.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/archi ... otrack.gif
Tropical Storm Chris
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Well the TX and LA morning AFD's are already mentioning Chris. Here are a few excerpts:
Corpus Christi:
WILL KEEP EYES TO THE EAST FOR LATE
IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH LATEST FORECAST FOR T.S. CHRIS BEING
NEAR KEY WEST BY MONDAY.
Brownsville:
OF BIGGER CONCERN TO DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS...IS THE PRESENCE OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS OVER THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THE OFFICIAL NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
FORECAST PLACES CHRIS AS A MINIMAL HURRICANE WITH WINDS OF 65
KNOTS (74 MILES PER HOUR) SOUTH OF KEY WEST AND JUST OFFSHORE CUBA
SUNDAY NIGHT. BEYOND THIS TIME...IF CHRIS WERE TO CONTINUE ON A
WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO...THEN THE
POSSIBILITY WOULD EXIST FOR THIS SYSTEM TO AFFECT DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
...EITHER DIRECTLY WITH WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN...OR INDIRECTLY WITH
HIGHER SEAS ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST. FOR NOW...WILL MAINTAIN A
VIGILANT WATCH OF CHRIS AND DEFER TO THE EXPERTISE OF THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER TO FORECAST THE FUTURE TRACK...AND INTENSITY...OF
THIS SYSTEM.
SWELLS MAY
BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...IF
FUTURE FORECAST TRACKS OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS BRING THE STORM AND
POTENTIAL HURRICANE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.
Galveston-Houston:
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS IS
FORECAST TO BE ENTERING THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SUNDAY NIGHT.
WHERE CHRIS GOES BEYOND THAT IS PURE SPECULATION AT THIS POINT. REFER
TO OFFICIAL TPC ADVISORIES FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS ON CHRIS.
Lake Charles:
FORECAST MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON EVENTUAL
TRACK OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS. LATEST 120 HR FORECAST POSITION
FROM NHC IS JUST WEST OF KEY WEST BY MIDNIGHT SUNDAY. BEYOND
THAT...A RE-STRENGTHENING RIDGE OVER THE SE CONUS MOVING WWD WITH
TIME SHOULD FORCE A CONTINUED GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION...THOUGH OF
COURSE THERE IS INHERENT UNCERTAINTY THAT FAR OUT. STILL HAVE
PLENTY OF TIME TO WATCH HOW ALL OF THIS EVOLVES...BUT CERTAINLY
SOMETHING FOLKS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR CLOSELY.
CONDITIONS MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND HEAVILY ON
EVENTUAL TRACK AND STRENGTH OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS. MARINE
INTERESTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CONTINUE MONITORING THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
New Orleans:
THE ONLY OTHER WEATHER CONCERN IS T.S.
CHRIS LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THE LATEST
FORECAST FROM NHC DOES INDICATE CHRIS STRENGTHENING INTO A MINIMAL
HURRICANE AS THE STORM APPROACHES THE FLORIDA STRAITS BY 120 HR
OUT. CHRIS MAY EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO THE SE GULF IF THE FORECAST IS
CLOSE BY NEXT WORK WEEK. ALL INTERESTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THE THIRD STORM OF THE ATLANTIC SEASON
Corpus Christi:
WILL KEEP EYES TO THE EAST FOR LATE
IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH LATEST FORECAST FOR T.S. CHRIS BEING
NEAR KEY WEST BY MONDAY.
Brownsville:
OF BIGGER CONCERN TO DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS...IS THE PRESENCE OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS OVER THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THE OFFICIAL NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
FORECAST PLACES CHRIS AS A MINIMAL HURRICANE WITH WINDS OF 65
KNOTS (74 MILES PER HOUR) SOUTH OF KEY WEST AND JUST OFFSHORE CUBA
SUNDAY NIGHT. BEYOND THIS TIME...IF CHRIS WERE TO CONTINUE ON A
WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO...THEN THE
POSSIBILITY WOULD EXIST FOR THIS SYSTEM TO AFFECT DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
...EITHER DIRECTLY WITH WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN...OR INDIRECTLY WITH
HIGHER SEAS ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST. FOR NOW...WILL MAINTAIN A
VIGILANT WATCH OF CHRIS AND DEFER TO THE EXPERTISE OF THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER TO FORECAST THE FUTURE TRACK...AND INTENSITY...OF
THIS SYSTEM.
SWELLS MAY
BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...IF
FUTURE FORECAST TRACKS OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS BRING THE STORM AND
POTENTIAL HURRICANE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.
Galveston-Houston:
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS IS
FORECAST TO BE ENTERING THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SUNDAY NIGHT.
WHERE CHRIS GOES BEYOND THAT IS PURE SPECULATION AT THIS POINT. REFER
TO OFFICIAL TPC ADVISORIES FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS ON CHRIS.
Lake Charles:
FORECAST MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON EVENTUAL
TRACK OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS. LATEST 120 HR FORECAST POSITION
FROM NHC IS JUST WEST OF KEY WEST BY MIDNIGHT SUNDAY. BEYOND
THAT...A RE-STRENGTHENING RIDGE OVER THE SE CONUS MOVING WWD WITH
TIME SHOULD FORCE A CONTINUED GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION...THOUGH OF
COURSE THERE IS INHERENT UNCERTAINTY THAT FAR OUT. STILL HAVE
PLENTY OF TIME TO WATCH HOW ALL OF THIS EVOLVES...BUT CERTAINLY
SOMETHING FOLKS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR CLOSELY.
CONDITIONS MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK WILL DEPEND HEAVILY ON
EVENTUAL TRACK AND STRENGTH OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS. MARINE
INTERESTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CONTINUE MONITORING THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
New Orleans:
THE ONLY OTHER WEATHER CONCERN IS T.S.
CHRIS LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THE LATEST
FORECAST FROM NHC DOES INDICATE CHRIS STRENGTHENING INTO A MINIMAL
HURRICANE AS THE STORM APPROACHES THE FLORIDA STRAITS BY 120 HR
OUT. CHRIS MAY EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO THE SE GULF IF THE FORECAST IS
CLOSE BY NEXT WORK WEEK. ALL INTERESTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THE THIRD STORM OF THE ATLANTIC SEASON
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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dwsqos2
242
UZNT13 KNHC 021006
XXAA 52108 99196 70635 04393 99013 26823 ///// 00119 26023 06033
92803 21200 06537 85535 18402 07539 88999 77999
31313 09608 80957
61616 AF308 0203A CHRIS OB 30
62626 SPL 1956N06354W 1000 LST WND 012 MBL WND 06034 AEV 20604 DL
M WND 06537 012852 WL150 06033 087 =
XXBB 52108 99196 70635 04393 00013 26823 11915 20600 22850 18402
33842 17001
21212 00013 ///// 11012 06033 22870 07041 33852 07539 44842 07540
31313 09608 80957
61616 AF308 0203A CHRIS OB 30
62626 SPL 1956N06354W 1000 LST WND 012 MBL WND 06034 AEV 20604 DL
M WND 06537 012852 WL150 06033 087 =
UZNT13 KNHC 021006
XXAA 52108 99196 70635 04393 99013 26823 ///// 00119 26023 06033
92803 21200 06537 85535 18402 07539 88999 77999
31313 09608 80957
61616 AF308 0203A CHRIS OB 30
62626 SPL 1956N06354W 1000 LST WND 012 MBL WND 06034 AEV 20604 DL
M WND 06537 012852 WL150 06033 087 =
XXBB 52108 99196 70635 04393 00013 26823 11915 20600 22850 18402
33842 17001
21212 00013 ///// 11012 06033 22870 07041 33852 07539 44842 07540
31313 09608 80957
61616 AF308 0203A CHRIS OB 30
62626 SPL 1956N06354W 1000 LST WND 012 MBL WND 06034 AEV 20604 DL
M WND 06537 012852 WL150 06033 087 =
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dwsqos2
944
SXXX50 KNHC 021007
AF308 0203A CHRIS HDOB 32 KNHC
0955. 1935N 06320W 01541 0086 074 037 174 148 040 01668 0000000000
0956 1935N 06322W 01543 0086 074 037 168 154 038 01671 0000000000
0956. 1935N 06324W 01543 0087 072 039 170 156 040 01671 0000000000
0957 1934N 06326W 01543 0088 070 040 166 152 040 01672 0000000000
0957. 1934N 06329W 01542 0088 069 040 162 162 040 01671 0000000000
0958 1934N 06331W 01542 0089 074 039 166 160 041 01671 0000000000
0958. 1934N 06333W 01544 0095 070 039 160 160 041 01680 0000000000
0959 1932N 06333W 01545 0092 070 036 166 154 037 01678 0000000000
0959. 1931N 06332W 01538 0089 068 037 162 160 038 01668 0000000000
1000 1930N 06331W 01542 0088 071 035 160 160 035 01672 0000000000
1000. 1929N 06330W 01543 0087 071 035 160 160 035 01672 0000000000
1001 1928N 06328W 01541 0085 073 034 166 146 035 01668 0000000000
1001. 1927N 06327W 01543 0085 074 031 166 148 032 01669 0000000000
1002 1926N 06326W 01542 0085 080 030 170 156 031 01667 0000000000
1002. 1925N 06325W 01543 0084 075 033 170 160 036 01667 0000000000
1003 1924N 06324W 01546 0084 066 036 160 160 037 01671 0000000000
1003. 1923N 06323W 01542 0083 061 036 170 156 037 01666 0000000000
1004 1922N 06322W 01544 0082 063 033 168 162 034 01667 0000000000
1004. 1920N 06320W 01539 0081 064 035 170 158 036 01660 0000000000
1005 1919N 06319W 01543 0080 067 037 172 150 037 01664 0000000000
SXXX50 KNHC 021007
AF308 0203A CHRIS HDOB 32 KNHC
0955. 1935N 06320W 01541 0086 074 037 174 148 040 01668 0000000000
0956 1935N 06322W 01543 0086 074 037 168 154 038 01671 0000000000
0956. 1935N 06324W 01543 0087 072 039 170 156 040 01671 0000000000
0957 1934N 06326W 01543 0088 070 040 166 152 040 01672 0000000000
0957. 1934N 06329W 01542 0088 069 040 162 162 040 01671 0000000000
0958 1934N 06331W 01542 0089 074 039 166 160 041 01671 0000000000
0958. 1934N 06333W 01544 0095 070 039 160 160 041 01680 0000000000
0959 1932N 06333W 01545 0092 070 036 166 154 037 01678 0000000000
0959. 1931N 06332W 01538 0089 068 037 162 160 038 01668 0000000000
1000 1930N 06331W 01542 0088 071 035 160 160 035 01672 0000000000
1000. 1929N 06330W 01543 0087 071 035 160 160 035 01672 0000000000
1001 1928N 06328W 01541 0085 073 034 166 146 035 01668 0000000000
1001. 1927N 06327W 01543 0085 074 031 166 148 032 01669 0000000000
1002 1926N 06326W 01542 0085 080 030 170 156 031 01667 0000000000
1002. 1925N 06325W 01543 0084 075 033 170 160 036 01667 0000000000
1003 1924N 06324W 01546 0084 066 036 160 160 037 01671 0000000000
1003. 1923N 06323W 01542 0083 061 036 170 156 037 01666 0000000000
1004 1922N 06322W 01544 0082 063 033 168 162 034 01667 0000000000
1004. 1920N 06320W 01539 0081 064 035 170 158 036 01660 0000000000
1005 1919N 06319W 01543 0080 067 037 172 150 037 01664 0000000000
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Ob from the northwest corner of the storm... plane is on a nw-se pass now...
RECCO Observation
Storm Name: CHRIS (03L)
Mission Number: 02
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 29
Time: 0957Z
Latitude: 19.6°N
Longitude: 63.5°W
Turbulence: Light occasional moderate
Flight condition: In & out of clouds
Pressure Altitude: 5100 feet
Flight level wind: E (80°) @ 44 mph
Temperature: 61°F
Dewpoint: 61°F
Weather: Rainshowers
850mb height: 5100 feet
Surface Wind: NE (40°) @ 35 mph
Remarks: None
RECCO Observation
Storm Name: CHRIS (03L)
Mission Number: 02
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 29
Time: 0957Z
Latitude: 19.6°N
Longitude: 63.5°W
Turbulence: Light occasional moderate
Flight condition: In & out of clouds
Pressure Altitude: 5100 feet
Flight level wind: E (80°) @ 44 mph
Temperature: 61°F
Dewpoint: 61°F
Weather: Rainshowers
850mb height: 5100 feet
Surface Wind: NE (40°) @ 35 mph
Remarks: None
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dwsqos2
163
SXXX50 KNHC 021017
AF308 0203A CHRIS HDOB 33 KNHC
1005. 1918N 06318W 01545 0079 060 035 178 146 036 01664 0000000000
1006 1917N 06317W 01541 0077 061 036 172 156 036 01658 0000000000
1006. 1916N 06316W 01544 0076 060 034 168 158 034 01661 0000000000
1007 1915N 06315W 01540 0075 063 039 170 162 042 01656 0000000000
1007. 1914N 06313W 01544 0073 065 042 166 154 043 01658 0000000000
1008 1913N 06312W 01542 0070 066 041 168 152 041 01653 0000000000
1008. 1912N 06311W 01546 0067 063 041 170 146 042 01654 0000000000
1009 1911N 06310W 01541 0065 062 043 176 154 044 01646 0000000000
1009. 1910N 06309W 01543 0061 062 045 174 150 045 01645 0000000000
1010 1909N 06308W 01542 0057 062 044 168 152 044 01640 0000000000
1010. 1908N 06307W 01545 0054 060 040 180 144 041 01640 0000000000
1011 1906N 06306W 01541 0050 063 042 172 158 042 01631 0000000000
1011. 1905N 06304W 01543 0047 060 042 180 150 042 01631 0000000000
1012 1904N 06303W 01541 0044 053 042 178 154 044 01625 0000000000
1012. 1903N 06302W 01548 0041 048 041 178 146 043 01629 0000000000
1013 1902N 06301W 01543 0035 043 039 194 132 039 01619 0000000000
1013. 1901N 06300W 01544 0028 045 036 218 136 037 01612 0000000000
1014 1900N 06258W 01533 0024 048 028 234 124 036 01598 0000000000
1014. 1859N 06257W 01538 0024 030 023 216 138 028 01603 0000000000
1015 1857N 06256W 01546 0021 031 025 214 136 027 01608 0000000000
SXXX50 KNHC 021017
AF308 0203A CHRIS HDOB 33 KNHC
1005. 1918N 06318W 01545 0079 060 035 178 146 036 01664 0000000000
1006 1917N 06317W 01541 0077 061 036 172 156 036 01658 0000000000
1006. 1916N 06316W 01544 0076 060 034 168 158 034 01661 0000000000
1007 1915N 06315W 01540 0075 063 039 170 162 042 01656 0000000000
1007. 1914N 06313W 01544 0073 065 042 166 154 043 01658 0000000000
1008 1913N 06312W 01542 0070 066 041 168 152 041 01653 0000000000
1008. 1912N 06311W 01546 0067 063 041 170 146 042 01654 0000000000
1009 1911N 06310W 01541 0065 062 043 176 154 044 01646 0000000000
1009. 1910N 06309W 01543 0061 062 045 174 150 045 01645 0000000000
1010 1909N 06308W 01542 0057 062 044 168 152 044 01640 0000000000
1010. 1908N 06307W 01545 0054 060 040 180 144 041 01640 0000000000
1011 1906N 06306W 01541 0050 063 042 172 158 042 01631 0000000000
1011. 1905N 06304W 01543 0047 060 042 180 150 042 01631 0000000000
1012 1904N 06303W 01541 0044 053 042 178 154 044 01625 0000000000
1012. 1903N 06302W 01548 0041 048 041 178 146 043 01629 0000000000
1013 1902N 06301W 01543 0035 043 039 194 132 039 01619 0000000000
1013. 1901N 06300W 01544 0028 045 036 218 136 037 01612 0000000000
1014 1900N 06258W 01533 0024 048 028 234 124 036 01598 0000000000
1014. 1859N 06257W 01538 0024 030 023 216 138 028 01603 0000000000
1015 1857N 06256W 01546 0021 031 025 214 136 027 01608 0000000000
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dwsqos2
616
URNT12 KNHC 021026
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 02/10:16:50Z
B. 18 deg 54 min N
062 deg 49 min W
C. 850 mb 1449 m
D. 45 kt
E. 305 deg 013 nm
F. 063 deg 045 kt
G. 309 deg 025 nm
H. 1002 mb
I. 18 C/ 1538 m
J. 22 C/ 1530 m
K. 15 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF308 0203A CHRIS OB 31
MAX FL WIND 65 KT NE QUAD 09:24:10 Z
MAX FL TEMP 23 C, 304 / 12NM
URNT12 KNHC 021026
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 02/10:16:50Z
B. 18 deg 54 min N
062 deg 49 min W
C. 850 mb 1449 m
D. 45 kt
E. 305 deg 013 nm
F. 063 deg 045 kt
G. 309 deg 025 nm
H. 1002 mb
I. 18 C/ 1538 m
J. 22 C/ 1530 m
K. 15 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF308 0203A CHRIS OB 31
MAX FL WIND 65 KT NE QUAD 09:24:10 Z
MAX FL TEMP 23 C, 304 / 12NM
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dwsqos2
995
SXXX50 KNHC 021027
AF308 0203A CHRIS HDOB 34 KNHC
1015. 1856N 06255W 01548 0010 013 028 214 140 030 01599 0000000000
1016 1855N 06253W 01540 0004 003 020 214 156 024 01585 0000000000
1016. 1854N 06252W 01544 5001 345 016 208 154 020 01583 0000000000
1017 1854N 06250W 01538 5002 328 008 210 162 011 01576 0000000000
1017. 1853N 06248W 01557 5002 246 022 192 182 026 01596 0000000000
1018 1853N 06246W 01534 5009 222 027 196 184 031 01565 0000000000
1018. 1852N 06245W 01546 5003 219 036 178 178 037 01583 0000000000
1019 1850N 06244W 01540 0007 223 046 176 176 050 01589 0000000000
1019. 1849N 06243W 01544 0018 222 054 170 170 054 01603 0000000000
1020 1848N 06242W 01539 0024 219 057 168 168 057 01604 0000000000
1020. 1847N 06241W 01542 0029 219 056 164 164 057 01613 0000000000
1021 1846N 06240W 01543 0037 217 054 168 168 055 01622 0000000000
1021. 1845N 06238W 01542 0043 217 050 166 166 051 01626 0000000000
1022 1844N 06237W 01540 0048 215 049 150 150 050 01629 0000000000
1022. 1843N 06236W 01549 0052 213 049 138 138 049 01642 0000000000
1023 1842N 06235W 01539 0055 210 049 138 138 051 01635 0000000000
1023. 1840N 06234W 01540 0056 205 049 130 130 050 01637 0000000000
1024 1839N 06233W 01544 0061 207 046 130 130 047 01647 0000000000
1024. 1838N 06232W 01543 0065 206 046 132 132 047 01648 0000000000
1025 1837N 06231W 01542 0067 205 046 128 128 046 01650 0000000000
57 knots in the SE quadrant
SXXX50 KNHC 021027
AF308 0203A CHRIS HDOB 34 KNHC
1015. 1856N 06255W 01548 0010 013 028 214 140 030 01599 0000000000
1016 1855N 06253W 01540 0004 003 020 214 156 024 01585 0000000000
1016. 1854N 06252W 01544 5001 345 016 208 154 020 01583 0000000000
1017 1854N 06250W 01538 5002 328 008 210 162 011 01576 0000000000
1017. 1853N 06248W 01557 5002 246 022 192 182 026 01596 0000000000
1018 1853N 06246W 01534 5009 222 027 196 184 031 01565 0000000000
1018. 1852N 06245W 01546 5003 219 036 178 178 037 01583 0000000000
1019 1850N 06244W 01540 0007 223 046 176 176 050 01589 0000000000
1019. 1849N 06243W 01544 0018 222 054 170 170 054 01603 0000000000
1020 1848N 06242W 01539 0024 219 057 168 168 057 01604 0000000000
1020. 1847N 06241W 01542 0029 219 056 164 164 057 01613 0000000000
1021 1846N 06240W 01543 0037 217 054 168 168 055 01622 0000000000
1021. 1845N 06238W 01542 0043 217 050 166 166 051 01626 0000000000
1022 1844N 06237W 01540 0048 215 049 150 150 050 01629 0000000000
1022. 1843N 06236W 01549 0052 213 049 138 138 049 01642 0000000000
1023 1842N 06235W 01539 0055 210 049 138 138 051 01635 0000000000
1023. 1840N 06234W 01540 0056 205 049 130 130 050 01637 0000000000
1024 1839N 06233W 01544 0061 207 046 130 130 047 01647 0000000000
1024. 1838N 06232W 01543 0065 206 046 132 132 047 01648 0000000000
1025 1837N 06231W 01542 0067 205 046 128 128 046 01650 0000000000
57 knots in the SE quadrant
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dwsqos2
347
UZNT13 KNHC 021029
XXAA 52100 99189 70628 04382 99002 27012 ///// 00019 26812 19008
92708 24836 85451 22441 88999 77999
31313 09608 81017
61616 AF308 0203A CHRIS OB 32
62626 EYE SPL 1890N06280W 1019 LST WND 017 MBL WND 20006 AEV 2060
4 DLM WND 20006 000953 WL150 20006 091 =
XXBB 52108 99189 70628 04382 00002 27012 11971 24804 22921 24636
33899 25656 44881 23442 55850 22441 66840 21423
21212 00002 ///// 11000 19008 22986 21505 33953 22008 44840 25525
31313 09608 81017
61616 AF308 0203A CHRIS OB 32
62626 EYE SPL 1890N06280W 1019 LST WND 017 MBL WND 20006 AEV 2060
4 DLM WND 20006 000953 WL150 20006 091 =
UZNT13 KNHC 021029
XXAA 52100 99189 70628 04382 99002 27012 ///// 00019 26812 19008
92708 24836 85451 22441 88999 77999
31313 09608 81017
61616 AF308 0203A CHRIS OB 32
62626 EYE SPL 1890N06280W 1019 LST WND 017 MBL WND 20006 AEV 2060
4 DLM WND 20006 000953 WL150 20006 091 =
XXBB 52108 99189 70628 04382 00002 27012 11971 24804 22921 24636
33899 25656 44881 23442 55850 22441 66840 21423
21212 00002 ///// 11000 19008 22986 21505 33953 22008 44840 25525
31313 09608 81017
61616 AF308 0203A CHRIS OB 32
62626 EYE SPL 1890N06280W 1019 LST WND 017 MBL WND 20006 AEV 2060
4 DLM WND 20006 000953 WL150 20006 091 =
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S FL residents pay special attention. 
I mentioned last night that I wasn't sold on the more southern FL straits path. From this mornings NHC Disc:
IT SHOULD BE POINTED OUT THAT THE GFS...GFS ENSEMBLE...UKMET...AND NOGAPS CONSENSUS FORECAST PLACES CHRIS VERY NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF FLORIDA IN 120 HOURS...AND SUBSEQUENT FORECAST TRACKS MAY HAVE TO SHIFTED A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH IF THOSE MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE.
I mentioned last night that I wasn't sold on the more southern FL straits path. From this mornings NHC Disc:
IT SHOULD BE POINTED OUT THAT THE GFS...GFS ENSEMBLE...UKMET...AND NOGAPS CONSENSUS FORECAST PLACES CHRIS VERY NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF FLORIDA IN 120 HOURS...AND SUBSEQUENT FORECAST TRACKS MAY HAVE TO SHIFTED A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH IF THOSE MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE.
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dwsqos2
917
SXXX50 KNHC 021038
AF308 0203A CHRIS HDOB 35 KNHC
1025. 1836N 06230W 01544 0071 207 046 138 138 046 01656 0000000000
1026 1835N 06229W 01542 0074 206 045 150 150 046 01657 0000000000
1026. 1834N 06228W 01544 0076 202 043 146 146 045 01661 0000000000
1027 1833N 06227W 01539 0077 207 042 136 136 043 01656 0000000000
1027. 1832N 06226W 01544 0080 206 041 142 142 041 01664 0000000000
1028 1831N 06224W 01543 0081 207 040 148 148 040 01665 0000000000
1028. 1830N 06223W 01542 0083 204 039 148 148 040 01666 0000000000
1029 1829N 06222W 01542 0085 203 038 150 150 039 01668 0000000000
1029. 1828N 06221W 01543 0086 204 038 150 150 038 01670 0000000000
1030 1826N 06220W 01542 0087 202 036 152 152 037 01670 0000000000
1030. 1825N 06219W 01544 0088 202 035 148 148 036 01673 0000000000
1031 1824N 06218W 01542 0089 200 035 154 154 036 01672 0000000000
1031. 1823N 06217W 01541 0090 201 034 156 156 035 01672 0000000000
1032 1823N 06215W 01547 0094 202 035 156 154 036 01682 0000000000
1032. 1824N 06214W 01541 0093 197 034 158 154 035 01675 0000000000
1033 1826N 06215W 01541 0090 193 034 156 156 035 01672 0000000000
1033. 1828N 06215W 01542 0090 193 036 150 150 036 01673 0000000000
1034 1830N 06215W 01543 0090 192 036 150 150 037 01674 0000000000
1034. 1832N 06214W 01543 0089 189 037 150 150 038 01673 0000000000
1035 1834N 06214W 01544 0090 187 038 148 148 038 01674 0000000000
SXXX50 KNHC 021038
AF308 0203A CHRIS HDOB 35 KNHC
1025. 1836N 06230W 01544 0071 207 046 138 138 046 01656 0000000000
1026 1835N 06229W 01542 0074 206 045 150 150 046 01657 0000000000
1026. 1834N 06228W 01544 0076 202 043 146 146 045 01661 0000000000
1027 1833N 06227W 01539 0077 207 042 136 136 043 01656 0000000000
1027. 1832N 06226W 01544 0080 206 041 142 142 041 01664 0000000000
1028 1831N 06224W 01543 0081 207 040 148 148 040 01665 0000000000
1028. 1830N 06223W 01542 0083 204 039 148 148 040 01666 0000000000
1029 1829N 06222W 01542 0085 203 038 150 150 039 01668 0000000000
1029. 1828N 06221W 01543 0086 204 038 150 150 038 01670 0000000000
1030 1826N 06220W 01542 0087 202 036 152 152 037 01670 0000000000
1030. 1825N 06219W 01544 0088 202 035 148 148 036 01673 0000000000
1031 1824N 06218W 01542 0089 200 035 154 154 036 01672 0000000000
1031. 1823N 06217W 01541 0090 201 034 156 156 035 01672 0000000000
1032 1823N 06215W 01547 0094 202 035 156 154 036 01682 0000000000
1032. 1824N 06214W 01541 0093 197 034 158 154 035 01675 0000000000
1033 1826N 06215W 01541 0090 193 034 156 156 035 01672 0000000000
1033. 1828N 06215W 01542 0090 193 036 150 150 036 01673 0000000000
1034 1830N 06215W 01543 0090 192 036 150 150 037 01674 0000000000
1034. 1832N 06214W 01543 0089 189 037 150 150 038 01673 0000000000
1035 1834N 06214W 01544 0090 187 038 148 148 038 01674 0000000000
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South-east corner, plane heading north now...
Storm Name: CHRIS (03L)
Mission Number: 02
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 33
Time: 1031Z
Latitude: 18.4°N
Longitude: 62.3°W
Turbulence: Light occasional moderate
Flight condition: In & out of clouds
Pressure Altitude: 5100 feet
Flight level wind: SSW (200°) @ 39 mph
Temperature: 61°F
Dewpoint: 61°F
Weather: Rainshowers
850mb height: 5100 feet
Surface Wind: S (160°) @ 29 mph
Remarks: None
Storm Name: CHRIS (03L)
Mission Number: 02
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 33
Time: 1031Z
Latitude: 18.4°N
Longitude: 62.3°W
Turbulence: Light occasional moderate
Flight condition: In & out of clouds
Pressure Altitude: 5100 feet
Flight level wind: SSW (200°) @ 39 mph
Temperature: 61°F
Dewpoint: 61°F
Weather: Rainshowers
850mb height: 5100 feet
Surface Wind: S (160°) @ 29 mph
Remarks: None
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wxwatcher91
- Category 5
- Posts: 1606
- Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
- Location: Keene, NH
- Contact:
917
SXXX50 KNHC 021038
AF308 0203A CHRIS HDOB 35 KNHC
1025. 1836N 06230W 01544 0071 207 046 138 138 046 01656 0000000000
1026 1835N 06229W 01542 0074 206 045 150 150 046 01657 0000000000
1026. 1834N 06228W 01544 0076 202 043 146 146 045 01661 0000000000
1027 1833N 06227W 01539 0077 207 042 136 136 043 01656 0000000000
1027. 1832N 06226W 01544 0080 206 041 142 142 041 01664 0000000000
1028 1831N 06224W 01543 0081 207 040 148 148 040 01665 0000000000
1028. 1830N 06223W 01542 0083 204 039 148 148 040 01666 0000000000
1029 1829N 06222W 01542 0085 203 038 150 150 039 01668 0000000000
1029. 1828N 06221W 01543 0086 204 038 150 150 038 01670 0000000000
1030 1826N 06220W 01542 0087 202 036 152 152 037 01670 0000000000
1030. 1825N 06219W 01544 0088 202 035 148 148 036 01673 0000000000
1031 1824N 06218W 01542 0089 200 035 154 154 036 01672 0000000000
1031. 1823N 06217W 01541 0090 201 034 156 156 035 01672 0000000000
1032 1823N 06215W 01547 0094 202 035 156 154 036 01682 0000000000
1032. 1824N 06214W 01541 0093 197 034 158 154 035 01675 0000000000
1033 1826N 06215W 01541 0090 193 034 156 156 035 01672 0000000000
1033. 1828N 06215W 01542 0090 193 036 150 150 036 01673 0000000000
1034 1830N 06215W 01543 0090 192 036 150 150 037 01674 0000000000
1034. 1832N 06214W 01543 0089 189 037 150 150 038 01673 0000000000
1035 1834N 06214W 01544 0090 187 038 148 148 038 01674 0000000000
SXXX50 KNHC 021038
AF308 0203A CHRIS HDOB 35 KNHC
1025. 1836N 06230W 01544 0071 207 046 138 138 046 01656 0000000000
1026 1835N 06229W 01542 0074 206 045 150 150 046 01657 0000000000
1026. 1834N 06228W 01544 0076 202 043 146 146 045 01661 0000000000
1027 1833N 06227W 01539 0077 207 042 136 136 043 01656 0000000000
1027. 1832N 06226W 01544 0080 206 041 142 142 041 01664 0000000000
1028 1831N 06224W 01543 0081 207 040 148 148 040 01665 0000000000
1028. 1830N 06223W 01542 0083 204 039 148 148 040 01666 0000000000
1029 1829N 06222W 01542 0085 203 038 150 150 039 01668 0000000000
1029. 1828N 06221W 01543 0086 204 038 150 150 038 01670 0000000000
1030 1826N 06220W 01542 0087 202 036 152 152 037 01670 0000000000
1030. 1825N 06219W 01544 0088 202 035 148 148 036 01673 0000000000
1031 1824N 06218W 01542 0089 200 035 154 154 036 01672 0000000000
1031. 1823N 06217W 01541 0090 201 034 156 156 035 01672 0000000000
1032 1823N 06215W 01547 0094 202 035 156 154 036 01682 0000000000
1032. 1824N 06214W 01541 0093 197 034 158 154 035 01675 0000000000
1033 1826N 06215W 01541 0090 193 034 156 156 035 01672 0000000000
1033. 1828N 06215W 01542 0090 193 036 150 150 036 01673 0000000000
1034 1830N 06215W 01543 0090 192 036 150 150 037 01674 0000000000
1034. 1832N 06214W 01543 0089 189 037 150 150 038 01673 0000000000
1035 1834N 06214W 01544 0090 187 038 148 148 038 01674 0000000000
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Stratosphere747
- Category 5
- Posts: 3772
- Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
- Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
- Contact:
Interesting archived pictures...how similar are the synoptics then and now?
http://rsd.gsfc.nasa.gov/rsd/images/and ... nce_lg.jpg
http://rsd.gsfc.nasa.gov/rsd/images/and ... nce_lg.jpg
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dwsqos2
136
SXXX50 KNHC 021047
AF308 0203A CHRIS HDOB 36 KNHC
1035. 1836N 06214W 01543 0089 186 039 138 138 040 01672 0000000000
1036 1838N 06214W 01542 0089 184 040 144 144 040 01672 0000000000
1036. 1840N 06214W 01543 0089 181 039 144 144 040 01673 0000000000
1037 1842N 06214W 01542 0089 178 041 140 140 041 01672 0000000000
1037. 1844N 06214W 01542 0088 174 041 146 146 042 01671 0000000000
1038 1846N 06213W 01543 0088 173 042 150 150 042 01672 0000000000
1038. 1848N 06213W 01543 0088 173 043 150 150 043 01672 0000000000
1039 1850N 06213W 01541 0089 168 041 150 150 041 01671 0000000000
1039. 1852N 06213W 01544 0089 168 041 152 152 041 01674 0000000000
1040 1854N 06213W 01542 0089 168 042 150 150 043 01672 0000000000
1040. 1856N 06213W 01542 0089 168 042 152 152 043 01672 0000000000
1041 1858N 06213W 01542 0090 169 043 152 152 043 01673 0000000000
1041. 1900N 06212W 01541 0088 166 044 134 134 047 01670 0000000000
1042 1902N 06212W 01548 0089 162 042 140 140 045 01678 0000000000
1042. 1904N 06212W 01538 0090 162 042 140 140 043 01668 0000000000
1043 1906N 06212W 01544 0090 157 043 148 148 044 01675 0000000000
1043. 1908N 06212W 01542 0090 153 043 162 162 044 01673 0000000000
1044 1910N 06212W 01544 0090 152 043 164 164 045 01674 0000000000
1044. 1912N 06212W 01542 0090 150 045 166 158 045 01672 0000000000
1045 1914N 06211W 01542 0089 150 044 166 162 045 01672 0000000000
SXXX50 KNHC 021047
AF308 0203A CHRIS HDOB 36 KNHC
1035. 1836N 06214W 01543 0089 186 039 138 138 040 01672 0000000000
1036 1838N 06214W 01542 0089 184 040 144 144 040 01672 0000000000
1036. 1840N 06214W 01543 0089 181 039 144 144 040 01673 0000000000
1037 1842N 06214W 01542 0089 178 041 140 140 041 01672 0000000000
1037. 1844N 06214W 01542 0088 174 041 146 146 042 01671 0000000000
1038 1846N 06213W 01543 0088 173 042 150 150 042 01672 0000000000
1038. 1848N 06213W 01543 0088 173 043 150 150 043 01672 0000000000
1039 1850N 06213W 01541 0089 168 041 150 150 041 01671 0000000000
1039. 1852N 06213W 01544 0089 168 041 152 152 041 01674 0000000000
1040 1854N 06213W 01542 0089 168 042 150 150 043 01672 0000000000
1040. 1856N 06213W 01542 0089 168 042 152 152 043 01672 0000000000
1041 1858N 06213W 01542 0090 169 043 152 152 043 01673 0000000000
1041. 1900N 06212W 01541 0088 166 044 134 134 047 01670 0000000000
1042 1902N 06212W 01548 0089 162 042 140 140 045 01678 0000000000
1042. 1904N 06212W 01538 0090 162 042 140 140 043 01668 0000000000
1043 1906N 06212W 01544 0090 157 043 148 148 044 01675 0000000000
1043. 1908N 06212W 01542 0090 153 043 162 162 044 01673 0000000000
1044 1910N 06212W 01544 0090 152 043 164 164 045 01674 0000000000
1044. 1912N 06212W 01542 0090 150 045 166 158 045 01672 0000000000
1045 1914N 06211W 01542 0089 150 044 166 162 045 01672 0000000000
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wxwatcher91
- Category 5
- Posts: 1606
- Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
- Location: Keene, NH
- Contact:
-
Matt-hurricanewatcher
hial2 wrote:Interesting archived pictures...how similar are the synoptics then and now?
http://rsd.gsfc.nasa.gov/rsd/images/and ... nce_lg.jpg
Differents not alot the ULL sheared it through out its early life...Then it got onto the western side. Like this is currently doing right now as you can see that the shear has droped. The difference is Andrew got lucky while Chris doe's not know what a good deal is.
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