Tropical Storm Alberto

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wx247
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#1601 Postby wx247 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:40 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/vis.jpg

At least Alberto had his moment to shine for a few hours, but it still looks pretty well organized at the moment since it has a really good outflow and well defined LLC.


Hmm... I am not seeing what you are apparently. While it is not in horrible shape, I wouldn't call this well organized. Nonetheless, I don't want to be accused of splitting hairs.

The rain shield is inching closer to Tallahassee.
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#1602 Postby Noles2006 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:41 pm

Yeah, 914, this looks like crap to me. Definitely not "well organized"
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#1603 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:42 pm

Well maybe its just organized not well organized, but the outflow of this system looks great.
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#1604 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:43 pm

Noles2006 wrote:wxman57 -- what do you think the prospects are for Alberto to regain some strength overnight? I'd say they're very slim to none...


Hmmm... that's what folks were saying last night! :)
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#1605 Postby cpdaman » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:43 pm

anyone who thinks it is well defined right now needs some medication
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#1606 Postby all_we_know_is_FALLING » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:43 pm

Alberto is a respectable June storm, for sure.
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#1607 Postby Noles2006 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:43 pm

dixie -- yes... but it had one advantage it doesn't have for it now - the loop current.
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#1608 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:44 pm

all_we_know_is_FALLING wrote:Alberto is a respectable June storm, for sure.

Yes sir no doubt about that...and we're still in the first half of June at that.
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#1609 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:45 pm

It could strengthen, yes, but only if shear dies down enough and the dry air does not entrench any more. The Loop Current allowed it to strengthen, which is being lost now.
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#1610 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:46 pm

6SpeedTA95 wrote:
all_we_know_is_FALLING wrote:Alberto is a respectable June storm, for sure.

Yes sir no doubt about that...and we're still in the first half of June at that.


We also learned to expect the unexpected even in June...for when Beryl comes in...
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#1611 Postby whereverwx » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:47 pm

Canelaw99 wrote:Thanks for that AVN loop Calamity. Boy, you can really see the decrease in the severity of the storms - it went from some grays there back to little red in the center of all that. Hopefully that's a sign that he's hit his peak, but as always, it's just a wait, watch, and see game with these storms.


EDIT TO ADD (so as to not add a new post for this): *Hugs* to ya Calamity :) Like I said, I wasn't trying to single you out, it just happened to be the post I quoted :wink: Nothin' but love to my fellow S2Kers :sun: (especially the SE FL ones ;) )

LOL, you're welcome!

terstorm1012 wrote:
Calamity wrote:Here's an updated AVN loop of Alberto: Click here

The cloud tops have warmed a lot since this morning.

And here's a RGB visible loop since sunrise today: Click here


Good links...the center still looks pretty exposed.

(PS What's your avatar?)

That's Tropical Storm Gustav (2003).
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#1612 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:48 pm

shear has died considerably, as evidenced by the expanding outflow, now covering 3 quadrants of the storm. That said, there is still dry air
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#1613 Postby Droop12 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:49 pm

Just my opinion but the radars from the area look pretty damn impressive for a tropical storm. Take a look at the long range from Tallahassee, you'd think a major hurricane was coming judging by the orginization of the rain bands...http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=TLH&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes
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#1614 Postby Noles2006 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:49 pm

Derek -- someone mentioned the LLC and MLC separating (again)... what are you thoughts on that?
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#1615 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:50 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

The center in this loop looks like it is slowly being exposed. If shear doesn't decrease then this may lead to Alberto slowly weakening.
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#1616 Postby Droop12 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:52 pm

Just my opinion but the radars from the area look pretty damn impressive for a tropical storm. Take a look at the long range from Tallahassee, you'd think a major hurricane was coming judging by the orginization of the rain bands...http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/ ... 1&loop=yes
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Derek Ortt

#1617 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:53 pm

All I see is an accelerating system on the radar, which should be inland in about 12 hours
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#1618 Postby Droop12 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:54 pm

I was just judging by appearence, Im not actually forecasting a hurricane.
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#1619 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:57 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:All I see is an accelerating system on the radar, which should be inland in about 12 hours


My thoughts exactly...
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#1620 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 2:58 pm

Should make landfall near the Big Bend area in about 12-24 hrs judging by the SAT loop.
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