Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

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HurricaneHunter914
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#1601 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:02 pm

Never mind he looks like he's around 35-40 mph. He's probably going to disappate tomorrow because of Cuba.
Last edited by HurricaneHunter914 on Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:04 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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bayoubebe
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#1602 Postby bayoubebe » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:02 pm

huh, looks like when I thought that Cuba may tear this thing apart, that may not have been so far fetched after all?

Is dissipation a consideration at this point?
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#1603 Postby WindRunner » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:02 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 271759
AF302 0605A ERNESTO HDOB 21 KNHC
1749. 1836N 07510W 03048 0148 087 020 082 082 021 03243 0000000000
1750 1837N 07512W 03048 0148 084 020 082 082 021 03243 0000000000
1750. 1839N 07513W 03048 0149 086 020 080 080 020 03243 0000000000
1751 1840N 07515W 03049 0149 089 019 080 080 019 03244 0000000000
1751. 1841N 07516W 03047 0151 093 017 080 080 018 03245 0000000000
1752 1842N 07518W 03051 0159 098 015 080 080 016 03256 0000000000
1752. 1840N 07519W 03047 0154 096 014 080 080 015 03247 0000000000
1753 1839N 07519W 03047 0149 096 013 080 080 013 03243 0000000000
1753. 1837N 07519W 03048 0148 092 013 080 080 014 03243 0000000000
1754 1835N 07519W 03048 0149 088 012 080 080 013 03244 0000000000
1754. 1833N 07519W 03048 0148 084 011 080 080 011 03243 0000000000
1755 1831N 07519W 03048 0149 076 011 080 080 011 03244 0000000000
1755. 1830N 07520W 03048 0148 073 008 080 080 010 03242 0000000000
1756 1828N 07520W 03049 0148 061 008 080 076 008 03243 0000000000
1756. 1826N 07520W 03048 0147 060 009 080 078 009 03241 0000000000
1757 1824N 07520W 03048 0147 042 008 080 076 008 03241 0000000000
1757. 1822N 07520W 03049 0148 048 009 080 076 010 03243 0000000000
1758 1821N 07520W 03047 0147 055 012 080 076 012 03241 0000000000
1758. 1819N 07520W 03048 0147 060 013 080 078 013 03241 0000000000
1759 1817N 07520W 03048 0147 061 013 076 076 013 03242 0000000000
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#1604 Postby Bgator » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:02 pm

Sorry double post...my bad...
Last edited by Bgator on Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:03 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#1605 Postby superfly » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:02 pm

Haiti = storm killer
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#1606 Postby miamicanes177 » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:02 pm

NHC maintains hurricane intensity at 2pm advisory...75mph
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#1607 Postby LeeJet » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:02 pm

Pathetic system. It's like pulling teeth to get a decent storm this year.
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#1608 Postby JtSmarts » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:02 pm

Was his pressure that high as a TD? :?: :?:
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WindRunner
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#1609 Postby WindRunner » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:03 pm

URNT11 KNHC 271757
97779 17504 10186 75208 30500 09020 08088 /3159
RMK AF302 0605A ERNESTO OB 09

Now headin south along the western side of the storm.
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#1610 Postby Brent » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:03 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:NHC maintains hurricane intensity at 2pm advisory...75mph


It won't be a hurricane at 5 if this it all they find. It won't even be a strong TS.
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cheezyWXguy
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#1611 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:03 pm

I dont think that they even found a center yet...theres no way...you cant have even the 35kt estimate and 1007mb...I think they just decided on a place and called it the center
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#1612 Postby WxGuy1 » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:03 pm

WindRunner wrote:Dang, that's barely a TS. Excuse me, but :eek: .


Max FL wind of 30kts?! That's barely tropical depression intensity when reduced to sea-level! I usually don't make short posts like this, but :eek: I can't imagine they nailed the main core, but I don't know obviously. Goes to show how important internal processes are in storm organization and intensity, since shear nor dry air seem to be strong enough to cause such a rapid weakening.
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#1613 Postby storms in NC » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:03 pm

You can look at the wloop and tell it is weaker. But as someone said that happens sometimes in the day and in the evening it would pick back up.
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bombarderoazul
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#1614 Postby bombarderoazul » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:03 pm

Ernesto might be back to tropical storm, good news!
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#1615 Postby caneman74 » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:04 pm

guys can the recon plane get a fix of pressure and winds at 10000 feet??? I didn't think it was accurate at that altitude..Please correct me if I'm wrong.
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brunota2003
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#1616 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:04 pm

:eek: holy crap :eek: that is crazy...10 millibars in a few hours...if that is true, then that is rapid weakening...just...wow...I dont believe it...
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theworld
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#1617 Postby theworld » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:04 pm

Ernie is about to hit warmer SST's.

http://polar.ncep.noaa.gov/sst/oper/natl_sst_oper0.gif
Last edited by theworld on Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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craptacular
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#1618 Postby craptacular » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:05 pm

The aircraft is heading south now. It'll be a while before we see the NE quad winds.
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fci
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#1619 Postby fci » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:05 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Never mind he looks like he's around 35-40 mph. He's probably going to disappate tomorrow because of Cuba.


Where did you get that it has around 35-40 MPH winds.
Link????
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clfenwi
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#1620 Postby clfenwi » Sun Aug 27, 2006 1:06 pm

Just did the math to determine the motion between the recon fixes... 7 knots, heading 312° , which is NW.
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