Tropical Storm Chris

[Brent]

I'm having a hard time believing the pressure went up to 1007 mb...

[mtm4319]

6 millibars up from 11am? Doesn't sound right at all. And the AF plane couldn't have found that Chris has not strengthened, because it hadn't even reached most of the storm by the time the advisory must have been written.

[westmoon]

that would be a good sign in mb's did go up but i'm gona guess it's an error
that would be a big change in just 3 hrs

[MississippiHurricane]

Might the pressure have gone up because it looks like its getting bigger?

[cheezyWXguy]

its not an error...in fact it may be a sign its strengthening...I saw this advisory and started to think of a storm last year that did the same thing an started blowing up 6-12 hours later, but i cant remember which storm

[Swimdude]

I think 3 people just posted the same message, but in different words! Hehe.

[MiamiensisWx]

Still no new set of data... I can't believe another missed one again!

[mtm4319]

Don't storms go up in pressure a bit before rapid strengthening?

No.

[Derek Ortt]

this is obviously now not a near hurricane

The surface center is nearly exposed and is well ahead of the MLC. What we were tracking today has been the MLC apparantly, meaning there must be some westerly shear, or a low-level easterly SAL jet

[mtm4319]

... this is the advisory thread...

[flhurricaneguy]

Don't storms go up in pressure a bit before rapid strengthening?

No.

i remember that happening with one storm last year. it is possible for storms to intensify after the millibars have raised

[Extremeweatherguy]

6 millibars up from 11am? Doesn't sound right at all. And the AF plane couldn't have found that Chris has not strengthened, because it hadn't even reached most of the storm by the time the advisory must have been written.

exactly, yet the advisory says that "recon has found that Chris has not strengthened". Makes no sense to me.

[Canelaw99]

It seemed like there was one that did last year....don't know...

It just doesn't make sense that the pressure went up that much in only 3 hours when it's looking better on satellite...

[StormsAhead]

The next set is also missing...two in a row

[Derek Ortt]

must be a transmission problem as the pass was provided

center is nearly exposed, racing ahead of the convection

[WindRunner]

Still no new set of data... I can't believe another missed one again!

They appear to be doing this today. As they were taking off, we got a set. Then missed the next one, and the one after it came in a full 10 minutes late, and was up for less than a minute before it was updated. They're obviously having some problems.

[cheezyWXguy]

its not weakening...with a pressure rise like that and the same winds, its probably cuz its getting ready to strengthen and is probably expanding right now...i think by the time recon decides to exit it gains hurricane status

[clfenwi]

SXXX50 KNHC 021756
AF308 0303A CHRIS HDOB 09 KNHC
1744. 1911N 06346W 01527 0071 240 034 162 162 035 01639 0000000000
1745 1912N 06347W 01521 0070 245 034 154 154 036 01632 0000000000
1745. 1913N 06348W 01524 0068 248 035 160 160 035 01633 0000000000
1746 1915N 06349W 01526 0067 248 035 160 160 035 01634 0000000000
1746. 1916N 06350W 01523 0068 255 035 156 156 035 01631 0000000000
1747 1917N 06350W 01525 0065 260 035 158 158 036 01631 0000000000
1747. 1919N 06351W 01523 0062 260 034 164 164 035 01626 0000000000
1748 1921N 06351W 01524 0061 260 031 162 162 032 01626 0000000000
1748. 1922N 06352W 01523 0061 266 029 160 160 030 01625 0000000000
1749 1924N 06352W 01522 0058 269 027 162 162 028 01620 0000000000
1749. 1925N 06352W 01528 0049 252 024 180 174 026 01617 0000000000
1750 1927N 06352W 01525 0045 244 023 186 176 024 01611 0000000000
1750. 1929N 06353W 01522 0044 257 021 176 176 022 01607 0000000000
1751 1930N 06354W 01524 0041 255 018 176 176 019 01606 0000000000
1751. 1932N 06354W 01524 0038 245 012 184 176 013 01602 0000000000
1752 1933N 06355W 01524 0038 236 010 196 164 011 01603 0000000000
1752. 1935N 06356W 01524 0037 248 009 208 156 009 01601 0000000000
1753 1936N 06357W 01524 0036 297 003 214 152 007 01601 0000000000
1753. 1937N 06357W 01525 0036 031 006 218 146 008 01601 0000000000
1754 1939N 06358W 01526 0034 060 008 226 140 011 01601 0000000000

SXXX50 KNHC 021806
AF308 0303A CHRIS HDOB 10 KNHC
1754. 1940N 06400W 01524 0036 043 015 218 142 016 01601 0000000000
1755 1941N 06401W 01520 0037 039 020 212 140 020 01598 0000000000
1755. 1942N 06402W 01526 0041 035 021 212 132 022 01608 0000000000
1756 1943N 06403W 01522 0043 030 023 214 124 024 01606 0000000000
1756. 1945N 06404W 01525 0046 038 022 216 128 023 01611 0000000000
1757 1946N 06406W 01526 0048 037 024 220 124 026 01615 0000000000
1757. 1947N 06407W 01523 0050 039 029 202 146 030 01614 0000000000
1758 1948N 06408W 01522 0052 040 031 198 144 032 01615 0000000000
1758. 1949N 06409W 01525 0054 033 032 198 140 032 01619 0000000000
1759 1950N 06411W 01525 0057 030 031 202 128 031 01623 0000000000
1759. 1951N 06412W 01524 0060 034 031 214 112 031 01625 0000000000
1800 1952N 06413W 01524 0061 040 031 212 112 032 01626 0000000000
1800. 1954N 06414W 01525 0063 043 031 210 114 032 01628 0000000000
1801 1955N 06415W 01524 0065 048 033 206 116 033 01629 0000000000
1801. 1956N 06417W 01523 0066 048 032 204 120 032 01630 0000000000
1802 1957N 06418W 01524 0068 049 029 202 120 029 01633 0000000000
1802. 1958N 06419W 01524 0071 052 030 198 122 031 01636 0000000000
1803 1959N 06420W 01523 0074 050 031 190 134 031 01638 0000000000
1803. 2001N 06422W 01523 0076 048 030 186 140 030 01640 0000000000
1804 2002N 06423W 01526 0077 048 033 186 132 034 01644 0000000000

[Weatherfreak000]

You guys who think it's gonna go to the DR, tell me how you think this storm is gonna start making a straight up SOUTHWEST turn right now. Explain that to me.

[mtm4319]

Don't storms go up in pressure a bit before rapid strengthening?

No.

i remember that happening with one storm last year. it is possible for storms to intensify after the millibars have raised

It's possible, but doesn't usually happen.