Tropical Storm Chris

[GeneratorPower]

That's fake spanish or latin for "Diurnal Maximum".

[Aquawind]

I don't think pressure will up and winds go down.

I am thinking pressure down and winds up at the 11pm at least.. allowing a little catch up time..

[GeneratorPower]

If it isn't fake, please don't slap me.

[sweetpea]

Actually that would make sense, seeing as how he is from Peru. Shame on me for not realizing it, I am also spanish.

[Stratusxpeye]

I think he'll open his eye right into this deep burst of convection in a few hours. But not yet. Waiting for the meximal diurne. It will be funny. Wonder what will Vortex say. I don't think pressure will up and winds go down.

"meximal diurne." What does that mean? Thanks
Debbie

Basically the convection grows because of the temperature difference due to the cooler air at night.

[beachbum_al]

I think it is moving WNW at 9 mph

000
WTNT23 KNHC 022030
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006
2100 UTC WED AUG 02 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 64.3W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

[mtm4319]

I will be posting minobs and vortex messages along with the GE maps. Can anyone else volunteer to post the other stuff such as dropsondes?
http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/recon.htm

[miamicanes177]

Any dvorak estimates for Chris yet?

T3.9 is the raw and T3.5 for the 6 and 3 hour averages.

[MiamiensisWx]

Another missed observation AGAIN?! New one (or vortex) hasn't come in in 10 minutes or so...

[Aquawind]

A new Vortex Message shortly.Let's see if the pressure has dropped since the last fix.

Bring on RECON.. I think it has dropped.. Some deep convection popping..

[Damar91]

Any dvorak estimates for Chris yet?

T3.9 is the raw and T3.5 for the 6 and 3 hour averages.

Where do you get these estimates?

[deltadog03]

maybe an eyewall setting up?? High DBZ as well as nice rotation and light...

[mtm4319]

Another missed observation AGAIN?! New one (or vortex) hasn't come in in 10 minutes or so...

latest ob:
2153. 1933N 06404W

[WmE]

That's 55 knots,right?

[max]

maybe an eyewall setting up?? High DBZ as well as nice rotation and light...

Interesting to say the least!

[mtm4319]

880
SXXX50 KNHC 022206
AF308 0303A CHRIS HDOB 34 KNHC
2154. 1931N 06402W 01523 0062 230 029 160 160 030 01625 0000000000
2155 1930N 06401W 01531 0063 231 035 150 150 039 01635 0000000000
2155. 1929N 06400W 01523 0062 220 032 140 140 033 01625 0000000000
2156 1928N 06358W 01526 0062 217 036 136 136 038 01629 0000000000
2156. 1926N 06357W 01522 0063 212 036 130 130 040 01627 0000000000
2157 1925N 06356W 01527 0067 207 033 132 132 035 01636 0000000000
2157. 1924N 06355W 01522 0069 208 034 132 132 034 01632 0000000000
2158 1923N 06354W 01524 0072 195 042 136 136 045 01637 0000000000
2158. 1922N 06353W 01530 0070 185 047 126 126 048 01640 0000000000
2159 1921N 06352W 01523 0069 190 047 122 122 049 01633 0000000000
2159. 1921N 06351W 01525 0074 195 050 120 120 051 01640 0000000000
2200 1920N 06350W 01527 0079 196 045 122 122 046 01647 0000000000
2200. 1919N 06349W 01525 0080 194 040 120 120 042 01646 0000000000
2201 1918N 06348W 01525 0079 191 038 120 120 040 01645 0000000000
2201. 1917N 06347W 01530 0080 188 042 122 122 047 01651 0000000000
2202 1916N 06346W 01513 0078 188 046 120 120 048 01632 0000000000
2202. 1915N 06345W 01528 0081 184 039 116 116 040 01650 0000000000
2203 1914N 06344W 01526 0082 183 041 112 112 042 01649 0000000000
2203. 1913N 06343W 01526 0083 191 040 116 116 041 01650 0000000000
2204 1912N 06342W 01526 0086 196 039 116 116 040 01653 0000000000
;

[mtm4319]

096
URNT12 KNHC 022208
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 02/21:46:30Z
B. 19 deg 49 min N
064 deg 22 min W
C. 850 mb 1492 m
D. 40 kt
E. 353 deg 020 nm
F. 091 deg 041 kt
G. 352 deg 022 nm
H. 1007 mb
I. 18 C/ 1521 m
J. 24 C/ 1515 m
K. 11 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.31 / 2 nm
P. AF308 0303A CHRIS OB 15
MAX FL WIND 53 KT NE QUAD 19:51:10 Z

[miamicanes177]

Where do you get these estimates?

Well it was T3.9 but its T3.5 now. And you can get the numbers from: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/adt/odt1.html

[HurricaneHunter914]

maybe an eyewall setting up?? High DBZ as well as nice rotation and light...

I think you are pointing at an outerband, not the center.

[MiamiensisWx]

BIG increase in the windspeeds closer to the center and convective blowup...