Tropical Storm Chris

[Extremeweatherguy]

I think it's just a wobble because the intense ball of convection has somewhat of a SW movement. Overall it's still northwest as far as the center is concerened. Just My opinion.

yeah it is weird. The visible shot shows no SW motion with Chris, yet the IR looks like it has shifted south. I guess we will just see where this is in a few hrs.

[cheezyWXguy]

I think its due to an eye feature trying to form, although it should be a few hours before it actually means anything in terms of strengthening

[Nimbus]

The convection is picking up a little and the winds will likely follow suit but in time for an upgrade at 11PM.

[Extremeweatherguy]

After reviewing it a few times I think the center is still moving WNW, but shear is causing the convection to be blown southward. Once Chris reaches lesser shear to it's west it should strengthen.

[mtm4319]

422
SXXX50 KNHC 022306
AF308 0303A CHRIS HDOB 40 KNHC
2254. 2037N 06306W 01526 0110 142 036 152 152 038 01678 0000000000
2255 2039N 06306W 01526 0111 141 035 156 154 035 01678 0000000000
2255. 2042N 06305W 01524 0111 140 037 158 144 037 01677 0000000000
2256 2044N 06304W 01525 0112 142 035 156 148 036 01679 0000000000
2256. 2045N 06303W 01525 0113 143 034 150 150 035 01680 0000000000
2257 2047N 06301W 01523 0115 145 033 148 148 035 01680 0000000000
2257. 2049N 06301W 01529 0115 138 035 146 146 037 01685 0000000000
2258 2052N 06302W 01524 0115 135 034 150 148 036 01681 0000000000
2258. 2054N 06303W 01522 0115 134 030 150 144 031 01679 0000000000
2259 2056N 06303W 01525 0115 139 031 154 148 032 01682 0000000000
2259. 2059N 06303W 01526 0116 145 031 154 150 032 01683 0000000000
2300 2101N 06303W 01520 0115 139 036 154 154 037 01677 0000000000
2300. 2103N 06303W 01526 0115 139 032 158 154 033 01683 0000000000
2301 2105N 06303W 01527 0116 137 031 154 154 032 01684 0000000000
2301. 2107N 06303W 01526 0117 143 030 156 154 030 01685 0000000000
2302 2109N 06305W 01527 0116 137 030 158 150 031 01686 0000000000
2302. 2111N 06307W 01524 0115 136 031 154 154 033 01681 0000000000
2303 2112N 06309W 01518 0116 134 030 156 156 031 01676 0000000000
2303. 2113N 06310W 01521 0118 136 031 152 152 031 01681 0000000000
2304 2113N 06312W 01524 0116 134 029 146 146 030 01682 0000000000
;


The flight path heading is a lot more NW/WNW now, so I think they're about to start heading toward the center.

[JonathanBelles]

2 steps forward (yesturday) 1 step back (today)

[Noles2006]

Its because I have been looking at some of the data he's been looking at and not only that there is still some SAL this TS has to go through. I was just kinda mad at the time because I thought he was saying this is going to weaken alot.

and so what if it does? Are you then going to get mad because it did that? Unless, your met or someone with a lot of experience and I mean a lot, I would just sit back and learn just like I am. I am no met or experienced person, but when it comes to this, I shut up, listen, and learn..

I guess I do have trouble shutting up. I guess I'll start now.

Nah, don't shut up... just don't bash the pro mets. Nobody on this board has the right, IMO, to call out the pro mets. They worked VERY hard to get to where they are at and us amateurs should respect them, not bash them.

[vbhoutex]

Its because I have been looking at some of the data he's been looking at and not only that there is still some SAL this TS has to go through. I was just kinda mad at the time because I thought he was saying this is going to weaken alot.

and so what if it does? Are you then going to get mad because it did that? Unless, your met or someone with a lot of experience and I mean a lot, I would just sit back and learn just like I am. I am no met or experienced person, but when it comes to this, I shut up, listen, and learn..

I guess I do have trouble shutting up. I guess I'll start now.

Nah, don't shut up... just don't bash the pro mets. Nobody on this board has the right, IMO, to call out the pro mets. They worked VERY hard to get to where they are at and us amateurs should respect them, not bash them.

Thank you!! Now I don't have to repeat myself!

[mtm4319]

745
SXXX50 KNHC 022316
AF308 0303A CHRIS HDOB 41 KNHC
2304. 2112N 06313W 01525 0115 131 027 150 150 028 01682 0000000000
2305 2111N 06315W 01526 0115 128 027 154 154 028 01682 0000000000
2305. 2109N 06316W 01524 0114 129 030 154 154 031 01679 0000000000
2306 2108N 06317W 01526 0114 132 031 150 150 031 01681 0000000000
2306. 2107N 06318W 01526 0114 135 031 148 148 032 01682 0000000000
2307 2106N 06320W 01523 0113 132 031 158 136 031 01678 0000000000
2307. 2105N 06321W 01526 0114 129 030 150 150 030 01681 0000000000
2308 2104N 06322W 01524 0113 130 030 152 144 031 01679 0000000000
2308. 2103N 06323W 01526 0113 129 031 148 148 032 01681 0000000000
2309 2101N 06325W 01524 0112 132 032 148 146 032 01678 0000000000
2309. 2100N 06326W 01527 0113 134 035 154 146 037 01682 0000000000
2310 2059N 06327W 01525 0111 137 037 156 146 038 01678 0000000000
2310. 2058N 06328W 01527 0111 137 038 152 152 038 01680 0000000000
2311 2057N 06330W 01524 0109 143 032 150 150 034 01675 0000000000
2311. 2056N 06331W 01524 0108 141 033 148 148 034 01674 0000000000
2312 2055N 06332W 01526 0108 133 035 150 150 036 01675 0000000000
2312. 2053N 06333W 01526 0107 131 036 154 154 037 01674 0000000000
2313 2052N 06334W 01525 0106 131 035 148 148 035 01672 0000000000
2313. 2051N 06336W 01525 0106 134 037 150 132 040 01673 0000000000
2314 2050N 06337W 01527 0105 136 039 152 118 040 01674 0000000000
;



Heading back toward the center now.

[miamicanes177]

Raw T4.0...75mph

[mtm4319]

They're getting ready to sample the NE quadrant again.

[tgenius]

Raw T4.0...75mph

Dvorak is not needed during a recon flight

[all_we_know_is_FALLING]

Its because I have been looking at some of the data he's been looking at and not only that there is still some SAL this TS has to go through. I was just kinda mad at the time because I thought he was saying this is going to weaken alot.

and so what if it does? Are you then going to get mad because it did that? Unless, your met or someone with a lot of experience and I mean a lot, I would just sit back and learn just like I am. I am no met or experienced person, but when it comes to this, I shut up, listen, and learn..

I guess I do have trouble shutting up. I guess I'll start now.

Nah, don't shut up... just don't bash the pro mets. Nobody on this board has the right, IMO, to call out the pro mets. They worked VERY hard to get to where they are at and us amateurs should respect them, not bash them.

Thank you!! Now I don't have to repeat myself!

While I agree, no one has the right to BASH anyone. Sorry..
There are ways of saying someone is wrong or incorrect in a nice and unoffending manner.
Amateurs and young people here are the next generation of pro mets so don't put us down either.

[miamicanes177]

Raw T4.0...75mph

Dvorak is not needed during a recon flight

This is not the recon thread and I just wanted to add information to the board. Sorry, my bad.

[mtm4319]

Isn't there another flight taking off soon?

[MississippiHurricane]

How long until it gets out of the current shear pattern?

[windycity]

while we can disagree about what this crazy huurricane is doing, we need to sit back and THANK every single pro met on this board for the time they put in, for US. They do it on their own and ask nothing in return. The least we can do is show them respect.,and tell them THANKYOU often.!!!!!!

[tgenius]

Raw T4.0...75mph

Dvorak is not needed during a recon flight

This is not the recon thread and I just wanted to add information to the board. Sorry, my bad.

I didn't mean it negatively, just with the plane in there, the readings are more accurate then Dvorak..plus recon is flying back towards the center...

[mtm4319]

912
SXXX50 KNHC 022326
AF308 0303A CHRIS HDOB 42 KNHC
2314. 2049N 06338W 01525 0104 138 040 152 110 041 01671 0000000000
2315 2048N 06339W 01526 0103 137 040 156 108 041 01670 0000000000
2315. 2047N 06341W 01524 0102 133 041 158 110 042 01667 0000000000
2316 2045N 06342W 01526 0101 132 042 156 126 042 01668 0000000000
2316. 2044N 06343W 01524 0099 133 043 154 120 044 01665 0000000000
2317 2043N 06344W 01526 0099 132 043 148 124 044 01666 0000000000
2317. 2042N 06345W 01525 0098 134 043 146 134 044 01665 0000000000
2318 2041N 06347W 01525 0096 133 044 144 136 045 01663 0000000000
2318. 2040N 06348W 01525 0096 134 045 146 120 046 01663 0000000000
2319 2039N 06349W 01527 0096 131 044 152 112 044 01664 0000000000
2319. 2037N 06350W 01525 0095 135 042 152 134 043 01661 0000000000
2320 2036N 06352W 01524 0094 138 045 148 142 045 01660 0000000000
2320. 2035N 06353W 01525 0093 136 043 148 146 044 01660 0000000000
2321 2034N 06354W 01526 0093 134 042 142 142 042 01661 0000000000
2321. 2033N 06355W 01526 0092 133 041 144 144 042 01660 0000000000
2322 2032N 06356W 01524 0091 133 041 146 146 042 01657 0000000000
2322. 2031N 06358W 01526 0091 132 041 148 146 043 01658 0000000000
2323 2029N 06359W 01525 0089 133 042 142 142 042 01656 0000000000
2323. 2028N 06400W 01526 0089 132 043 138 138 045 01656 0000000000
2324 2027N 06401W 01525 0087 130 043 142 142 044 01654 0000000000
;

[cycloneye]

Isn't there another flight taking off soon?

FLIGHT THREE
A. 03/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 0503A CYCLONE
C. 03/0500Z
D. 20.0N 67.3W
E. 03/0530Z TO 03/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT


It will be in the overnight hours.