Tropical Storm Chris

[MiamiensisWx]

Several readings over 40KT at flight level just in...

[mtm4319]

Isn't there another flight taking off soon?

FLIGHT THREE
A. 03/0600,1200Z
B. AFXXX 0503A CYCLONE
C. 03/0500Z
D. 20.0N 67.3W
E. 03/0530Z TO 03/1200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT


It will be in the overnight hours.

I thought there was one at 0000Z... must have been canceled.

[Extremeweatherguy]

How long until it gets out of the current shear pattern?

probably by tomorrow morning at the latest.

I could be wrong though.

[MississippiHurricane]

Thanks Extremeweatherguy!

[stormtruth]

Raw T4.0...75mph

so this it not at all weakening like some suggested.

[Stratosphere747]

There is a G-IV flight scheduled, I believe.

[Innotech]

Raw T4.0...75mph

so this it not at all weakening like some suggested.

it was, but by now it is likely regaining its composure.

[storms in NC]

Its because I have been looking at some of the data he's been looking at and not only that there is still some SAL this TS has to go through. I was just kinda mad at the time because I thought he was saying this is going to weaken alot.

and so what if it does? Are you then going to get mad because it did that? Unless, your met or someone with a lot of experience and I mean a lot, I would just sit back and learn just like I am. I am no met or experienced person, but when it comes to this, I shut up, listen, and learn..

I guess I do have trouble shutting up. I guess I'll start now.

Nah, don't shut up... just don't bash the pro mets. Nobody on this board has the right, IMO, to call out the pro mets. They worked VERY hard to get to where they are at and us amateurs should respect them, not bash them.

Thank you!! Now I don't have to repeat myself!

While I agree, no one has the right to BASH anyone. Sorry..
There are ways of saying someone is wrong or incorrect in a nice and unoffending manner.
Amateurs and young people here are the next generation of pro mets so don't put us down either.

Now that was very will put. We All are NOT GOD. We make mistakes and and we all have our opinions them being right or wrong

[mtm4319]

677
SXXX50 KNHC 022336
AF308 0303A CHRIS HDOB 43 KNHC
2324. 2026N 06403W 01525 0087 129 043 140 140 043 01654 0000000000
2325 2025N 06404W 01525 0086 131 042 140 140 043 01653 0000000000
2325. 2024N 06405W 01526 0086 129 040 142 142 041 01654 0000000000
2326 2022N 06406W 01525 0085 126 042 146 146 043 01652 0000000000
2326. 2021N 06407W 01526 0085 135 046 152 152 046 01652 0000000000
2327 2020N 06409W 01526 0083 135 051 162 154 052 01651 0000000000
2327. 2019N 06410W 01525 0081 137 052 166 154 053 01648 0000000000
2328 2018N 06411W 01525 0079 136 045 166 158 047 01646 0000000000
2328. 2017N 06412W 01524 0077 136 044 170 154 044 01643 0000000000
2329 2016N 06413W 01526 0075 136 043 164 154 044 01642 0000000000
2329. 2014N 06415W 01525 0074 133 039 162 154 040 01641 0000000000
2330 2013N 06416W 01527 0074 122 036 160 158 037 01643 0000000000
2330. 2012N 06417W 01526 0074 119 033 164 152 035 01641 0000000000
2331 2011N 06418W 01522 0071 121 035 166 148 036 01635 0000000000
2331. 2009N 06419W 01526 0070 123 034 174 140 036 01637 0000000000
2332 2008N 06420W 01528 0069 122 039 180 134 040 01638 0000000000
2332. 2007N 06421W 01525 0068 108 035 184 130 036 01634 0000000000
2333 2005N 06422W 01525 0067 104 034 1'6Fg6FV
2333. 2004N 06423W 01527 0067 109 033 196 124 035 01635 0000000000
2334 2002N 06423W 01524 0064 107 036 204 120 040 01629 0000000000
;

[cheezyWXguy]

HAS NO ONE NOTICED THIS!?!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/wv-l.jpg
an eye!!!

[Extremeweatherguy]

HAS NO ONE NOTICED THIS!?!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/wv-l.jpg
an eye!!!

there is no eye there.

[JonathanBelles]

even though dorvak is no good right now how do you know that it is 4.0?

[mtm4319]

Not this again...

[f5]

look at the brown water vapor colors he has to face

[mtm4319]

53 knots FL

[Derek Ortt]

always go with the actual observations, not the Dvorak.

Dvorak numbers are mere estimates, not actual data

[Extremeweatherguy]

53 knots FL

well to the NE of the center too, and not even in the deepest convection.

[wxman57]

After reviewing it a few times I think the center is still moving WNW, but shear is causing the convection to be blown southward. Once Chris reaches lesser shear to it's west it should strengthen.

The southwest movement of that "blob" you're seeing could simply be a large thunderstorm rotating cyclonically around the center. Don't assume it is the center.

[cheezyWXguy]

HAS NO ONE NOTICED THIS!?!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/wv-l.jpg
an eye!!!

there is no eye there.

Ok I know Im crazy...but look...right along the 20N line theres a warmer area...that is not my imagination...is there a reason for this?

[Innotech]

actually, looking at WV loop I notice the ridge is smashing the storm flat to the north. Is it about to perhaps head southwest in response?