Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

[craptacular]

730
SXXX50 KNHC 311847
AF300 2305A ERNESTO HDOB 14 KNHC
1834. 3224N 07839W 01525 5038 140 049 176 168 049 01519 0000000000
1835 3225N 07837W 01520 5035 139 048 160 160 050 01517 0000000000
1835. 3226N 07836W 01529 5034 134 051 162 162 052 01526 0000000000
1836 3228N 07835W 01515 5032 135 049 164 164 051 01514 0000000000
1836. 3229N 07833W 01528 5028 138 049 176 176 050 01531 0000000000
1837 3230N 07832W 01524 5026 140 050 174 174 051 01529 0000000000
1837. 3231N 07831W 01523 5023 140 046 174 174 048 01531 0000000000
1838 3232N 07829W 01525 5021 142 047 172 172 048 01535 0000000000
1838. 3233N 07828W 01522 5020 142 048 178 174 049 01534 0000000000
1839 3234N 07826W 01524 5017 141 046 178 174 047 01539 0000000000
1839. 3235N 07825W 01524 5015 141 046 180 170 047 01541 0000000000
1840 3237N 07824W 01524 5013 143 043 176 170 043 01541 0000000000
1840. 3238N 07822W 01524 5012 142 041 178 170 042 01543 0000000000
1841 3239N 07821W 01523 5010 143 042 176 176 043 01544 0000000000
1841. 3240N 07819W 01523 5010 145 044 172 172 044 01545 0000000000
1842 3241N 07818W 01527 5007 145 045 172 172 045 01551 0000000000
1842. 3242N 07816W 01523 5006 146 043 176 172 043 01549 0000000000
1843 3244N 07815W 01524 5004 150 043 178 170 044 01551 0000000000
1843. 3245N 07814W 01523 5003 152 044 182 166 046 01552 0000000000
1844 3246N 07812W 01525 5001 151 045 176 170 046 01556 0000000000

[Brent]

Continue.

Thread 2: http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=88820

[cycloneye]

Is the NOAA plane going to make another pass in the comming hour or the mission is over?

[craptacular]

The plan of the day only had them going until 1800Z (an hour ago), so I'm guessing they waited for the AF plane to arrive and will now be leaving.

[craptacular]

687
SXXX50 KNHC 311857
AF300 2305A ERNESTO HDOB 15 KNHC
1844. 3247N 07811W 01524 0001 150 044 176 170 044 01555 0000000000
1845 3248N 07809W 01525 0002 150 044 176 164 044 01558 0000000000
1845. 3249N 07808W 01523 0004 150 043 178 166 043 01558 0000000000
1846 3251N 07806W 01525 0005 152 042 178 162 043 01560 0000000000
1846. 3252N 07805W 01524 0007 153 042 178 166 043 01562 0000000000
1847 3253N 07803W 01523 0008 151 041 172 172 042 01563 0000000000
1847. 3254N 07802W 01527 0009 147 042 166 166 044 01567 0000000000
1848 3255N 07800W 01521 0010 146 041 168 168 042 01562 0000000000
1848. 3256N 07759W 01524 0011 146 042 172 172 043 01566 0000000000
1849 3258N 07758W 01531 0013 145 042 164 164 045 01575 0000000000
1849. 3259N 07756W 01514 0013 143 041 160 160 045 01558 0000000000
1850 3300N 07755W 01526 0014 143 045 166 166 048 01572 0000000000
1850. 3301N 07753W 01522 0015 130 042 146 146 044 01568 0000000000
1851 3302N 07752W 01526 0016 131 036 154 154 040 01573 0000000000
1851. 3303N 07751W 01525 0018 133 035 172 172 038 01574 0000000000
1852 3304N 07749W 01524 0020 131 038 166 166 041 01576 0000000000
1852. 3305N 07748W 01528 0021 130 044 164 164 046 01580 0000000000
1853 3306N 07746W 01522 0018 129 045 154 154 046 01571 0000000000
1853. 3308N 07745W 01522 0020 133 052 150 150 060 01572 0000000000
1854 3309N 07744W 01522 0023 135 042 152 152 044 01577 0000000000

60 kts at flight level.

[artist]

with 10% reduction would make it 54 surface then?

[craptacular]

not sure if StormsAhead is still following, so ...

URNT40 KWBC 311810
NOAA2 2205A ERNESTO
180100 3138 07924 7055 -0008 305024 +158 +142 307027 053 014
180200 3135 07927 7058 +0006 293044 +158 +130 291052 057 029
180300 3133 07929 7050 +0040 298039 +158 +131 294046 044 005
180400 3130 07933 7060 +0065 299035 +150 +134 304037 040 001
180500 3127 07936 7066 +0084 304039 +155 +124 305041 041 002
180600 3124 07939 7060 +0099 303040 +152 +125 299041 043 007
180700 3121 07942 7081 +0118 300039 +154 +131 297040 043 007
180800 3119 07945 7111 +0143 304036 +160 +104 307036 039 000
180900 3116 07948 7062 +0157 303037 +157 +108 303038 038 000
181000 3113 07951 7058 +0172 306034 +153 +112 304035 039 000
181100 3110 07954 7057 -0023 291030 +159 +098 219043 037 000
181200 3108 07958 7060 +0198 297035 +153 +094 296036 036 000
181300 3105 08001 7064 +0209 294036 +145 +123 301038 038 006
181400 3102 08004 7061 +0222 286034 +152 +102 285036 034 000
181500 3059 08007 7063 +0229 279030 +146 +103 283031 033 000
181600 3057 08010 7062 +0237 281031 +146 +088 279031 032 000
181700 3054 08013 7059 +0145 273030 +144 +100 239035 031 000
181800 3051 08016 7061 +0250 281031 +144 +098 281031 030 000
181900 3049 08019 7062 -0114 254031 +145 +095 200080 030 000
182000 3046 08022 7059 +0258 286030 +149 +088 287031 028 000
182100 3043 08025 7060 +0263 288031 +146 +089 291033 028 000
182200 3040 08028 7058 +0269 288033 +145 +089 287035 029 000
182300 3038 08026 7056 +0273 286037 +143 +096 285037 029 000
182400 3037 08021 7060 +0269 283037 +143 +099 282037 030 000
182500 3038 08016 7062 +0265 283038 +146 +097 282039 031 000
182600 3038 08011 7062 +0261 282040 +146 +093 282041 033 000
182700 3039 08005 7060 +0259 281041 +145 +094 281042 036 000
182800 3039 08000 7057 +0254 278044 +146 +092 279046 036 000
182900 3040 07955 7061 +0249 276044 +148 +091 274044 037 000
183000 3040 07949 7055 +0247 275046 +146 +094 277046 037 000
184100 3047 07849 7059 +0224 267050 +147 +111 265051 042 000
184200 3047 07843 7060 +0223 265051 +152 +105 264053 043 001
184300 3048 07837 7057 +0224 261053 +157 +096 260054 044 002
184500 3049 07826 7114 +0160 252049 +155 +123 253058 043 014
184600 3050 07821 7161 +0232 256055 +151 +118 257056 042 002
184700 3051 07815 7073 +0232 257053 +156 +106 257054 040 000
184800 3053 07810 7069 +0233 253055 +153 +108 254056 041 000
184900 3054 07804 7072 +0234 249054 +151 +103 251055 041 000
185000 3056 07759 7071 +0234 247053 +150 +106 246054 038 000

[craptacular]

OK, so i'm wrong ... looks like they (NOAA) are still flying around for another pass.

[Thunder44]

with 10% reduction would make it 54 surface then?

That's more than a 100 miles from the center.

[craptacular]

653
URNT40 KWBC 311900
NOAA2 2205A ERNESTO
185100 3057 07754 7069 +0237 243051 +153 +105 246052 036 000
185200 3059 07748 7065 +0241 241051 +154 +105 238052 036 000
185300 3100 07743 7068 +0241 244053 +158 +099 242055 036 000
185400 3101 07738 7072 -0766 308033 +157 +100 004135 038 000
185500 3103 07733 7067 +0253 234049 +153 +108 232051 037 000
185600 3106 07732 7065 +0247 229049 +155 +107 228050 036 000
185700 3109 07735 7076 +0242 228049 +158 +096 227049 036 000
185800 3111 07739 7075 +0232 229048 +157 +099 230050 037 000
185900 3113 07743 7072 +0218 229047 +151 +101 229048 038 000
190000 3116 07746 7072 +0208 229053 +149 +123 229055 041 001

[artist]

got it, thanks for the correction.

[NFLDART]

http://www.weatherunderground.com/radar ... fs.6.val=1

[MBismyPlayground]

What are your tides supposed to be at Landfall

According to local news, the tide will be low about the time of landfall.

[Derek Ortt]

flight level winds have been about equal to surface winds all day, so ther eis no reduction that should be used, or a very small one

[craptacular]

083
URNT40 KWBC 311910
NOAA2 2205A ERNESTO
190100 3118 07750 7068 +0193 230057 +149 +132 229058 045 009
190200 3121 07753 7077 +0190 232056 +155 +118 233058 044 003
190300 3124 07756 7065 +0173 234058 +161 +110 234059 045 006
190400 3127 07758 7063 +0153 232058 +160 +101 231059 045 004
190500 3131 07800 7079 +0142 229060 +160 +092 229061 045 001
190600 3134 07803 7075 +0120 225055 +159 +105 225062 045 001
190700 3138 07805 7078 +0098 229056 +157 +099 230057 046 001
190800 3142 07808 7073 +0076 229063 +158 +114 228073 048 003
190900 3145 07810 7069 +0049 227069 +164 +096 228071 050 002
191000 3149 07813 7071 +0020 221061 +158 +128 223064 051 000

[artist]

thanks Derek

[cycloneye]

190800 3142 07808 7073 +0076 229063 +158 +114 228073 048 003

Is that 73kts that I see in the third line?

[dwsqos2]

Whoops...wrong topic; this belongs in the John thread; my apologies.

[drezee]

73 knots at flight level

[artist]

Derek just said there was not much reduction. Wonder if they find anymore that high. Could be a vortex, if not, maybe?