Tropical Storm Chris

[PTrackerLA]

The "blowup" near the center tells me that there still a little fight left with Chris. Still, he's only got one hand out of the water!

[Extremeweatherguy]

also, the recon said that surface winds were near 40mph based on official readings, and estimated at 46mph.

[westmoon]

Think it's about done for now.

[Scorpion]

That's the ocean estimate. NEVER use that.

[Extremeweatherguy]

That's the ocean estimate. NEVER use that.

I don't see why this isn't used being as these are trained people that make the estimates and they have flown into many storms in the past, but either way they are still saying 39-40mph winds based off of official measurements...still a TS.

[Trugunzn]

It will be interesting what this burst will help or not around the center:

[StormsAhead]

SXXX50 KNHC 031820
AF308 0603A CHRIS HDOB 12 KNHC
1809 2106N 06812W 00282 0019 048 026 234 234 026 00313 0000000000
1809. 2107N 06813W 00272 0019 049 026 236 236 027 00303 0000000000
1810 2108N 06814W 00274 0020 050 026 236 236 026 00306 0000000000
1810. 2109N 06815W 00274 0020 055 026 236 236 026 00305 0000000000
1811 2110N 06817W 00273 0021 055 025 236 236 027 00305 0000000000
1811. 2111N 06818W 00274 0021 053 025 236 236 025 00307 0000000000
1812 2112N 06819W 00275 0022 055 025 238 234 026 00308 0000000000
1812. 2113N 06820W 00274 0022 056 025 236 236 025 00307 0000000000
1813 2114N 06822W 00272 0023 053 025 236 236 026 00306 0000000000
1813. 2116N 06823W 00275 0023 054 024 236 236 024 00310 0000000000
1814 2117N 06824W 00274 0024 053 022 236 236 023 00309 0000000000
1814. 2118N 06825W 00273 0025 055 022 236 236 023 00309 0000000000
1815 2119N 06826W 00274 0025 054 024 236 230 025 00311 0000000000
1815. 2120N 06828W 00274 0026 049 025 232 232 026 00312 0000000000
1816 2121N 06829W 00272 0026 050 026 234 234 027 00310 0000000000
1816. 2122N 06830W 00291 0027 049 026 232 232 027 00329 0000000000
1817 2123N 06831W 00336 0030 051 027 230 230 027 00378 0000000000
1817. 2124N 06832W 00347 0032 050 026 226 226 026 00391 0000000000
1818 2125N 06834W 00341 0033 047 026 226 226 027 00386 0000000000
1818. 2126N 06835W 00343 0033 052 026 228 228 026 00388 0000000000

[Derek Ortt]

pressures fall in the tropics this time of day, no big deal

I understand the point about not terminating advisories, Tony. NHC got burned with that in 1993 with Bret and Lili in 2002 (though the wave was carried as a TS for 2 days, then right before it reformed, it was declared dissipated)

[Noles2006]

It doesn't even look like a cyclone to me. I think the 4pm advisory will be the last one, even if it is a TS-strength storm.

If it's still TS-strength, I doubt that will be it's last advisory.

2004's Earl was declared an open wave and stopped monitoring while still at TS-strength...

2004 Earl didn't have a closed LLC when it was declared an open wave, though, did it?

[AJC3]

It will be interesting what this burst will help or not around the center:

Right now, it won't. Any latent heat release in minor, and getting blasted southward away from the center.

[StormsAhead]

[Vandymit]

Still hangin on

I bet if planes sampled every low in the Atlantic they would find winds like these. This is just a reminant low. Sorry.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Still hangin on

I bet if planes sampled every low in the Atlantic they would find winds like these. This is just a reminant low. Sorry.

actually, no, this is called a tropical storm. Refer to the NHC 2pm advisory for details.

[stormtruth]

Chris is making a comeback. Trying to regain some of his old glory.

[Normandy]

^Remnant Lows are not 40 mph TS's, they are REMNANTS of 40 mph TS's/hurricanes/yada ya

[jhamps10]

I don't know, when I refreshed, the blob just about doubled around that center...
It may not be doing much all around, but in that E-SE quad it is wanting to develop, but shear is hurting it.

[jhamps10]

discussion thread please....

[stormtruth]

I doubt they close it with TS winds and the small convection that is starting on the SE side. That's how comeback's start. They start out small

[Steve]

Just like the decoupling was interesting to see early this morning, a regeneration would be a visual lesson for everyone.

Steve

[Grease Monkey]

Chris is a veteran at comebacks. He's been in this situation before.