Tropical Storm Chris

[MississippiHurricane]

Pressure dropped 1 mb since last advisory

[jasons2k]

Unless convection can get going, looking at the water vapor, I'm wondering if there will be any "remnants" left......

[Derek Ortt]

THE SHIPS
GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE CURRENT SHEAR WILL BE MAINTAINED FOR
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

SHIPS guidance does not have much shear at T=0

[tailgater]

Still looks very weak, but I'd say it looks no worse than it did 8 hrs. ago. Anybody know what the ULL that is to Chris's NE is forecast to do.

[Derek Ortt]

main difference is, I am supposed to make the correct call 100% of the time. Had people at the office worried, apparantly for no reason

[StormsAhead]

[westmoon]

I'll say one thing that is for sure, Chris is a fighter and doesn't want to die without a fight.

[Josephine96]

Sounds to me like Chris is history..

[HouTXmetro]

THE SHIPS
GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE CURRENT SHEAR WILL BE MAINTAINED FOR
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

SHIPS guidance does not have much shear at T=0

meaning?

[Brent]

Sounds to me like Chris is history..

Yeah... I don't think there will be anything left to regenerate when it moves into more favorable conditions either.

[Derek Ortt]

that model... I mean GFS... may be underdoing the shear. It could also be the area average, since the shear to the west is quite low

[DESTRUCTION5]

Sounds to me like Chris is history..

Yeah... I don't think there will be anything left to regenerate when it moves into more favorable conditions either.

Nope its staring at Cuba too...Gonna need a Rocky perfomance to make that fight...Time to look East..

[B'hamBlazer]

Derek, at this point, you may not yet be proven wrong... it doesnt necessarily look probable, but it's certainly still possible. Besides, I dont know ANY met to ever be 100% accurate. The more accurate, the better, but you can't forecast much of anything 100% 5 days or more out.

[Josephine96]

It'll be so disorganized when it gets into the Gulf, that it won't have anytime to regenerate if it wants to go to Texas, Mexico, the BOC whatever..

[StormsAhead]

SXXX50 KNHC 032051
AF308 0603A CHRIS HDOB 27 KNHC
2039 2015N 06629W 00372 0044 164 031 204 180 031 00428 0000000000
2039. 2016N 06629W 00372 0044 165 031 206 180 031 00428 0000000000
2040 2018N 06629W 00373 0043 167 029 206 176 031 00428 0000000000
2040. 2020N 06629W 00373 0043 169 030 206 174 031 00428 0000000000
2041 2022N 06629W 00372 0043 171 031 204 172 032 00427 0000000000
2041. 2024N 06629W 00373 0043 175 031 206 184 031 00428 0000000000
2042 2026N 06629W 00371 0043 177 031 204 188 032 00425 0000000000
2042. 2027N 06629W 00373 0044 180 033 206 184 033 00428 0000000000
2043 2029N 06630W 00372 0044 172 034 206 182 035 00428 0000000000
2043. 2031N 06630W 00372 0044 172 035 206 178 035 00428 0000000000
2044 2033N 06630W 00370 0044 174 034 204 186 034 00426 0000000000
2044. 2035N 06630W 00373 0043 173 034 204 186 035 00428 0000000000
2045 2037N 06630W 00373 0044 171 032 202 190 032 00428 0000000000
2045. 2038N 06630W 00373 0044 170 032 202 194 032 00428 0000000000
2046 2040N 06630W 00371 0044 169 031 202 196 032 00427 0000000000
2046. 2042N 06630W 00373 0044 166 030 204 200 030 00428 0000000000
2047 2044N 06630W 00373 0044 165 028 204 200 029 00428 0000000000
2047. 2046N 06630W 00372 0043 169 032 204 196 032 00427 0000000000
2048 2047N 06630W 00372 0043 169 032 206 192 033 00427 0000000000
2048. 2049N 06630W 00372 0044 167 033 210 184 033 00427 0000000000

[Jim Cantore]

Whos Chris? I see no tropical storm?

[KFDM Meteorologist]

There is no storm.

[Derek Ortt]

I have to agree that this is not a TS at this point

Could become one again, but likely not until moving into the GOM (and chances there are less than 50/50)

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Very unlikely!

[Wx_Warrior]

Let the boy go...Chris put up a good fight...Time to look east and see what other trains are coming down the track!