Tropical Storm Chris

#3481 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:09 pm

I agree!

jhamps10 · #3482 Postby **jhamps10** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:14 pm

can I give you a word of advice KFDM, NEVER count out a storm till NHC says so, I personally believe that they should have downgraded to a TD.

If you don't want to do your informative duty as a met and inform viewers what is out there, then just don't even mention it at all... but NEVER, NEVER make up what a storm is for NHC! or else you won't be a met for very long.

StormsAhead · #3483 Postby **StormsAhead** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:14 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 032104
AF308 0603A CHRIS HDOB 28 KNHC
2049 2051N 06631W 00372 0044 168 033 208 186 034 00428 0000000000
2049. 2053N 06631W 00371 0043 167 031 206 196 032 00426 0000000000
2050 2055N 06631W 00373 0043 169 032 206 196 032 00428 0000000000
2050. 2057N 06631W 00372 0043 170 031 214 190 031 00427 0000000000
2051 2058N 06631W 00371 0044 170 032 214 188 033 00426 0000000000
2051. 2100N 06631W 00373 0044 168 032 216 186 032 00429 0000000000
2052 2102N 06631W 00371 0045 164 031 214 190 031 00427 0000000000
2052. 2104N 06631W 00372 0045 166 031 216 188 032 00428 0000000000
2053 2106N 06631W 00373 0045 168 032 216 188 032 00429 0000000000
2053. 2107N 06631W 00371 0045 163 031 216 192 032 00428 0000000000
2054 2109N 06631W 00374 0045 160 032 214 190 032 00431 0000000000
2054. 2111N 06631W 00371 0045 161 031 218 186 032 00428 0000000000
2055 2113N 06632W 00373 0045 161 032 218 190 032 00429 0000000000
2055. 2115N 06632W 00371 0045 158 032 218 192 032 00428 0000000000
2056 2116N 06632W 00373 0046 156 031 214 196 031 00430 0000000000
2056. 2118N 06632W 00372 0046 158 030 216 192 031 00430 0000000000
2057 2120N 06632W 00373 0046 156 030 216 196 031 00430 0000000000
2057. 2122N 06632W 00370 0046 156 029 214 196 030 00428 0000000000
2058 2124N 06632W 00372 0046 153 027 212 206 028 00429 0000000000
2058. 2125N 06632W 00373 0046 155 028 208 208 028 00431 0000000000

#3484 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:14 pm

Just 25 years!!

Grease Monkey · #3485 Postby **Grease Monkey** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:15 pm

*takes a bag of popcorn and watches*

#3486 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:15 pm

Just like Joe B said, we need to move on to the next system in line.

Extremeweatherguy · #3487 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:16 pm

Josephine96 wrote:It'll be so disorganized when it gets into the Gulf, that it won't have anytime to regenerate if it wants to go to Texas, Mexico, the BOC whatever..

may be, may be not, but as of this moment the system is still a TS and the NHC still gives this a chance to regenerate in a few days. Based on this, and the fact the track takes the system toward TX, I think no one should write off Chris until the LLC has completely collapsed.

StormsAhead · #3488 Postby **StormsAhead** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:16 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 032110
AF308 0603A CHRIS HDOB 29 KNHC
2059 2127N 06632W 00373 0046 153 027 206 206 028 00431 0000000000
2059. 2129N 06632W 00372 0046 153 026 208 208 027 00430 0000000000
2100 2131N 06632W 00371 0046 151 027 210 210 028 00429 0000000000
2100. 2132N 06632W 00373 0047 149 026 210 210 027 00431 0000000000
2101 2134N 06633W 00373 0047 149 024 210 210 025 00431 0000000000
2101. 2136N 06633W 00372 0048 145 023 210 210 024 00431 0000000000
2102 2138N 06633W 00373 0048 145 022 210 210 023 00432 0000000000
2102. 2139N 06633W 00372 0048 147 023 212 212 023 00432 0000000000
2103 2141N 06633W 00373 0049 148 023 214 212 023 00433 0000000000
2103. 2143N 06633W 00372 0049 148 022 216 210 023 00432 0000000000
2104 2144N 06633W 00373 0049 150 022 216 210 024 00433 0000000000
2104. 2146N 06633W 00371 0049 145 023 216 206 023 00432 0000000000
2105 2148N 06633W 00372 0048 147 024 216 208 025 00431 0000000000
2105. 2150N 06633W 00372 0048 145 026 220 204 026 00432 0000000000
2106 2151N 06633W 00372 0049 143 025 220 206 026 00432 0000000000
2106. 2153N 06633W 00374 0049 143 025 220 212 025 00434 0000000000
2107 2155N 06634W 00371 0049 142 023 220 216 023 00432 0000000000
2107. 2157N 06634W 00372 0050 142 023 218 216 024 00434 0000000000
2108 2158N 06634W 00372 0050 140 022 218 214 022 00433 0000000000
2108. 2200N 06634W 00372 0050 143 022 220 216 023 00433 0000000000

HouTXmetro · #3489 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:17 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
Josephine96 wrote:It'll be so disorganized when it gets into the Gulf, that it won't have anytime to regenerate if it wants to go to Texas, Mexico, the BOC whatever..
may be, may be not, but as of this moment the system is still a TS and the NHC still gives this a chance to regenerate in a few days. Based on this, and the fact the track takes the system toward TX, I think no one should write off Chris until the LLC has completely collapsed.

even if it collapse, why won't it reorganize later? Won't conditions be ripe?

Derek Ortt · #3490 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:19 pm

so mets cannot disagree now?

StormsAhead · #3491 Postby **StormsAhead** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:20 pm

stormtruth · #3492 Postby **stormtruth** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:22 pm

Time to keep watching Chris.

#3493 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:23 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:so mets cannot disagree now?

Na we get along.

dwg71 · #3494 Postby **dwg71** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:23 pm

Ifs ands, and buts are just crackers and nuts. Anything is possible, but reasonable forecasts are calling for dissapation and noone is forecasting restrengthening (sans AccuX). They leave that door open, but most lean towards dissapation. LLC do not last long w/o convection. It could bomb into a hurricane in 24 hours, but not likely.

jhamps10 · #3495 Postby **jhamps10** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:23 pm

bingo, Until he is GONE we ALL need to look at him like he's raging down on you.

StormsAhead · #3496 Postby **StormsAhead** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:23 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 032120
AF308 0603A CHRIS HDOB 30 KNHC
2109 2202N 06634W 00372 0050 144 022 220 214 023 00434 0000000000
2109. 2203N 06634W 00373 0051 138 021 220 214 021 00435 0000000000
2110 2203N 06636W 00374 0050 138 020 220 212 021 00436 0000000000
2110. 2202N 06637W 00370 0049 140 020 220 212 020 00430 0000000000
2111 2201N 06638W 00372 0049 140 020 220 214 021 00433 0000000000
2111. 2200N 06639W 00371 0049 138 020 220 214 020 00432 0000000000
2112 2159N 06641W 00373 0049 133 020 220 214 021 00434 0000000000
2112. 2158N 06642W 00371 0049 135 022 220 214 023 00432 0000000000
2113 2156N 06643W 00373 0048 130 021 220 218 022 00433 0000000000
2113. 2155N 06644W 00372 0048 133 022 220 216 023 00431 0000000000
2114 2154N 06645W 00372 0048 138 022 216 216 024 00431 0000000000
2114. 2153N 06647W 00373 0047 135 021 216 216 023 00431 0000000000
2115 2152N 06648W 00373 0047 134 022 216 216 023 00431 0000000000
2115. 2151N 06649W 00371 0047 133 023 214 214 024 00430 0000000000
2116 2150N 06650W 00374 0047 135 025 216 206 026 00432 0000000000
2116. 2149N 06651W 00372 0047 139 022 216 210 023 00430 0000000000
2117 2148N 06653W 00373 0047 137 022 212 212 023 00431 0000000000
2117. 2147N 06654W 00371 0046 139 023 210 210 025 00428 0000000000
2118 2146N 06655W 00375 0045 134 023 210 210 023 00432 0000000000
2118. 2144N 06656W 00370 0045 134 024 210 210 024 00426 0000000000

rockyman · #3497 Postby **rockyman** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:26 pm

Intense convection popping up again right on the south side of the low

dwg71 · #3498 Postby **dwg71** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:26 pm

Grease Monkey wrote:*takes a bag of popcorn and watches*

pulls up chair, grabs videocamera... Smart money is on the Met.

Chris has pulled and elvis, we wil just have to see if he comes back for an encore or stays hidden in Kalamazoo MI. 8-)

Extremeweatherguy · #3499 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:28 pm

jhamps10 wrote:bingo, Until he is GONE we ALL need to look at him like he's raging down on you.

exactly. I am amazed to see this many people write off Chris (including pro mets). The NHC itself is saying this has a chance, and based on visible and recon it is clear this system is holding it's own. I don't think Chris will just disappear anytime soon. Just think, many on here thought the wave that became Chris would go POOF, and look what happened.

#3500 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:30 pm

It still could happen but we would be shocked. Hasn't happened to many time before on a situation like this.

Tropical Storm Chris

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