Tropical Storm Chris

[PTrackerLA]

I was quite surprised at the new convection he cranked up when I got home from work. This one sure is a fighter but it's hard to ignore the still very hostile conditions. Will he defy the odds again?

[Grease Monkey]

If he did it once, why can't he do it again?

[Dustin]

Darn, that blob of convection in the boc looks better than chris right now.

[ericinmia]

I count 28 lightning strikes in Chris' SE quad in the past 20 minutes . . . definately firing up . . .

Where do you find images of systems in the tropics that show individual lightning strikes?

You have to have a subscription to a place like allisonhouse that streams you the data to your tracking program... usually grlevel3, but there are others.

[Extremeweatherguy]

I think tomorrow is a crucial day in determining whether Chris makes it to the GOM as a tropical cyclone or not.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Darn, that blob of convection in the boc looks better than chris right now.

Except it is missing a LLC.

[Stratosphere747]

Surprised right now to look at WV and see any increase in moisture, being that Chris looks to be in a really dry slot. Could be temporary.

Before Chris is labeled as coming back. He better wrap some convection around his circulation.

[HURAKAN]

I think tomorrow is a crucial day in determining whether Chris makes it to the GOM as a tropical cyclone or not.

I'll wsit for the diurnal maximum before expressing my opinion.

[StormsAhead]

SXXX50 KNHC 032250
AF308 0603A CHRIS HDOB 39 KNHC
2239 2106N 06934W 00307 0023 039 024 234 234 025 00342 0000000000
2239. 2104N 06934W 00308 0023 038 024 232 232 025 00342 0000000000
2240 2102N 06934W 00308 0023 039 023 234 234 025 00343 0000000000
2240. 2100N 06934W 00306 0023 035 023 234 234 025 00340 0000000000
2241 2058N 06934W 00307 0023 030 023 232 232 024 00341 0000000000
2241. 2056N 06934W 00306 0023 030 022 232 232 023 00341 0000000000
2242 2054N 06934W 00307 0024 029 021 234 232 022 00342 0000000000
2242. 2052N 06934W 00308 0023 023 020 236 234 021 00342 0000000000
2243 2049N 06934W 00307 0023 022 021 236 234 021 00341 0000000000
2243. 2047N 06934W 00313 0024 019 021 236 234 022 00349 0000000000
2244 2045N 06934W 00307 0024 019 020 236 232 021 00342 0000000000
2244. 2043N 06934W 00307 0024 018 020 236 228 020 00342 0000000000
2245 2040N 06934W 00307 0024 019 020 236 232 021 00342 0000000000
2245. 2038N 06934W 00307 0023 015 019 236 234 020 00342 0000000000
2246 2036N 06933W 00307 0024 012 019 236 234 019 00343 0000000000
2246. 2034N 06933W 00307 0025 011 018 236 236 019 00344 0000000000
2247 2032N 06933W 00306 0025 010 017 236 236 018 00343 0000000000
2247. 2029N 06933W 00307 0025 012 017 234 234 018 00343 0000000000
2248 2027N 06933W 00307 0025 016 018 236 232 018 00343 0000000000
2248. 2025N 06933W 00307 0025 012 018 236 234 018 00343 0000000000

[StormsAhead]

[vbhoutex]

I can't say I think he has "regenerated" yet, but he is fighting like crazy!!! Tonight will probably tell the tale. If the diurnal maximum doesn't help the convection to continue, we will probably have a weak TD at best by morning.

[JonathanBelles]

how much longer in chris?

when is th next flight?

[ROCK]

Chris is sure fighting like mad right now. Who knows, may be he will be able to fight off the shear, move out of the way of the feature to his NE and work into a more favorable environment. Either way I think at the very least we can expect advisories to continue through at least tomorrow morning, and this could very well reach the Gulf as an organized system (where it may have a chance to become a stronger TS or dare I say Hurricane).

I have to wonder, EWG, if you willed him back to life!

lol. Don't blame it on me!

Dang, EWG couldnt leave well enough alone....If Chris does come back it is all your fault......

[Lowpressure]

Surprised right now to look at WV and see any increase in moisture, being that Chris looks to be in a really dry slot. Could be temporary.

Before Chris is labeled as coming back. He better wrap some convection around his circulation.

Excellent point, all the convection is fine but he better protect his LLC soon or it will be over. If convections can wrap the LLC, the game is on.

[JonathanBelles]

looks like chris is passing north of the forecast points still

[StormsAhead]

SXXX50 KNHC 032300
AF308 0603A CHRIS HDOB 40 KNHC
2249 2023N 06933W 00308 0025 003 017 236 236 017 00345 0000000000
2249. 2020N 06933W 00308 0026 002 017 236 234 018 00345 0000000000
2250 2018N 06933W 00307 0026 358 018 236 236 018 00345 0000000000
2250. 2016N 06933W 00305 0026 355 018 236 236 018 00343 0000000000
2251 2014N 06933W 00306 0026 353 016 236 236 017 00344 0000000000
2251. 2012N 06933W 00307 0027 355 017 236 234 017 00345 0000000000
2252 2009N 06933W 00307 0027 355 017 236 234 017 00346 0000000000
2252. 2007N 06933W 00307 0027 352 016 236 236 017 00346 0000000000
2253 2005N 06933W 00307 0027 348 015 236 236 016 00346 0000000000
2253. 2003N 06932W 00307 0028 349 015 236 236 016 00346 0000000000
2254 2001N 06932W 00306 0028 341 016 238 234 017 00345 0000000000
2254. 1958N 06932W 00308 0028 341 016 240 232 017 00347 0000000000
2255 1956N 06932W 00307 0029 341 016 240 228 016 00347 0000000000
2255. 1954N 06932W 00307 0029 332 014 236 236 017 00348 0000000000
2256 1952N 06932W 00306 0030 330 014 240 232 014 00347 0000000000
2256. 1950N 06932W 00306 0031 327 013 240 234 013 00349 0000000000
2257 1947N 06932W 00307 0031 326 013 238 234 014 00349 0000000000
2257. 1945N 06932W 00306 0030 329 013 236 234 013 00348 0000000000
2258 1943N 06932W 00308 0031 322 011 236 236 012 00351 0000000000
2258. 1941N 06932W 00307 0031 323 011 236 236 011 00350 0000000000

[ROCK]

I don't think I would trust that clown on the train.

I hate evil clowns ever since that movie Poltergeist.....

[Extremeweatherguy]

looks like chris is passing north of the forecast points still

which is bad, because that means that it just may not be hitting Cuba.

[cheezyWXguy]

the clown must be the ULL in this case.

[ROCK]

looks like chris is passing north of the forecast points still

which is bad, because that means that it just may not be hitting Cuba.

and will visit the LPC where Rita and Kat roided up last year......