Tropical Storm Chris

[Grease Monkey]

I would think they would keep the intensity the same.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I seen it with Barry 2001...

[cheezyWXguy]

I think so...convection is blowing up and theyve recorded the highest FL winds of the day between 2pm and now

[miamicanes177]

Yes, I believe they will considering they were able to find 43kt winds. Plus the recent convection flare ups in the SE quad will likely play a part.

[MississippiHurricane]

Id like to see what the next advisory says

[jhamps10]

i'd expect them to keep it at 40 right now, maybe the overnight recon can chime in as to if he is strengthening or if it was just a flare up.

[StormsAhead]

SXXX50 KNHC 032340
AF308 0603A CHRIS HDOB 44 KNHC
2329 2027N 06815W 00299 0015 209 014 236 236 014 00325 0000000000
2329. 2026N 06813W 00300 0013 207 013 236 236 013 00325 0000000000
2330 2025N 06812W 00306 0014 203 013 236 236 015 00332 0000000000
2330. 2023N 06811W 00310 0016 177 018 220 220 026 00337 0000000000
2331 2022N 06810W 00308 0014 174 032 218 218 037 00334 0000000000
2331. 2021N 06809W 00303 0014 170 040 218 218 042 00328 0000000000
2332 2021N 06808W 00319 0015 167 040 218 218 040 00346 0000000000
2332. 2020N 06808W 00363 0020 165 041 196 196 041 00395 0000000000
2333 2019N 06807W 00370 0021 167 039 204 204 040 00403 0000000000
2333. 2018N 06806W 00365 0022 165 039 206 206 039 00399 0000000000
2334 2017N 06805W 00369 0022 164 039 196 196 039 00403 0000000000
2334. 2016N 06804W 00369 0023 171 037 186 186 038 00404 0000000000
2335 2015N 06803W 00366 0024 176 039 180 180 039 00402 0000000000
2335. 2014N 06802W 00372 0024 178 038 178 178 039 00408 0000000000
2336 2013N 06801W 00486 0021 177 038 174 174 038 00528 0000000000
2336. 2012N 06800W 00622 0031 180 036 166 166 038 00677 0000000000
2337 2011N 06759W 00697 0043 182 035 164 164 036 00764 0000000000
2337. 2010N 06758W 00757 0053 182 034 162 162 035 00833 0000000000
2338 2009N 06758W 00765 0054 183 036 166 166 036 00843 0000000000
2338. 2008N 06757W 00763 0055 180 035 178 178 035 00841 0000000000
;

[Derek Ortt]

and when regeneration does happen, the few times that it does, it usually takes a few days and or a center reformation (sometimes both, like Jeanne)

[Brent]

Id like to see what the next advisory says

There won't be any changes, it's the intermediate advisory, there's nothing new now anyway. We really should wait and see if this little blowup expands and makes it through the night.

[Extremeweatherguy]

yeah, if it is not a TS now then it was not earlier, so I am sure they wouldn't change anything with the storm looking better and a recorded 43 knot FL wind.

[ROCK]

two words..."Global Warming"......

[jhamps10]

recon just found a wind speed of 42 knots, per the recon thread.

[StormsAhead]

42 knots in the SE quad, higher than on the last pass

[StormsAhead]

URNT12 KNHC 032343
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 03/23:19:50Z
B. 20 deg 40 min N
068 deg 34 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. 10 kt
E. 222 deg 082 nm
F. 319 deg 011 kt
G. 225 deg 079 nm
H. EXTRAP 1012 mb
I. 24 C/ 304 m
J. 24 C/ 304 m
K. 24 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 134 / 1
O. 0.03 / 5 nm
P. AF308 0603A CHRIS OB 13
MAX FL WIND 43 KT NE QUAD 21:42:00 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500 FT.

Flat temperature gradient. Movement continues to be almost due west.

[cycloneye]

They are waiting for the VDM.

[StormsAhead]

URNT12 KNHC 032343
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 03/23:19:50Z
B. 20 deg 40 min N
068 deg 34 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. 10 kt
E. 222 deg 082 nm
F. 319 deg 011 kt
G. 225 deg 079 nm
H. EXTRAP 1012 mb
I. 24 C/ 304 m
J. 24 C/ 304 m
K. 24 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 134 / 1
O. 0.03 / 5 nm
P. AF308 0603A CHRIS OB 13
MAX FL WIND 43 KT NE QUAD 21:42:00 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500 FT.
;

[jhamps10]

that's what i figured.

[HouTXmetro]

DO i see a deep red spec pooping up on the convection?

[jhamps10]

new VDM:

URNT12 KNHC 032343
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 03/23:19:50Z
B. 20 deg 40 min N
068 deg 34 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. 10 kt
E. 222 deg 082 nm
F. 319 deg 011 kt
G. 225 deg 079 nm
H. EXTRAP 1012 mb
I. 24 C/ 304 m
J. 24 C/ 304 m
K. 24 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 134 / 1
O. 0.03 / 5 nm
P. AF308 0603A CHRIS OB 13
MAX FL WIND 43 KT NE QUAD 21:42:00 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500 FT.

[StormsAhead]