Tropical Storm Chris

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jhamps10

#3941 Postby jhamps10 » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:51 pm

just don't forget the convection!!!!
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perk
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#3942 Postby perk » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:52 pm

Look i don't think that EWG is arguing that the ridge will not build at the end of the forecast period, i think he's questioning the position of the ridge. I think he has a very good point. How can anyone say 5 or 6 days out exactly where it will set up.
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Jim Cantore

#3943 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:52 pm

gilbert88 wrote:I have a question:

Do you think this could make landfall around the area Emily did last year (Tamaulipas)?


Possible, still a bit far out, all we can do is watch it :wink:
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Grease Monkey
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#3944 Postby Grease Monkey » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:52 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:
Hurricane Floyd wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

Wobble Alert, chis jumped NW well ahead of his next forecast point.


I saw a WSW wobble earlier, he's just being eratic

give him a breathalizer :lol: 8-) :wink:


No need for that after he exposed himself in front of everyone. Chasing the women down in Puerto Rico, and playing dead. We know he is drunk.


hahahaha.
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Grease Monkey
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#3945 Postby Grease Monkey » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:54 pm

He might move too fast away from his convection.
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#3946 Postby Category6 » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:54 pm

I think Chris has already restrenghtened slightly. He's certainly holding his own out there. All of the convection remains on the SE quad of the storm. I haven't signs of any of that wrapping around the center, but that may change once it races past the shear from the NE it's under right now. Also, doesn't it look like it's picking up a little bit in forward motion?
Last edited by Category6 on Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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saints63213
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#3947 Postby saints63213 » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:54 pm

looks like its still running like crazy and now moving a little more north and away from the convection.
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jasons2k
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#3948 Postby jasons2k » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:55 pm

Question - what is COL? That's a new one for me.

And yes I'm still up - I can't find it in the NWS or TPC Glossary. I quick reply would be much appreciated so I can finally go to bed. Thanks.
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HouTXmetro
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#3949 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:56 pm

I noticed too, convection is being left waayyy behind.... No good Chris tsk tsk..... But you know what you are doing.
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#3950 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:57 pm

I think the COL is the area between the two ULL's. Its starting to out run the tutt to its east...At least I believe.
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Grease Monkey
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#3951 Postby Grease Monkey » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:57 pm

saints your avatar is too distracting.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#3952 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:57 pm

I like it! :wink:
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saints63213
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#3953 Postby saints63213 » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:57 pm

COL? not sure maybe
Clouds over low?
Covered open low?
not sure.
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The_OD_42
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#3954 Postby The_OD_42 » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:58 pm

I dont know if it is just me or what, but if the shear is coming from the NE towards Chris, doesnt it look like his outer clouds are sort of "fending off" the shear?

Here's the link: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

P.S.- im sort of new, so im not exactly sure what to look for here, so please excuse me if I am wrong :D
Last edited by The_OD_42 on Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Jim Cantore

#3955 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:58 pm

37 replies in 9 minutes

wow :eek:
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superfly

#3956 Postby superfly » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:58 pm

It's not going to strengthen until the entire center is covered. As is, it's just staying alive.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#3957 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:58 pm

Area of lower shear between the two ULL's thats what I think it is...
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#3958 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:59 pm

Alberto did not have its whole center covered. In fact every little bit helps.
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Stratosphere747
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#3959 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Aug 03, 2006 11:00 pm

jschlitz wrote:Question - what is COL? That's a new one for me.

And yes I'm still up - I can't find it in the NWS or TPC Glossary. I quick reply would be much appreciated so I can finally go to bed. Thanks.


Jschlitz,

Look in the coupling thread towards the end...

AFM explains it.
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Grease Monkey
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#3960 Postby Grease Monkey » Thu Aug 03, 2006 11:00 pm

The_OD_42 wrote:I dont know if it is just me or what, but if the shear is coming from the NE towards Chris, doesnt it look like his outer clouds are sort of "fending off" the shear?

Here's the link: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

P.S.- im sort of new, so im not exactly sure what to look for here, so please excuse me if I am wrong :D


Actually on the last frame it looks like the circulation opened?
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