Tropical Storm Chris

[mobilebay]

It was in TS cell see vortex.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Saw that.

[deltadog03]

tstorms are slowly making it to the se and southern part of the LLC

[mobilebay]

822
UZNT13 KNHC 040604
XXAA 54068 99207 70703 08000 99012 25635 02006 00109 24628 35507
92792 22024 21504 85526 19409 25502 88999 77999
31313 09608 80552
61616 AF307 0703A CHRIS OB 04
62626 EYE SPL 2072N07030W 0554 MBL WND 36008 AEV 20604 DLM WND 32
002 011875 WL150 36007 082 =
XXBB 54068 99207 70703 08000 00012 25635 11866 19632 22850 19409
33843 19000
21212 00012 02006 11970 35511 22946 00000 33911 22006 44875 19006
55843 29503
31313 09608 80552
61616 AF307 0703A CHRIS OB 04
62626 EYE SPL 2072N07030W 0554 MBL WND 36008 AEV 20604 DLM WND 32
002 011875 WL150 36007 082 =
;

[mobilebay]

732
SXXX50 KNHC 040623
AF307 0703A CHRIS HDOB 15 KNHC
0611. 2005N 07038W 01525 0088 210 002 172 140 002 01648 0000000000
0612 2004N 07036W 01524 0089 250 002 168 150 003 01648 0000000000
0612. 2004N 07034W 01525 0088 251 003 164 158 003 01648 0000000000
0613 2004N 07032W 01525 0089 230 003 166 158 003 01649 0000000000
0613. 2003N 07031W 01524 0089 197 004 170 156 004 01648 0000000000
0614 2003N 07029W 01525 0088 202 005 168 160 006 01649 0000000000
0614. 2003N 07027W 01525 0088 193 007 170 158 009 01649 0000000000
0615 2002N 07026W 01524 0088 191 009 172 158 009 01648 0000000000
0615. 2002N 07024W 01525 0087 202 009 170 160 009 01648 0000000000
0616 2001N 07022W 01525 0087 208 011 168 152 012 01648 0000000000
0616. 2001N 07020W 01523 0087 208 012 164 160 013 01646 0000000000
0617 2001N 07019W 01525 0087 214 012 172 156 012 01647 0000000000
0617. 2000N 07017W 01526 0087 223 014 168 160 014 01649 0000000000
0618 2000N 07015W 01523 0088 224 012 166 160 014 01647 0000000000
0618. 2000N 07013W 01525 0087 220 013 166 160 013 01648 0000000000
0619 1959N 07012W 01523 0090 206 012 164 162 013 01648 0000000000
0619. 1959N 07010W 01524 0091 179 013 166 164 014 01651 0000000000
0620 1959N 07008W 01525 0088 180 015 174 154 015 01649 0000000000
0620. 1958N 07006W 01525 0088 179 016 176 142 017 01649 0000000000
0621 1958N 07005W 01524 0088 176 017 180 134 018 01647 0000000000
;

[mobilebay]

479
URNT14 KNHC 040625
SUPPLEMENTARY VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
INBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01216 10690 12548 11615 14030
02215 20692 22543 21811 14030
03213 30694 32540 31812 13021
04211 40696 42537 41616 14024
05210 50698 52530 51911 13024
06207 60700 62540 61717 17011
MF208 M0700 MF053
OBS 01 AT 05:23:00Z
OBS 06 AT 05:47:10Z
OBS 01 SFC WND /////
OUTBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01206 10705 12534 11818 99005
02204 20707 22539 21616 99005
03202 30709 32539 31616 99005
MF205 M0706 MF010
OBS 01 AT 05:56:30Z
OBS 03 AT 06:05:20Z
OBS 03 SFC WND /////
AF307 0703A CHRIS OB 06
;


Boy that SW quad is rocking at 10 KNots.

[mobilebay]

635
URNT11 KNHC 040614
97779 06054 60202 70900 15200 01008 1616/ /2538
RMK AF307 0703A CHRIS OB 05
;

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I think the nhc discounted the 53 knots at 11pm. In this data came in before the 11pm. So so far I say the strongest winds have been 30 knots. I remember the O storm they find some winds in a thunderstorm in they discounted it.

[mobilebay]

I think the nhc discounted the 53 knots at 11pm. In this data came in before the 11pm. So so far I say the strongest winds have been 30 knots. I remember the O storm they find some winds in a thunderstorm in they discounted it.

NHC didn't have this data at 11pm or 2AM.

[Grease Monkey]

We'll see what the ending result is.

[mobilebay]

328
SXXX50 KNHC 040633
AF307 0703A CHRIS HDOB 16 KNHC
0621. 1958N 07003W 01525 0087 180 019 180 132 020 01647 0000000000
0622 1957N 07001W 01524 0087 176 023 180 128 024 01647 0000000000
0622. 1957N 07000W 01524 0087 172 021 180 122 022 01647 0000000000
0623 1957N 06958W 01526 0086 180 018 178 126 019 01648 0000000000
0623. 1956N 06956W 01522 0086 174 015 172 134 016 01644 0000000000
0624 1956N 06955W 01526 0085 168 014 168 148 015 01647 0000000000
0624. 1956N 06953W 01524 0086 163 011 166 162 012 01645 0000000000
0625 1955N 06951W 01524 0085 130 006 178 158 008 01645 0000000000
0625. 1955N 06950W 01525 0085 104 008 186 156 009 01646 0000000000
0626 1955N 06948W 01525 0086 122 005 182 154 006 01647 0000000000
0626. 1954N 06946W 01526 0087 124 004 180 138 004 01649 0000000000
0627 1954N 06945W 01523 0088 073 004 180 120 005 01646 0000000000
0627. 1954N 06943W 01518 0088 058 006 170 138 007 01642 0000000000
0628 1954N 06942W 01536 0093 065 007 178 106 011 01665 0000000000
0628. 1956N 06942W 01517 0088 044 009 176 120 010 01640 0000000000
0629 1957N 06944W 01527 0086 071 008 176 132 009 01649 0000000000
0629. 1958N 06945W 01523 0086 106 006 176 152 007 01645 0000000000
0630 1959N 06947W 01527 0086 112 007 180 150 009 01648 0000000000
0630. 2000N 06948W 01521 0085 133 006 182 154 007 01642 0000000000
0631 2001N 06949W 01527 0084 186 007 180 150 007 01647 0000000000
;

[Bailey1777]

So in everybodies opinion do we have

A. A stronger storm
B. A weaker storm
C. No change

as compared to 12hr's ago

[saints63213]

A no question about that.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

One more observation before i hit the sack. The upper low east of Chris is moving west. Also there is still shear going on by looking at the clouds moving south associated with Chris.

[mobilebay]

they are just about to enter the heavy convection in the SE QUad.

[Grease Monkey]

Is the fact a lot of the SE convention trailing over the dominican republic (land mass, mountains) going to make it harder for it to wrap around the LLC?

[Grease Monkey]

bring it on!

[KFDM Meteorologist]

The shear is keeping the thunderstorms from really getting wrapped up. If Chris moves over land at all i just don't see how he will make it as weak as it is.

[Bailey1777]

One more question did the corrdinates on the vortex put it inside or outside of the convection?

[KFDM Meteorologist]

just outside i believe.