Tropical Storm Chris

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
x-y-no
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8359
Age: 65
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

#4441 Postby x-y-no » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:08 am

Jam151 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:When I analyze a high-res visible image, I notice many small outflow boundaries eminating away form the center. Such motions indicate a general lack of convergence toward the center and could be an indication that the LLC is dissipating. Could well be Tropical Wave Chris this afternoon. Here's an image with arrows indicating cloud motions:

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/chris11a.gif


is there any online software that an ameteur could pay for to get high res images of that caliber?


You might want to check this out:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=83814
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22979
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

#4442 Postby wxman57 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:12 am

Jam151 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:When I analyze a high-res visible image, I notice many small outflow boundaries eminating away form the center. Such motions indicate a general lack of convergence toward the center and could be an indication that the LLC is dissipating. Could well be Tropical Wave Chris this afternoon. Here's an image with arrows indicating cloud motions:

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/chris11a.gif


is there any online software that an ameteur could pay for to get high res images of that caliber?


You can download the McIDAS software here:

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/mcidas/

It won't run on a Windows PC, but you can run it on Sun Solaris or maybe Linux. I'm not sure of the specs, check the web site.

As for the data, you'll need a noaaport feed, I believe. That requires a satellite ground station.

The short answer is probably not.
0 likes   

User avatar
AJC3
Admin
Admin
Posts: 3999
Age: 61
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:04 pm
Location: Ballston Spa, New York
Contact:

#4443 Postby AJC3 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:12 am

wxman57 wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:When I analyze a high-res visible image, I notice many small outflow boundaries eminating away form the center. Such motions indicate a general lack of convergence toward the center and could be an indication that the LLC is dissipating. Could well be Tropical Wave Chris this afternoon. Here's an image with arrows indicating cloud motions:

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/chris11a.gif


I Foresee last Advisory at 500


I wish. But the NHC is forecasing Chris to intensify over the next 2 days, despite their discussion that says wind shear will be strong. It does look like Chris' LLC may be dissipating, though. Would be nice not to have to work 12-hr shifts this weekend. And the guy working nights hasn't had a day off in 7 days.



I think you're likely to get your wish. The overall circ is starting to resemble more of an inverted V than a symmetric vortex.
0 likes   

User avatar
MississippiHurricane
ChatStaff
ChatStaff
Posts: 648
Age: 40
Joined: Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:20 am
Location: Hanover, Maryland
Contact:

#4444 Postby MississippiHurricane » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:15 am

Well, goodbye Chris......for now
0 likes   

User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#4445 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:15 am

well, it does look sick i must admit. However, you can tell the shear is starting to really relax. There are some healthy storms on the SE quad that are making a b-line for the LLC. one good way we will know if the shear has truely let up is if they make it all the way to the center.
0 likes   

User avatar
MississippiHurricane
ChatStaff
ChatStaff
Posts: 648
Age: 40
Joined: Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:20 am
Location: Hanover, Maryland
Contact:

#4446 Postby MississippiHurricane » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:16 am

Anybody see the "D" storm forming anytime soon?
0 likes   

User avatar
DESTRUCTION5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4423
Age: 43
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
Location: Stuart, FL

#4447 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:17 am

Misshurricane wrote:Anybody see the "D" storm forming anytime soon?


it think there is Potential for 2 out near the Cape Verdes..
0 likes   

User avatar
MississippiHurricane
ChatStaff
ChatStaff
Posts: 648
Age: 40
Joined: Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:20 am
Location: Hanover, Maryland
Contact:

#4448 Postby MississippiHurricane » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:18 am

Thanks ill give something else to watch besides Chris's leftovers
0 likes   

Air Force Met
Military Met
Military Met
Posts: 4372
Age: 56
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 9:30 am
Location: Roan Mountain, TN

#4449 Postby Air Force Met » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:23 am

BOOM. Convection really firing. Southly impact from Hispaniola starting to lessen maybe and it is heading into an area with a higher heat content.

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1 ... 6215ca.jpg
0 likes   

User avatar
Extremeweatherguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 11095
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
Location: Florida

#4450 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:24 am

seems like Chris still doesn't want to let up.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38090
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#4451 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:26 am

:roll:

This is beyond annoying. I really wish it would either die totally or blowup into something a lot more, none of this "hanging on for dear life" junk.
0 likes   
#neversummer

JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

#4452 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:27 am

lol brent
0 likes   

User avatar
Innotech
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1031
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 5:32 pm
Location: Lafayette, Louisiana
Contact:

#4453 Postby Innotech » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:29 am

Brent wrote::roll:

This is beyond annoying. I really wish it would either die totally or blowup into something a lot more, none of this "hanging on for dear life" junk.


Careful what you wish for....
0 likes   

User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

#4454 Postby HouTXmetro » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:29 am

Air Force Met wrote:BOOM. Convection really firing. Southly impact from Hispaniola starting to lessen maybe and it is heading into an area with a higher heat content.

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1 ... 6215ca.jpg


This is coming from you Image I better take notice. I know you are unbiased in your assesment.
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#4455 Postby KWT » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:29 am

Just as the LLC is opening up as well now the convection is strengthening, as AFM said the inflow is getting a better feed again, this is one fighter of a system isn't it!
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

User avatar
Extremeweatherguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 11095
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
Location: Florida

#4456 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:29 am

Brent wrote::roll:

This is beyond annoying. I really wish it would either die totally or blowup into something a lot more, none of this "hanging on for dear life" junk.
I agree. Chris needs to do something or get lost.
0 likes   

Frank2
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4061
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2005 12:47 pm

#4457 Postby Frank2 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:30 am

AirForceMet,

I wouldn't say boom - more like a pop - the circulation itself has becomer smaller since yesterday (it was already small), so, once it crosses the Cuba coast (looks likely), that should be that...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html
0 likes   

Air Force Met
Military Met
Military Met
Posts: 4372
Age: 56
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 9:30 am
Location: Roan Mountain, TN

#4458 Postby Air Force Met » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:30 am

Brent wrote::roll:

This is beyond annoying. I really wish it would either die totally or blowup into something a lot more, none of this "hanging on for dear life" junk.


Annoying? Try totally frustrating. I don't know what to tell the bosses other than: Well it might die but if it hangs on I think it will be in a good position to strengthen over the Gulf.

"So...is it gonna die or not?"

Uhhh...I don't know sir.
0 likes   

Frank2
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4061
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2005 12:47 pm

#4459 Postby Frank2 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:32 am

In fact, some breaking news here - it appears the Chris might be opening into a wave (it seems to now have a positive north-south tilt, and, the center is much less defined) in the last photo or two:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html
Last edited by Frank2 on Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
southerngale
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 27418
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)

#4460 Postby southerngale » Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:36 am

Air Force Met wrote:BOOM. Convection really firing. Southly impact from Hispaniola starting to lessen maybe and it is heading into an area with a higher heat content.

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1 ... 6215ca.jpg


Ugh, stop it already. :P Repeat after me: There is no convection. There is no convection. There is no convection. Then tap your heels together and it will go away.
0 likes   


Return to “2006”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 6 guests