Super Typhoon Chanchu - Cat. 4

CHRISTY · #21 Postby **CHRISTY** » Fri May 05, 2006 1:47 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:I never said this had a better chance, CHRISTY. Calm down. Let's not have an argument. We are ALL watching these systems!

Hey its totally cool nobody's upset capeverdewave. :wink:

MiamiensisWx · #22 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri May 05, 2006 1:48 pm

Good. I just thought you were getting nervous because I wasn't posting in the eastern Pacific system thread. There is no reason to be.

:wink:

James · #23 Postby **James** » Fri May 05, 2006 1:49 pm

This system could very well do something given time. We've seen before how quickly a disorganised sytem can turn itself around.

CHRISTY · #24 Postby **CHRISTY** » Fri May 05, 2006 1:49 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:Good. I just thought you were getting nervous because I wasn't posting in the eastern Pacific system thread. There is no reason to be.

no iam not nervous i think that time will come sooner rather than later for all of us in the ATLANTIC.

MiamiensisWx · #25 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri May 05, 2006 1:51 pm

James wrote:This system could very well do something given time. We've seen before how quickly a disorganised sytem can turn itself around.

Exactly my sentiments based on evidence. I agree.

Weatherfreak000 · #26 Postby **Weatherfreak000** » Fri May 05, 2006 2:01 pm

This storm needs a miracle. Truly.

Infact, it's not even worth giving a chance until another day of watching it it's that bad. So forget it, maybe if it gets organizated come tomorrow, maybe.

CHRISTY · #27 Postby **CHRISTY** » Fri May 05, 2006 2:02 pm

IF ANYTHING IS GOING TO HAPPEN IT GONNA BE IN THE PACIFIC TAKE A LOOK...

MiamiensisWx · #28 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri May 05, 2006 2:03 pm

Weatherfreak000 wrote:This storm needs a miracle. Truly.

Infact, it's not even worth giving a chance until another day of watching it it's that bad. So forget it, maybe if it gets organizated come tomorrow, maybe.

True, it may not eventually develop much, but who's complaining if it doesn't? Not me. Also, since when did this become like the other INVESTs that DEFINATELY did not have a chance or much of it? This is different due to what I mentioned several posts back in this thread. Keep an eye on it. No, this is not wishcasting, either.

Remember, in tropical activity, things dismissed as so-called miracles DO happen. Not being insulting, but it's the truth, especially after what I've mentioned.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #29 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri May 05, 2006 2:04 pm

Right over that area at 11 north/115 west. Seems to be a MLC forming.

MiamiensisWx · #30 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri May 05, 2006 2:06 pm

Umm... since when did this become the thread for an eastern Pacific system?

Guys, relax. Just post the eastern Pacific information in the eastern Pacific thread. Thanks.

MiamiensisWx · #31 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri May 05, 2006 2:11 pm

Just as I expected, a burst of convection is now occurring, including a small burst near the center. Outflow also seems to show signs of slow organization. Overall, it is definately looking a bit better now, even though pressure is up by two millibars. A rise in pressure can often occur just before or as slow organization is occurring.

CHRISTY · #32 Postby **CHRISTY** » Fri May 05, 2006 2:14 pm

Shear will be on the decrease....

#33 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri May 05, 2006 5:50 pm

Infared Image

:uarrow:

It looks like more convection has developed with this disturbance in the past few hours.

MiamiensisWx · #34 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri May 05, 2006 6:01 pm

The center definately seems to be consolidating slowly with convection. Slow organization of outflow, convection, and consolidation definately appears to be taking place!

Weatherfreak000 · #35 Postby **Weatherfreak000** » Fri May 05, 2006 6:05 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:The center definately seems to be consolidating slowly with convection. Slow organization of outflow, convection, and consolidation definately appears to be taking place!

Yeah, I think now we may actually be looking at a true INVEST at least.

However, it's still nothing too special. I get the feeling if this thing doesn't start truly spinning up by tomorrow morning it's never gonna make it so i think if it's got a shot it better make it's move fast.

Weatherfreak000 · #36 Postby **Weatherfreak000** » Fri May 05, 2006 6:05 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:The center definately seems to be consolidating slowly with convection. Slow organization of outflow, convection, and consolidation definately appears to be taking place!

Yeah, I think now we may actually be looking at a true INVEST at least.

However, it's still nothing too special. I get the feeling if this thing doesn't start truly spinning up by tomorrow morning it's never gonna make it so i think if it's got a shot it better make it's move fast.

#37 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri May 05, 2006 6:10 pm

It's the only game in town in all the tropics around the world so even if nothing occurs with it at least it's something to watch for the tropical weather trackers.

CHRISTY · #38 Postby **CHRISTY** » Fri May 05, 2006 6:13 pm

ON THIS VISIBLE LOOP U CAN CLEARLY SEE THE SPIN!

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/guam/guamloops/guamir.html

CHRISTY · #39 Postby **CHRISTY** » Fri May 05, 2006 6:15 pm

HERE IS A VISIBLE PIC.

CHRISTY · #40 Postby **CHRISTY** » Fri May 05, 2006 6:36 pm

TYPHOON CENTER HAS IT LISTED AS POOR ....LOOK!

Super Typhoon Chanchu - Cat. 4

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