WPAC: Typhoon Saomai (0608)

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Matt-hurricanewatcher
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#81 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:40 am

This thing is close to a cat5. In with your 10 minute avg thing 100=6.0 and 107=7.0? It seems weird.
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#82 Postby P.K. » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:48 am

No, that 100kt (Converted from a one minute average of 115kts) is from the CIMSS ADT which uses a different Dvorak estimate table to the RSMC Tokyo one below that was previously posted as I said before.

T Number RSMC Tokyo
2.0 30
2.5 35
3.0 45
3.5 55
4.0 65
4.5 70
5.0 77
5.5 85
6.0 93
6.5 100
7.0 107
7.5 115
8.0 122
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#83 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:52 am

So, to become a Cat. 5 under JMA classification system a typhoon would need a value greater than 7.5???

That's too much!!!
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#84 Postby Aquawind » Wed Aug 09, 2006 7:40 am

WOW! Glad that is not in the ATL basin. Very impressive images..
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#85 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 09, 2006 7:42 am

Aquawind wrote:WOW! Glad that is not in the ATL basin. Very impressive images..


Under the atmospheric conditions present across the Atlantic it will be impossible for a system of Saomai's intensity to form.
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#86 Postby P.K. » Wed Aug 09, 2006 7:55 am

95kts, 925hPa.

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0608 SAOMAI (0608)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091200UTC 25.4N 125.3E GOOD
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 095KT
50KT 70NM EAST 60NM WEST
30KT 160NM EAST 100NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 101200UTC 27.7N 119.6E 80NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
48HF 111200UTC 30.5N 113.9E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =
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#87 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Aug 09, 2006 7:57 am

I highly doubt that Saomai is a 95 kts. Its more like 100 and something kts.
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#88 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 09, 2006 8:20 am

BEAUTIFUL & IMPRESSIVE SAOMAI

Image

Image

Image

Image
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#89 Postby Trugunzn » Wed Aug 09, 2006 8:24 am

Amazon looking storm!
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#90 Postby TheEuropean » Wed Aug 09, 2006 8:51 am

NRL on backup site now with 140 kt and 898 mb!
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#91 Postby Trugunzn » Wed Aug 09, 2006 8:56 am

And in the Atlantic we are watching invest 91l

Image
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#92 Postby Epsilon_Fan » Wed Aug 09, 2006 9:02 am

impressive looking to say the least... this one is second only to Daniel this summer
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#93 Postby P.K. » Wed Aug 09, 2006 9:02 am

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:I highly doubt that Saomai is a 95 kts. Its more like 100 and something kts.


Ten minute average for this basin remember. This would be 110kts in the N Atlantic just based on the last advisory.
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#94 Postby miamicanes177 » Wed Aug 09, 2006 10:27 am

wow this saomai is big time right now...nasty storm. It only looks be getting stronger by the hour.
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#95 Postby whereverwx » Wed Aug 09, 2006 10:28 am

Wow, too bad the sun has set.

Image Image
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#96 Postby bob rulz » Wed Aug 09, 2006 12:44 pm

All that matters now is that it is a category 5 and that it's headed for the same area that Bilis hit a week ago.

Very awesome-looking storm though. It looks better than Daniel now.
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#97 Postby wxmann_91 » Wed Aug 09, 2006 12:55 pm

Looks like western semicircle is weakening from dry air intrustion and shear. I'd doubt this makes landfall as a 5.
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#98 Postby bob rulz » Wed Aug 09, 2006 12:58 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:Looks like western semicircle is weakening from dry air intrustion and shear. I'd doubt this makes landfall as a 5.


Well, me too. It still has a long ways to go. But either way it's probably still going to be pretty powerful at landfall.
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Derek Ortt

#99 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Aug 09, 2006 1:01 pm

Saomi looks like a cat 4, maybe slightly higher than JMA, but not much so, certainly not a cat 5 like JT is saying
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#100 Postby bob rulz » Wed Aug 09, 2006 1:03 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:Saomi looks like a cat 4, maybe slightly higher than JMA, but not much so, certainly not a cat 5 like JT is saying


It did look like a cat 5.
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