Hurricane Gordon - Cat. 3
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Looks like he is just sitting there, not moving at all. And actally just wobbled west of the forecast plots.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/loop-wv.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/loop-wv.html
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- DESTRUCTION5
- Category 5
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- DESTRUCTION5
- Category 5
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- senorpepr
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DESTRUCTION5 wrote:WmE wrote:Actually it has a diameter of 20NM.
Don't think i buy that one...Frances had a 80 Mile wide and it looked like a pinhole compared to that..
Don't let yourself get confused between a visible eye on satellite and the eye that is obscured by a CDO, but measured by recon.
Now... with that said, there appears to be a 50NM eye, with a really clear section that's 15NM in diameter.
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- Category 5
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He kinda looks annular.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- senorpepr
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HurricaneHunter914 wrote:He kinda looks annular.
With all due respect, Gordon is quite far away from being annular. The ENE through SSW radii of Gordon are much smaller than the rest of the system.
"Annular hurricanes are axisymmetric — symmetric along every radial axis, i.e. very circular in appearance. They lack the spiralform rainbands which are characteristic of typical tropical cyclones."
"Annular hurricanes are very rare. Few storms meet all of the criteria, although many strong storms resemble annular hurricanes in some criteria. Fewer than 1% of Atlantic tropical cyclones encounter all of the environmental conditions associated with annular hurricanes. In the Eastern Pacific, such conditions are more common, but still very unusual — 3% of Pacific tropical cyclones encounter them."
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- WindRunner
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Surprised this isn't posted yet . . . Gordon initialized at 70kts at 12Z, and SHIPS indicates some strengthening at 06h and 12h.
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
HURRICANE GORDON (AL072006) ON 20060917 1200 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060917 1200 060918 0000 060918 1200 060919 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 33.3N 53.2W 35.4N 51.5W 37.5N 47.6W 38.8N 41.8W
BAMM 33.3N 53.2W 35.5N 51.5W 37.5N 48.1W 38.7N 42.9W
A98E 33.3N 53.2W 34.8N 51.9W 36.4N 48.5W 37.8N 44.9W
LBAR 33.3N 53.2W 35.1N 51.3W 36.6N 48.6W 38.0N 44.0W
SHIP 70KTS 71KTS 69KTS 65KTS
DSHP 70KTS 71KTS 69KTS 65KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060919 1200 060920 1200 060921 1200 060922 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 39.3N 34.0W 43.8N 15.1W 55.8N 11.2W 61.1N 12.5W
BAMM 38.9N 36.3W 40.6N 18.3W 49.6N 9.5W 57.7N 10.8W
A98E 38.0N 39.4W 37.2N 30.2W 35.1N 15.9W 35.6N 4.3W
LBAR 39.2N 37.4W .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 61KTS 52KTS 51KTS 47KTS
DSHP 61KTS 52KTS 36KTS 30KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 33.3N LONCUR = 53.2W DIRCUR = 25DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
LATM12 = 31.9N LONM12 = 53.7W DIRM12 = 14DEG SPDM12 = 4KT
LATM24 = 31.3N LONM24 = 53.8W
WNDCUR = 70KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 65KT
CENPRS = 983MB OUTPRS = 1015MB OUTRAD = 185NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 100NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 80NM RD34NW = 90NM
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
HURRICANE GORDON (AL072006) ON 20060917 1200 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060917 1200 060918 0000 060918 1200 060919 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 33.3N 53.2W 35.4N 51.5W 37.5N 47.6W 38.8N 41.8W
BAMM 33.3N 53.2W 35.5N 51.5W 37.5N 48.1W 38.7N 42.9W
A98E 33.3N 53.2W 34.8N 51.9W 36.4N 48.5W 37.8N 44.9W
LBAR 33.3N 53.2W 35.1N 51.3W 36.6N 48.6W 38.0N 44.0W
SHIP 70KTS 71KTS 69KTS 65KTS
DSHP 70KTS 71KTS 69KTS 65KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060919 1200 060920 1200 060921 1200 060922 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 39.3N 34.0W 43.8N 15.1W 55.8N 11.2W 61.1N 12.5W
BAMM 38.9N 36.3W 40.6N 18.3W 49.6N 9.5W 57.7N 10.8W
A98E 38.0N 39.4W 37.2N 30.2W 35.1N 15.9W 35.6N 4.3W
LBAR 39.2N 37.4W .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 61KTS 52KTS 51KTS 47KTS
DSHP 61KTS 52KTS 36KTS 30KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 33.3N LONCUR = 53.2W DIRCUR = 25DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
LATM12 = 31.9N LONM12 = 53.7W DIRM12 = 14DEG SPDM12 = 4KT
LATM24 = 31.3N LONM24 = 53.8W
WNDCUR = 70KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 65KT
CENPRS = 983MB OUTPRS = 1015MB OUTRAD = 185NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 100NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 80NM RD34NW = 90NM
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HurricaneHunter914 wrote:He kinda looks annular.
He doesn't look annular at all. He looked annular days ago.
I can't believe it is still alive!
Why is that? The NHC forecast had Gordon still alive longer then this and now Gordon strengthened.
Gordon is trying to get better organized it appears. I doubt this will be Epsilon 2.0 since he was a different type of "animal".
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