Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

[Vortex]

You seem to get bams and lbar quickly--How soon until the 00z is out.

[cycloneye]

You seem to get bams and lbar quickly--How soon until the 00z is out.

Before 9:00 PM.

[Foladar0]

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

HURRICANE WILMA 24L

INITIAL TIME 18Z OCT 19

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 17.4 83.3 295./ 6.0
6 17.7 83.9 297./ 6.2
12 18.2 84.8 300./10.1
18 18.4 85.4 286./ 5.9
24 18.9 85.9 315./ 7.6
30 19.7 86.3 333./ 8.1
36 20.1 86.7 320./ 5.6
42 20.6 86.9 335./ 5.7
48 21.1 87.0 348./ 4.4
54 21.4 87.1 351./ 3.8
60 21.6 86.9 34./ 2.1
66 21.9 86.8 32./ 3.1
72 22.1 86.3 68./ 5.2
78 22.4 85.6 62./ 6.9
84 22.7 84.9 70./ 7.0
90 23.3 84.0 57./10.5
96 24.1 82.7 59./13.9
102 25.5 80.8 51./22.2
108 27.9 78.7 42./30.4
114 31.3 76.1 38./41.1
120 36.2 73.2 30./53.6
126 41.4 71.6 18./53.9

My lat/long is 25.2/80.2

Oh sh-- .. that isn't good news, right Cane? LOL

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

IMO this storm looks to be getting ready to deepen very rapidly.
I am expecting significant strengthening possible by morning.
Could it dip to 870 mb? Quite Possibly.

[DESTRUCTION5]

http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/picservice.asp?t=m&m=24

Graphic of the 18z GFDL.The dark blue line is the GFDL.

One thing about that GFDL is I don't buy the SE movement..(dip)

[lester]

more gray is starting to show up now around center

sorry, but what does the gray wrapping around the center mean??
lester

[gatorcane]

sorry, but what does the gray wrapping around the center mean??
lester

In this case the grey are the very cold cloud tops indicating intense storm activity...

in other words it could be gaining strength again.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

more gray is starting to show up now around center

sorry, but what does the gray wrapping around the center mean??
lester

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Very high/cold/intense cloud tops- Wilma is about ready to
explode--- possibly dipping below 870 mb in the next 12-24 hours.

[Brent]

[skysummit]

more gray is starting to show up now around center

sorry, but what does the gray wrapping around the center mean??
lester

Quite possibly.......BOOM later tonight.

[lester]

sorry, but what does the gray wrapping around the center mean??
lester

In this case the grey are the very cold cloud tops indicating intense storm activity...

in other words it could be gaining strength again.

oh, okay, thanks

[Canelaw99]

My lat/long is 25.2/80.2

GFS showing the same thing... that would probably be the worst thing for Miami next to a hit from the east because there is no real land to weaken it.

Comforting, brent, thank you LOL

[Canelaw99]

Stay Away from Homestead Miami Speedway !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

LOL I agree because that means it would stay away from my condo!

[cjrciadt]

Look how much grey cloud tips have come back in the past 30 min pic.
Compare to her peak this morning.

[Canelaw99]

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

HURRICANE WILMA 24L

INITIAL TIME 18Z OCT 19

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 17.4 83.3 295./ 6.0
6 17.7 83.9 297./ 6.2
12 18.2 84.8 300./10.1
18 18.4 85.4 286./ 5.9
24 18.9 85.9 315./ 7.6
30 19.7 86.3 333./ 8.1
36 20.1 86.7 320./ 5.6
42 20.6 86.9 335./ 5.7
48 21.1 87.0 348./ 4.4
54 21.4 87.1 351./ 3.8
60 21.6 86.9 34./ 2.1
66 21.9 86.8 32./ 3.1
72 22.1 86.3 68./ 5.2
78 22.4 85.6 62./ 6.9
84 22.7 84.9 70./ 7.0
90 23.3 84.0 57./10.5
96 24.1 82.7 59./13.9
102 25.5 80.8 51./22.2
108 27.9 78.7 42./30.4
114 31.3 76.1 38./41.1
120 36.2 73.2 30./53.6
126 41.4 71.6 18./53.9

My lat/long is 25.2/80.2

Oh sh-- .. that isn't good news, right Cane? LOL

Nope, LOL, not at all, except that models shift, right?

[jhamps10]

hey guys,

looking at the IR satellite here, it is looking like Wilma could break her own record of 882 MB that she had this morning. I want to make this clear, everyone talks about MB's and ERC's but remember, there is a lot of people in her path.
A lot of our own members are threatened by her. Although talking about ERC's and how low she will go is fine, Don't forget about the people who may be killed or injured, their lives destroyed by wilma.

Jhamps10

[hicksta]

If this does hit cozumel.. Many people will lose thier lives.. Many buildings already destroyed by i think emily will be destroyed agian... Lets keep these people in our prayers.. Only a few people know what it is like hearing that a cat 5 may come your way.. And i wish only a few will ever know the feeling you get when you realize you may lose everything.. Even close friends who choose to ride it out...

Your all in my prayers. I was in your spot 4 weeks ago... God bless

Derek

[Scorpion]

Looks well east of the forecast point. Also still a 5 where the point says a 4. Looks also to have made a big N jog.

[hicksta]

If this does hit cozumel.. Many people will lose thier lives.. Many buildings already destroyed by i think emily will be destroyed agian... Lets keep these people in our prayers.. Only a few people know what it is like hearing that a cat 5 may come your way.. And i wish only a few will ever know the feeling you get when you realize you may lose everything.. Even close friends who choose to ride it out...

Your all in my prayers. I was in your spot 4 weeks ago... God bless

Derek

[Duffy]

i am on the Coast of Maine
it seems the models have shifted a lil more East of the Coast now
does that mean we're out of the Woods?