Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

[StormFury]

Wilma is definitely on the move...not stationary anymore. Definite northerly component. Check it out here...http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/ ... -loop.html

[Recurve]

uhhhh, what graphic of 18z model? Where?

[johngaltfla]

870?

Screw you guys I'm going home

-Eric Cartman

If it breaks 870, uh, doesn't that mean it has the potential to create it's own environment and some of it's own steering currents???

[StormFury]

Wilma is definitely on the move...not stationary anymore. Definite northerly component. Check it out here...http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/ ... -loop.html

[truballer#1]

latest gfdl model
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation

[StormFury]

Wilma is definitely on the move...not stationary anymore. Definite northerly component. Check it out here...http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/ ... -loop.html

[mtm4319]

The gray is almost gone on the 00:15z pic.

[Mello1]

hey guys,

looking at the IR satellite here, it is looking like Wilma could break her own record of 882 MB that she had this morning. I want to make this clear, everyone talks about MB's and ERC's but remember, there is a lot of people in her path.
A lot of our own members are threatened by her. Although talking about ERC's and how low she will go is fine, Don't forget about the people who may be killed or injured, their lives destroyed by wilma.

Jhamps10

That goes without saying it.

[truballer#1]

[truballer#1]

[gatorcane]

Look at all of the dry air N and W of Wilma. I think that once she gets into some cooler water temps and caught in the westerlies that this dry air is going to take it's toll.

What do you think?

[cycloneye]

HURRICANE WILMA (AL242005) ON 20051020 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051020 0000 051020 1200 051021 0000 051021 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.0N 84.0W 18.9N 85.3W 19.9N 86.6W 20.8N 87.9W
BAMM 18.0N 84.0W 18.8N 85.5W 19.7N 86.9W 20.4N 88.0W
A98E 18.0N 84.0W 18.8N 85.2W 19.8N 86.4W 20.9N 87.3W
LBAR 18.0N 84.0W 19.0N 85.4W 20.4N 86.7W 22.0N 87.2W
SHIP 140KTS 139KTS 143KTS 146KTS
DSHP 140KTS 139KTS 143KTS 146KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051022 0000 051023 0000 051024 0000 051025 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 21.2N 88.6W 21.1N 88.6W 21.0N 86.9W 27.2N 78.0W
BAMM 20.6N 88.5W 19.8N 87.5W 20.5N 84.8W 27.4N 75.9W
A98E 21.6N 88.1W 24.0N 86.7W 27.0N 82.4W 39.5N 74.3W
LBAR 23.9N 87.0W 30.6N 80.5W 39.5N 62.8W 35.7N 55.4W
SHIP 142KTS 117KTS 79KTS 49KTS
DSHP 142KTS 117KTS 62KTS 32KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 18.0N LONCUR = 84.0W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
LATM12 = 17.3N LONM12 = 82.8W DIRM12 = 291DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 16.6N LONM24 = 81.8W
WNDCUR = 140KT RMAXWD = 5NM WNDM12 = 150KT
CENPRS = 892MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 300NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 200NM RD34SE = 200NM RD34SW = 110NM RD34NW = 150NM


00:00z BAM Model Guidance

[wxwatcher91]

wow 0015 she's starting to bomb. look at the spread of red convection around the center.

[cjrciadt]

latest gfdl model
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation

As a Cat3 into Boston moving 50knts N.!!!!!!!!!!!!1 This forecast is even more crazier, and it might be right crazy.

[johngaltfla]

870?

Screw you guys I'm going home

-Eric Cartman

If it breaks 870, uh, doesn't that mean it has the potential to create it's own environment and some of it's own steering currents???

[cycloneye]

HURRICANE WILMA (AL242005) ON 20051020 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051020 0000 051020 1200 051021 0000 051021 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.0N 84.0W 18.9N 85.3W 19.9N 86.6W 20.8N 87.9W
BAMM 18.0N 84.0W 18.8N 85.5W 19.7N 86.9W 20.4N 88.0W
A98E 18.0N 84.0W 18.8N 85.2W 19.8N 86.4W 20.9N 87.3W
LBAR 18.0N 84.0W 19.0N 85.4W 20.4N 86.7W 22.0N 87.2W
SHIP 140KTS 139KTS 143KTS 146KTS
DSHP 140KTS 139KTS 143KTS 146KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051022 0000 051023 0000 051024 0000 051025 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 21.2N 88.6W 21.1N 88.6W 21.0N 86.9W 27.2N 78.0W
BAMM 20.6N 88.5W 19.8N 87.5W 20.5N 84.8W 27.4N 75.9W
A98E 21.6N 88.1W 24.0N 86.7W 27.0N 82.4W 39.5N 74.3W
LBAR 23.9N 87.0W 30.6N 80.5W 39.5N 62.8W 35.7N 55.4W
SHIP 142KTS 117KTS 79KTS 49KTS
DSHP 142KTS 117KTS 62KTS 32KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 18.0N LONCUR = 84.0W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
LATM12 = 17.3N LONM12 = 82.8W DIRM12 = 291DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 16.6N LONM24 = 81.8W
WNDCUR = 140KT RMAXWD = 5NM WNDM12 = 150KT
CENPRS = 892MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 300NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 200NM RD34SE = 200NM RD34SW = 110NM RD34NW = 150NM


00:00z BAM Model Guidance

[n o o d l z]

Why is everyone saying Wilma is strengthening? Eye is losing definition and her outflow isn't looking too hot either. I think from here on out it'll weaken.

[Recurve]

Oh crap.

So now it meanders a bit, and then heads up U.S. 1 according to the GFDL?

I'm heading to north tomorrow.

[truballer#1]

[truballer#1]