Hurricane Katrina

[TPACane04]

wonder if they keep sustained winds at 175 at 5pm? My math for flight level adjustment drops to 165 instead of 175...based on last vortex...


yes? no?

[Scorpion]

Probably keep it due to pressure.

[WindRunner]

Probably keep it due to pressure.

Pressure would even support upgrading. Dvorak chart says 906mb=155kts=7.5. However, neither winds nor classifications support another bump up, so it will stay at 150kts for now.

[StormsAhead]

wonder if they keep sustained winds at 175 at 5pm? My math for flight level adjustment drops to 165 instead of 175...based on last vortex...


yes? no?

Well, the storm has not been weakening, at least not yet. Just because they didn't find wind as high as before, doesn't mean it's not there. The only thing that could do it is the SFMR data...which shows only 150 MPH on the surface. They might compromise, and lower them to 170 or something, but that will give the incorrect impression that the storm is weakening.

[Scorpion]

Perhaps winds will catch up with the pressure.

[StormsAhead]

URNT40 KWBC 282000
NOAA3 1812A KATRINA
195030 2724 08952 10035 -0212 046076 +132 +090 046078 056 004
195100 2725 08953 10038 -0197 045075 +131 +101 045075 055 006
195130 2727 08955 10041 -0182 046073 +128 +103 045075 055 004
195200 2728 08957 10029 -0170 048073 +119 +103 049073 052 004
195230 2730 08958 10038 -0156 049075 +113 +097 049075 054 003
195300 2731 09000 10035 -0139 048073 +118 +091 049074 054 004
195330 2733 09001 10038 -0123 048071 +114 +090 049071 055 004
195400 2734 09003 10038 -0110 049068 +119 +084 049070 052 003
195430 2736 09005 10033 -0099 050064 +117 +085 051065 050 003
195500 2737 09006 10037 -0090 053067 +115 +084 053068 048 005
195530 2739 09008 10035 -0079 056068 +117 +083 055068 048 004
195600 2740 09010 10035 -0067 055067 +111 +087 055067 045 004
195630 2742 09011 10037 -0056 055070 +109 +097 057071 046 004
195700 2743 09013 10035 -0047 057072 +119 +093 058075 044 004
195730 2744 09015 10036 -0033 055070 +117 +104 056071 044 006
195800 2746 09016 10042 -0016 053068 +118 +105 054070 044 005
195830 2747 09019 10036 -0001 054068 +118 +082 052068 999 999
195900 2746 09022 10021 +0002 056067 +112 +087 056067 999 999
195930 2744 09023 10021 -0003 053067 +108 +089 055068 046 004
200000 2742 09024 10032 -0014 052066 +113 +090 052067 048 004

[StormsAhead]

URNT40 KWBC 282010
NOAA3 1812A KATRINA
200030 2739 09025 10028 -0021 050065 +114 +092 051065 048 005
200100 2737 09026 10030 -0025 049066 +115 +087 049067 047 004
200130 2734 09027 10038 -0030 046065 +113 +097 047066 049 005
200200 2732 09028 10034 -0028 042063 +113 +094 043063 049 004
200230 2729 09029 10033 -0026 038062 +119 +094 039062 048 003
200300 2727 09030 10037 -0028 039059 +118 +086 038061 047 004
200330 2724 09031 10031 -0030 037057 +117 +085 039058 050 003
200400 2722 09032 10033 -0032 034056 +116 +081 035056 049 004
200430 2720 09033 10034 -0033 031057 +115 +089 031058 049 003
200500 2717 09034 10039 -0037 027057 +118 +092 030058 048 003
200530 2715 09035 10040 -0038 027053 +124 +083 028053 048 004
200600 2712 09036 10042 -0040 024054 +117 +091 025055 049 005
200630 2710 09037 10039 -0043 019052 +114 +102 020053 049 005
200700 2707 09038 10042 -0041 012051 +115 +098 012051 048 005
200730 2705 09039 10038 -0041 009052 +122 +091 007054 049 003
200800 2703 09040 10043 -0043 009053 +118 +094 008055 049 003
200830 2700 09041 10043 -0040 013050 +117 +086 015051 051 003
200900 2658 09042 10039 -0036 015051 +119 +085 015052 051 003
200930 2655 09043 10039 -0036 017051 +118 +089 015052 047 005
201000 2653 09044 10035 -0034 018052 +114 +092 017053 042 005

[WindRunner]

that 1930 to 1940 set didn't come in. Maybe that had some crazy wind reading in it that they didn't want to release to the public for fear of mass panic? They were passing back through the wall in that set . . . Just a thought

[StormsAhead]

that 1930 to 1940 set didn't come in. Maybe that had some crazy wind reading in it that they didn't want to release to the public for fear of mass panic? They were passing back through the wall in that set . . . Just a thought

I could see that happening...but then again, there couldn't be much more mass panic than this...

[StormsAhead]

URNT40 KWBC 282020
NOAA3 1812A KATRINA
201030 2650 09045 10035 -0033 016053 +115 +095 016054 044 005
201100 2648 09046 10034 -0029 015054 +114 +097 015054 044 005
201130 2646 09047 10042 -0026 011049 +111 +105 013051 046 006
201200 2643 09048 10039 -0020 357048 +111 +111 353049 048 010
201230 2641 09049 10033 -0020 354052 +115 +115 353052 999 999
201300 2638 09048 10037 -0023 355054 +119 +117 357055 999 999
201330 2637 09046 10036 -0030 000053 +114 +108 358054 999 999
201400 2637 09043 10034 -0037 359055 +118 +099 001056 046 006
201430 2637 09041 10038 -0049 004056 +115 +097 003057 046 005
201500 2637 09039 10035 -0058 001053 +112 +102 001054 046 004
201530 2637 09037 10034 -0068 357055 +113 +104 356056 045 004
201600 2637 09034 10038 -0078 355056 +117 +097 355057 046 004
201630 2637 09032 10035 -0088 354056 +123 +092 354056 046 006
201700 2637 09030 10043 -0102 000057 +128 +093 358057 048 008
201730 2637 09028 10036 -0115 359061 +130 +103 358063 048 008
201800 2637 09025 10031 -0132 000060 +122 +115 002061 049 006
201830 2637 09023 10040 -0152 359062 +117 +116 000063 049 006
201900 2637 09021 10032 -0170 001067 +120 +113 002068 052 006
201930 2637 09018 10034 -0187 002070 +126 +099 002072 052 003
202000 2636 09016 10035 -0203 000070 +128 +095 001071 049 003

Wind starting to increase again...

[StormsAhead]

URNT40 KWBC 282030
NOAA3 1812A KATRINA
202030 2636 09014 10033 -0219 001070 +120 +101 003070 051 002
202100 2637 09012 10043 -0236 005075 +124 +093 004075 052 003
202130 2637 09010 10037 -0255 001077 +129 +085 001077 054 004
202200 2637 09007 10029 -0278 359074 +129 +096 358076 052 004
202230 2637 09005 10032 -0296 358071 +127 +104 359072 054 003
202300 2637 09003 10039 -0318 359070 +129 +108 359071 053 003
202330 2637 09001 10041 -0338 000072 +128 +114 000073 053 004
202400 2637 08959 10039 -0365 358075 +129 +108 358077 055 005
202430 2638 08957 10033 -0394 358077 +125 +112 359078 057 006
202500 2638 08955 10040 -0419 357075 +126 +125 358077 059 008
202530 2638 08952 10044 -0444 358076 +131 +131 357078 064 007
202600 2638 08950 10034 -0474 356083 +132 +131 356085 068 006
202630 2638 08948 10043 -0506 355084 +134 +130 355085 069 007
202700 2638 08946 10041 -0546 349079 +133 +131 352081 068 011
202730 2638 08943 10045 -0583 349075 +138 +138 349076 070 008
202800 2639 08941 10022 -0621 347073 +143 +135 347074 068 009
202830 2639 08939 10049 -0655 345074 +143 +127 344076 069 006
202900 2639 08937 10055 -0691 345076 +139 +131 346076 070 003
202930 2640 08934 10060 -0728 346077 +139 +127 346077 071 004
203000 2640 08932 9981 -0785 346082 +143 +128 348083 071 004

85 knots...

[feederband]

New record 434 today


In total there are 395 users online :: 315 Registered, 37 Hidden and 43 Guests [ Administrator ] [ Moderator ]
Most users ever online was 434 on Sun Aug 28, 2005 8:02 pm

[Houston_Tempest]

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005

...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE KATRINA HEADED FOR THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST
FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED THIS
EVENING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND FROM
WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN FLORIDA
EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...AND FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 89.0 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES
SOUTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...AND A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST EARLY MONDAY. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY BEGINNING TO
DETERIORATE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN GULF
COAST...AND WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN THROUGH THE NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 165 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
KATRINA IS A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY
UNTIL LANDFALL. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AT CATEGORY
FOUR OR FIVE INTENSITY. WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF
HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR
GROUND LEVEL.

KATRINA IS A LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST. SOUTHWEST
PASS...NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...RECENTLY REPORTED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 48 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 53 MPH.

A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
902 MB...26.64 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 18 TO 22 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...LOCALLY AS HIGH AS 28 FEET...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE
CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. SOME LEVEES IN THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA
COULD BE OVERTOPPED. SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL OCCUR
ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF KATRINA ACROSS THE GULF
COAST AND THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING THIS EVENING OVER
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...AND ALABAMA...AND
OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...26.9 N... 89.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 902 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
CDT.

FORECASTER PASCH

[Coredesat]

Double.

[Coredesat]

Triple.

[Coredesat]

Quadruple.

[cycloneye]

WTNT42 KNHC 282047
TCDAT2
HURRICANE KATRINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2005

KATRINA IS MAINTAINING A CLASSIC PRESENTATION ON SATELLITE
IMAGES...AND CATEGORY 5 INTENSITY. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED
BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE AT 1755Z AND 1923Z WAS 902
MB...WHICH IS THE FOURTH LOWEST ON RECORD IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN
BEHIND HURRICANE GILBERT OF 1988...THE LABOR DAY HURRICANE OF
1935...AND HURRICANE ALLEN OF 1980. HAVING SAID THAT...DATA FROM
THE STEPPED-FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER INSTRUMENT ON BOARD THE
AIRCRAFT SUGGEST THAT THE SURFACE TO 700 MB FLIGHT LEVEL WIND RATIO
IS NOT QUITE AS LARGE AS WE TYPICALLY USE...AND THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO 145 KT. HURRICANES DO NOT
MAINTAIN SUCH GREAT INTENSITY FOR VERY LONG. HOWEVER THERE ARE NO
OBVIOUS LARGE-SCALE MECHANISMS...SUCH AS INCREASED VERTICAL
SHEAR...TO WEAKEN KATRINA. THE HURRICANE IS LIKELY TO MAKE
LANDFALL WITH CATEGORY 4 OR 5 INTENSITY.

THERE IS NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. INITIAL
MOTION IS ABOUT 315/11. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN
NORTHWARD INTO A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ASSOCIATED WITH A
LARGE MID-LATITUDE CYCLONE NEAR THE GREAT LAKES. THE 12Z GFDL
HURRICANE MODEL'S TRACK HAS SHIFTED A LITTLE WESTWARD...AS HAS THE
LATEST NOGAPS RUN. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST
AND SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS NHC TRACK. THIS IS VERY
CLOSE TO BOTH THE DYNAMICAL MODEL CONSENSUS... AND TO THE LATEST
FSU SUPERENSEMBLE TRACK. AMONG OUR MOST RELIABLE MODELS...ONLY THE
U.K. MET. OFFICE IS SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE EAST OF THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST TRACK. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE SMALL CHANGE IN THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS ESSENTIALLY AT THE NOISE LEVEL. ONE
SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT TRACK...PARTICULARLY IN THE CASE OF A
HURRICANE AS LARGE AS THIS ONE. DESTRUCTIVE EFFECTS WILL LIKELY BE
FELT WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER AND IT IS NOT POSSIBLE TO SPECIFY
WHICH COUNTIES OR PARISHES WILL EXPERIENCE THE WORST CONDITIONS.

ON THE BASIS OF AIRCRAFT FLIGHT LEVEL AND SFMR SURFACE WIND
DATA...THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED EVEN MORE OVER THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO SPREAD
AT LEAST 150 N MI INLAND ALONG THE PATH OF KATRINA. CONSULT INLAND
HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.

FORECASTER PASCH


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 28/2100Z 26.9N 89.0W 145 KT
12HR VT 29/0600Z 28.3N 89.8W 145 KT
24HR VT 29/1800Z 30.6N 89.9W 130 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 30/0600Z 33.4N 89.2W 60 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 30/1800Z 36.0N 87.5W 35 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 31/1800Z 41.0N 81.5W 30 KT...INLAND
96HR VT 01/1800Z 48.0N 72.5W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 02/1800Z...ABSORBED

[cycloneye]

WTNT42 KNHC 282047
TCDAT2
HURRICANE KATRINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2005

KATRINA IS MAINTAINING A CLASSIC PRESENTATION ON SATELLITE
IMAGES...AND CATEGORY 5 INTENSITY. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED
BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE AT 1755Z AND 1923Z WAS 902
MB...WHICH IS THE FOURTH LOWEST ON RECORD IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN
BEHIND HURRICANE GILBERT OF 1988...THE LABOR DAY HURRICANE OF
1935...AND HURRICANE ALLEN OF 1980. HAVING SAID THAT...DATA FROM
THE STEPPED-FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER INSTRUMENT ON BOARD THE
AIRCRAFT SUGGEST THAT THE SURFACE TO 700 MB FLIGHT LEVEL WIND RATIO
IS NOT QUITE AS LARGE AS WE TYPICALLY USE...AND THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO 145 KT. HURRICANES DO NOT
MAINTAIN SUCH GREAT INTENSITY FOR VERY LONG. HOWEVER THERE ARE NO
OBVIOUS LARGE-SCALE MECHANISMS...SUCH AS INCREASED VERTICAL
SHEAR...TO WEAKEN KATRINA. THE HURRICANE IS LIKELY TO MAKE
LANDFALL WITH CATEGORY 4 OR 5 INTENSITY.

THERE IS NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. INITIAL
MOTION IS ABOUT 315/11. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN
NORTHWARD INTO A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ASSOCIATED WITH A
LARGE MID-LATITUDE CYCLONE NEAR THE GREAT LAKES. THE 12Z GFDL
HURRICANE MODEL'S TRACK HAS SHIFTED A LITTLE WESTWARD...AS HAS THE
LATEST NOGAPS RUN. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST
AND SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS NHC TRACK. THIS IS VERY
CLOSE TO BOTH THE DYNAMICAL MODEL CONSENSUS... AND TO THE LATEST
FSU SUPERENSEMBLE TRACK. AMONG OUR MOST RELIABLE MODELS...ONLY THE
U.K. MET. OFFICE IS SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE EAST OF THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST TRACK. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE SMALL CHANGE IN THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS ESSENTIALLY AT THE NOISE LEVEL. ONE
SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT TRACK...PARTICULARLY IN THE CASE OF A
HURRICANE AS LARGE AS THIS ONE. DESTRUCTIVE EFFECTS WILL LIKELY BE
FELT WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER AND IT IS NOT POSSIBLE TO SPECIFY
WHICH COUNTIES OR PARISHES WILL EXPERIENCE THE WORST CONDITIONS.

ON THE BASIS OF AIRCRAFT FLIGHT LEVEL AND SFMR SURFACE WIND
DATA...THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED EVEN MORE OVER THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO SPREAD
AT LEAST 150 N MI INLAND ALONG THE PATH OF KATRINA. CONSULT INLAND
HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.

FORECASTER PASCH


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 28/2100Z 26.9N 89.0W 145 KT
12HR VT 29/0600Z 28.3N 89.8W 145 KT
24HR VT 29/1800Z 30.6N 89.9W 130 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 30/0600Z 33.4N 89.2W 60 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 30/1800Z 36.0N 87.5W 35 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 31/1800Z 41.0N 81.5W 30 KT...INLAND
96HR VT 01/1800Z 48.0N 72.5W 25 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 02/1800Z...ABSORBED

[StormsAhead]

URNT40 KWBC 282040
NOAA3 1812A KATRINA
203030 2640 08930 10040 -0840 349085 +147 +115 350087 071 003
203100 2641 08927 10038 -0903 351090 +158 +096 350091 073 003
203130 2641 08925 10012 -0980 350094 +159 +092 350096 074 003
203200 2641 08923 10041 -1065 350100 +146 +099 350102 076 004
203230 2642 08921 10030 -1162 349107 +137 +115 349110 081 004
203300 2642 08919 10000 -1285 348114 +145 +112 348117 088 003
203330 2642 08916 10006 -1440 349120 +140 +131 350120 095 009
203400 2643 08914 10047 -1614 350123 +146 +146 350125 102 026
203430 2643 08912 10038 -1819 349122 +152 +152 346126 108 032
203500 2643 08910 9977 -2021 346107 +161 +161 347109 114 017
203530 2644 08908 10135 -2192 348099 +187 +161 347110 108 002
203600 2644 08906 10079 -2330 347057 +233 +139 346070 082 001
203630 2644 08903 10050 -2398 346028 +265 +103 347034 040 004
203700 2645 08901 10055 -2428 342014 +268 +074 340020 015 003
203730 2646 08859 10062 -2444 340010 +269 +067 335010 019 001
203800 2646 08857 10066 -2463 026004 +270 +063 014007 999 999
203830 2645 08855 10052 -2480 199004 +273 +062 206006 999 999
203900 2645 08852 10058 -2489 209014 +268 +075 207019 018 003
203930 2645 08850 10063 -2483 194030 +245 +119 191038 034 003
204000 2645 08847 10058 -2432 187060 +210 +150 185071 061 004

126 knots FL, 114 knots surface. Through the eye, vortex soon.

[Solaris]

they may avoid the very bad wind regions for safety reasons?!