Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

[krysof]

most mets, models and the NHC state that it has missed the shortwave, but yet its moving NNW, this could be a saving grace for the Yucatan, but a major problem for Florida

[Myersgirl]

the 5:00 disc mentions other features causing a west bend to land. That being said, it certainly looks like a close call with her present course

[cmdebbie]

"I don't think Faux News has any credibility whatsoever. Sorry."

Out of curiosity, who do you think has credibility? All day you have been knocking what others do or say. I realize that this is a stressful time; however, perhaps you could take your frustrations out somewhere else.

Why don't you back off? The only other thing I challenged today was why a person in central FL was freaking out and opening two threads covering the same subject.

If you think I'm rude for suggesting a shock jock is more credible than the NHC, then I don't really know what to tell you. Some people like get their news from sensationalist sources, some don't. I'm sitting here on the coast in a Cat 2 evac. zone with an 82 year old mother who won't evacuate. Want to change places with me? I'd love to be a couple hundred miles inland and right now the last thing I want to hear is someone giving out information from a sensationalist talk show host who isn't getting his info from the NHC.

Sorry if this offends you, but GMAB.

"GMAB......."completely uncalled for and not worth responding to!!!

[Damar91]

I know I'm opening myself up here, but the last three frames, this storm is moving due north.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[inotherwords]

The latest plot I have made, based on NHC information shows a definite NW to NNW turn. However, whether we like it or not, we must take the models into account here also as the information fed to them is far more detailed than anything available to us. If the high is indeed strengthening, then a turm back to the WNW or NW is likely and an extended time over the Yucatan is probable. This will be horrible news for the folks down there, but potentially very good news for those in FL who are expecting the second landfall from Wilma.

Didn't Cancun also have a really major hit back in the late 80s that devastated the place? I visited the Club Med there in the early 1980s and I understand it was leveled in that late 80s storm and had to be completely rebuilt. Can't recall which storm that was, anyone remember?.

[HURAKAN]

The latest plot I have made, based on NHC information shows a definite NW to NNW turn. However, whether we like it or not, we must take the models into account here also as the information fed to them is far more detailed than anything available to us. If the high is indeed strengthening, then a turm back to the WNW or NW is likely and an extended time over the Yucatan is probable. This will be horrible news for the folks down there, but potentially very good news for those in FL who are expecting the second landfall from Wilma.

Didn't Cancun also have a really major hit back in the late 80s that devastated the place? I visited the Club Med there in the early 1980s and I understand it was leveled in that late 80s storm and had to be completely rebuilt. Can't recall which storm that was, anyone remember?.

I think Gilbert landfall in 1988 as Category 5 is the answer to your question.

[caneseddy]

I believe that storm was Gilbert, which devastated Cozumel...the former record holder for lowest pressure in Atlantic before Wilma

[krysof]

Leave us alone Wilma, we've had enough monsters this season.

[tampastorm]

I am going with a NNW motion for now, whats next?!

[inotherwords]

"I don't think Faux News has any credibility whatsoever. Sorry."

Out of curiosity, who do you think has credibility? All day you have been knocking what others do or say. I realize that this is a stressful time; however, perhaps you could take your frustrations out somewhere else.

Why don't you back off? The only other thing I challenged today was why a person in central FL was freaking out and opening two threads covering the same subject.

If you think I'm rude for suggesting a shock jock is more credible than the NHC, then I don't really know what to tell you. Some people like get their news from sensationalist sources, some don't. I'm sitting here on the coast in a Cat 2 evac. zone with an 82 year old mother who won't evacuate. Want to change places with me? I'd love to be a couple hundred miles inland and right now the last thing I want to hear is someone giving out information from a sensationalist talk show host who isn't getting his info from the NHC.

Sorry if this offends you, but GMAB.

"GMAB......."completely uncalled for and not worth responding to!!!

Thanks for your understanding and compassion.

[jojo]

Forgive me if this is a stupid question but I've had the cancun radar open on another page and just refreshed, keeping the mouse on the center of the eye and it appeared to move a fair way due east. Could this be true - know it's not a technical way of doing it but it was definitely due east?

[inotherwords]

I believe that storm was Gilbert, which devastated Cozumel...the former record holder for lowest pressure in Atlantic before Wilma

Aha. Well, that explains it! What a terrible shame that this is happening again.

I'd read that several decades ago, developers researched the spot for the ideal resort using a computer and decided on Cancun. I guess they didn't factor in that it would be wiped out once every 15 or so years.

[vbhoutex]

Forgive me if this is a stupid question but I've had the cancun radar open on another page and just refreshed, keeping the mouse on the center of the eye and it appeared to move a fair way due east. Could this be true - know it's not a technical way of doing it but it was definitely due east?

Probably not. The radar techs(?) may have readjusted something that makes it appear that way. There is of course the possibility that Wilma is doing a mini-loop like she already has done a couple of times. Strong storms like Wilma tend to do this sometimes.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

They built right up where theres many cat5s...Man I can't say what I'm thinking....


Why is this taking so long to clear out?

[Blown Away]

At 5pm 10/19/05 the NHC 24 hour position was: 19.2 / 85.6
At 5pm 10/20/05 the NHC postion was: 18.9 / 85.7

Wilma is about 20 miles South and 6 miles West of the 10/19/05 5pm
24 hour forecast position.

The NHC is damn good!

[6SpeedTA95]

The west and SW side of this storm aren't looking too healthy right now and the eye has yet to clear out.

[Bgator]

The west and SW side of this storm aren't looking too healthy right now and the eye has yet to clear out.

Im sorry but this storm looks plently healthy and an eye isnt everything its an 150mph storm, PERIOD!

[CHRISTY]

its going to miss cancun but its gonna be close!i was wondering if this thing does not hit cancun what does it for south florida? stronger storm???

[O Town]

Not healthy?? Still looks pretty healthy to me. It is just starting to elongate some, which is normal when it starts to make a more northward track.

[AZS]