Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

[Stratosphere747]

The last few frames shows the eye beginning to clear out with a hint of vortices within the eye. The eye even looks to be the size of the entire island of cozumel, and it is still heading directly towards it.

[Canelaw99]

At 5pm 10/19/05 the NHC 24 hour position was: 19.2 / 85.6
At 5pm 10/20/05 the NHC postion was: 18.9 / 85.7

Wilma is about 20 miles South and 6 miles West of the 10/19/05 5pm
24 hour forecast position.

The NHC is damn good!

They are good. I was looking at the 3 day forecast point difference from this morning till now. I still don't have a way to save the picture from this morning onto a server or anything, or I'd show ya It always amazes me how close the NHC gets in the end.

[Damar91]

Did you ever think you'd see the day where someone would say that a 150mph storm wasn't looking healthy? (No offense intended, just making a point about this season).

[CHRISTY]

ive been trying to get some info on my thinking that this thing might just miss cancun and possibly be a stroger storm for florida??looks like its moving NNW its gonna be interesting to see what happens as far as movement tonight....

[nequad]

Everyone needs to simmer down. There is, as usual in here, way to much nervous energy. There's probably enough nervous energy on this message board to fuel Wilma for an entire 24 hour period!

Now- let's set some things straight.

A- Wilma is not moving due north

B-no one really knows how strong she will be when she strikes Florida.

C- No one really knows when or where Wilma will strike Florida.

D- We wont really know about Florida until she makes it north of the Yucatan and begins her NE or ENE motion.

Did I forget anything?

[Damar91]

All valid points, but that is why I thought we were here, to discuss these things?

[stormynorfolk]

ive been trying to get some info on my thinking that this thing might just miss cancun and possibly be a stroger storm for florida??looks like its moving NNW its gonna be interesting to see what happens as far as movement tonight....

I'm thinking the western eye-wall may hit the Cancun area... not sold on it making actual landfall anywhere on the YUC.

[k-man]

Everyone needs to simmer down. There is, as usual in here, way to much nervous energy. There's probably enough nervous energy on this message board to fuel Wilma for an entire 24 hour period!

Now- let's set some things straight.

A- Wilma is not moving due north

B-no one really knows how strong she will be when she strikes Florida.

C- No one really knows when or where Wilma will strike Florida.

D- We wont really know about Florida until she makes it north of the Yucatan and begins her NE or ENE motion.

Did I forget anything?

I think you hit everything except...that most (but not all) are hoping that they get this storm no matter how much they dispute that fact.....

There are about ten people from Tampa here insisting that this is a Tampa Storm (we're overdue!!).

I get a kick out of the people I disagree with insisting that they aren't people I disagree with.

Whenver there's a hint that this thing may be a minor Cane or (gasp) a Tropical storm, you can almost feel the energy drain out of these boards.

Honestly, I don't get it....

[nequad]

That is why we are here. But...sometimes the frustration and stress of those who may be in the line of fire blocks the objectivity of some posters, and causes meltdowns.

There are some here who could probably use some time off from this board. Go take a walk, go for a swim, do something relaxing. I know all to well what it's like to be in the projected path of a storm, only to have to constantly wait on each model run, only to have the models diverge and slow down. It's frustrating.

If you feel frustrated just take a break from all this. Nothing is going to change in the next few hours.

[deltadog03]

almost all valid.....she is moving NNW....and its not just a wobble...i have been waiting for a sustained movemnt

[jlauderdal]

The west and SW side of this storm aren't looking too healthy right now and the eye has yet to clear out.

you are kidding me right, its nearly a cat 5 and it isn't a healthy system. just because it isn't as round as a doughnut and have a perfect eye you shouldn;t ever think a category 4 isn;t healthy.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Everyone needs to simmer down. There is, as usual in here, way to much nervous energy. There's probably enough nervous energy on this message board to fuel Wilma for an entire 24 hour period!

Now- let's set some things straight.

A- Wilma is not moving due north

B-no one really knows how strong she will be when she strikes Florida.

C- No one really knows when or where Wilma will strike Florida.

D- We wont really know about Florida until she makes it north of the Yucatan and begins her NE or ENE motion.

Did I forget anything?

I think you hit everything except...that most (but not all) are hoping that they get this storm no matter how much they dispute that fact.....

There are about ten people from Tampa here insisting that this is a Tampa Storm (we're overdue!!).

I get a kick out of the people I disagree with insisting that they aren't people I disagree with.

Whenver there's a hint that this thing may be a minor Cane or (gasp) a Tropical storm, you can almost feel the energy drain out of these boards.

Honestly, I don't get it....

Not true for me. I live less than 10 ft. above sea level and
am praying it stays far away from Tampa Bay. The reason
I mention Tampa as a possibility is because it is in the cone. I never predicted for a direct hit in Tampa.

[skysummit]

NNW is pretty much the only directio she can go in the meantime.

[bigmoney755]

I do admit that I would like to see it get as strong as possible. I also find myself hoping for a really strong cat 5 everytime a hurricane forms. I know it's bad but I'm just telling the truth.

[tampaflwx]

If it is truly making that north turn quicker than expected, and only brushes the yucatan or (possibly) never makes a landfall, what will that mean for the track toward florida? since it will not be slowing down, will it go at a more rapid pace and therefore more north? or, since it will be making the right turn sooner (since it didnt go far enough west over the yucatan to mak a wide arc at florida), will that mean a more southerly landfall in florida?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I do admit that I would like to see it get as strong as possible. I also find myself hoping for a really strong cat 5 everytime a hurricane forms. I know it's bad but I'm just telling the truth.

Thats why I'm interested in hurricanes...I went to know how strong they can get. But people had to go build there homes on the shore line...

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

I do admit that I would like to see it get as strong as possible. I also find myself hoping for a really strong cat 5 everytime a hurricane forms. I know it's bad but I'm just telling the truth.

The thing you have to do is think of the consequences of a monster
storm...and convince yourself of the horrific pain these monsters
cause. A Cat 5 is horrible.

The best thing to do is to work hard to get rid of this desire to see
a Cat 5. Understand the implications and work hard to eliminate
this desire from your mind. Look at pictures of Katrina and Rita
aftermath and imagine how those people must feel after losing
everything.

[superfly]

Eye is clearing out FINALLY. Looking pretty damn good on the northeastern side.

[Scorpion]

Wow, what a beaut.

[Mello1]

NNW is pretty much the only directio she can go in the meantime.

Thanks for posting this picture! The lightbulb has finally gone on about troughs. I get it now.