Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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HURAKAN
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#2641 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:41 am

After Wilma, could the name of Cozumel be changed to Consumedmel or Consumed-mel! Poor people, our prayers are with them.
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#2642 Postby Blown Away » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:41 am

skysummit wrote:
Blown_away wrote:
CDO62 wrote:
Blown_away wrote:Is there Cancun radar link?? I can't find it! Thanks



Theres a link in the stickys on forum main page


I looked at the radar section, no options for Cancun mexico??


HUH? That is the Cancun radar.

:wall:
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#2643 Postby jpigott » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:41 am

looking better for Florida by the minute, not so good for Cozumel and Cancun however. If Wilma spends 24+ hours over the Yucatan she won't be a cane' coming out on the other end. Wilma needs to head almost due north to avoid a landfall in the Yucatan. That said if she stays offshore FL could still have a beast to deal with in a couple of days
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#2644 Postby tampastorm » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:41 am

jpigott wrote:looks like Wilma has stalled right off of Cozumel


I dont think it stalled slowed down, yes. And still mostly over open water.
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#2645 Postby gilbert88 » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:44 am

HURAKAN wrote:After Wilma, could the name of Cozumel be changed to Consumedmel or Consumed-mel! Poor people, our prayers are with them.


Does anyone know if Cozumel was evacuated?
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#2646 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:52 am

Folks if Wilma spends more than 30 hours in the Yucatan when it emerges in the GOM it well be a Tropical Storm.The bottomline is the time that she will spent in the Yucatan will be the key on how strong it will go to Florida.
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#2647 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:55 am

cycloneye wrote:Folks if Wilma spends more than 30 hours in the Yucatan when it emerges in the GOM it well be a Tropical Storm.The bottomline is the time that she will spent in the Yucatan will be the key on how strong it will go to Florida.


Well Said Luis...
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#2648 Postby Eyes2theSkies » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:56 am

If she stalls just off the coast will that weaken her also???
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#2649 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:57 am

Eyes2theSkies wrote:If she stalls just off the coast will that weaken her also???


But not as much as if she goes over land, that's the bottom line.
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#2650 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:58 am

Eyes2theSkies wrote:If she stalls just off the coast will that weaken her also???


She's stll moving now...4-6 MPPH...
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#2651 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:58 am

Eyes2theSkies wrote:If she stalls just off the coast will that weaken her also???


Yes depends on how much time she spends just offshore if that occurs because she may cause upwelling of the waters if it sits offshore and then cool those waters.
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#2652 Postby otowntiger » Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:59 am

dixiebreeze wrote:The YP is NOT going to slow this girl down much at all:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg


She's already weakening. The lR loop shows that her cloud tops began to warm just as her outer eyewall began to interact with land. I say she is going to be weakened a lot by the YP. There will be devastation there though for sure and undoubdedtly already a lot of damage in Cozumel. My guess is that she will be a cat 1 when she emerges into the Gulf. Also her radar presentation is quite ragged now.
Last edited by otowntiger on Fri Oct 21, 2005 11:01 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2653 Postby cinlfla » Fri Oct 21, 2005 11:00 am

Image



This is the GFS 72 hours 12z
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#2654 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Oct 21, 2005 11:02 am

Looks like an ERC may be starting again. Definitely signs of another outer eyewall forming on the latest radar with the inner one startig to shrink. Am I seeing things?
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#2655 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Oct 21, 2005 11:03 am

cinlfla wrote:Image



This is the GFS 72 hours 12z


Still Showing a Major Cane there
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#2656 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Oct 21, 2005 11:04 am

vbhoutex wrote:Looks like an ERC may be starting again. Definitely signs of another outer eyewall forming on the latest radar with the inner one startig to shrink. Am I seeing things?


I think its land interaction...
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#2657 Postby chris_fit » Fri Oct 21, 2005 11:04 am

vbhoutex wrote:Looks like an ERC may be starting again. Definitely signs of another outer eyewall forming on the latest radar with the inner one startig to shrink. Am I seeing things?



IMO just an illusion as the radar cannot penetrate those torrential rains.
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#2658 Postby markymark8 » Fri Oct 21, 2005 11:05 am

Looks like Wilma has slowed down a bunch just like the NHC forecasted and shes quit jogging to the NNWEST and more to the NW. This is great news for Florida because she might stall out or move slowley enough to be over land for quite a while to weaken her alot maybe even to a weak cat 2 or cat 1 depending how this all pans out. You got to give the NHC credit they seem to be right on the money on what they said would happen and its track. Florida just needs to hope she stalls over the Yucatan and moves real slowleeeeey. I feel bad for the Yucatan though they will get a serious pounding. I hate to see the damage pictures from there the next couple of days. :( The eye looks real impressive right now. Notice the vortexes in her eye. She is one mean monster with alot of tonados in her it seems. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... VIS/20.jpg
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Last data from Cancun weather station 13:40 GMT

#2659 Postby littlevince » Fri Oct 21, 2005 11:09 am

Station: Cancun
Location: Longitud: -86.77583 latitud: 21.07500

Conditions at 21/10/2005/13:40 GMT

Wind Direction:
Wind Speed: 128.10 km/h
Wind Gust: 153.60 km/h
Atmospheric Pressure: 981.30 mb

http://smn.cna.gob.mx/productos/emas/txt/QR01_10M.TXT
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#2660 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Oct 21, 2005 11:09 am

Curious as to how you can determine she has a lot of tornados in her??? I understand what a vortex/vorieces are, but they are not tornados in this instance, at least not in the eye.
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