LilNoles2005 wrote:Those aren't the only models that the NHC uses, so there's no telling how much weight was put on those models that shifted west. The NHC did say, however, that their forecast is slightly east of their model consensus. We aren't talking several hundred miles when you consider the model consensus.
All I know is that the NHC knows what they are doing, so I put much more faith into what they say over what a few models say.
Those "few" models you are referring to are their babies they in the past have put a lot of weight in their output for predicting storms landfall. By the way slightly "east" of the models consesus were your words. The NHC's official words were to the "right" of the model consensus. I know I'm being picky.
That's a nice picture Ricky. Thanks for sharing. I stayed at the oceanfront Holiday Inn Sunspree down in Holllywood a couple years back. Man I bet they're getting pounded right about now. Holy Crap! 
