Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

[HurricaneGirl]

I noticed earlier it seems as if she's "bouncing off" the coast of Mexico.

[LanceW]

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

HURRICANE WILMA 24L

INITIAL TIME 18Z OCT 21

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 20.4 86.7 320./ 4.1
6 20.6 87.1 295./ 4.1
12 20.7 87.4 291./ 2.8
18 21.1 87.6 332./ 4.2
24 21.3 87.7 334./ 2.5
30 21.7 87.7 3./ 4.2
36 22.0 87.7 353./ 2.4
42 22.5 87.6 14./ 5.4
48 23.1 87.0 39./ 7.9
54 23.9 86.2 48./11.3
60 24.6 84.9 60./13.3
66 25.8 83.3 54./18.2
[b]72 27.1 81.2 58./23.3
78 28.9 78.4 56./30.6
84 31.8 75.6 46./37.5
90 35.9 72.7 35./47.6
96 39.9 70.3 30./44.2
102 43.1 69.7 12./31.9
108 44.7 69.7 358./16.3
114 45.8 69.9 351./10.7
120 46.2 70.5 308./ 6.1
126 46.0 70.8 231./ 3.0[/b]

HEY NOW. I don't like this run. I am at 28.1/81.3. That is WAY to close to me.

[Windtalker1]

Maybe she forgot her protection and can't go inland sorry couldn't resist.

[lester]

new frame came in. She has wobbled NNE paralleling the coast!

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Personally, I don't think that Wilma will make a Mexico landfall at all

[Brent]

133mph, must not be a US made wind gauge!!

Ours seem to fail when the wind hits 100 mph... Most powerful nation on earth and our wind instruments suck.

[krysof]

http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropi ... model.html

models continue to stall in the Yucatan, also as the storm moves to the northeast, the gfdl curves it back, making a new england landfall possibly of Cape Cod and Maine

[wxwatcher91]

the NHC is very hopeful

OMG those POOR people on the western side of the Yucatan! A cat 4 that far inland!!!

----------------

btw is it just me or are concentric eyewalls showing up now on IR? I know the NHC mentioned concentric eyewalls in the disco. ERC in the gulf possibly?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

The VDM didnt mention 2 eyewalls though...

[gatorcane]

HEY NOW. I don't like this run. I am at 28.1/81.3. That is WAY to close to me

Where is Poinacia ?

[gatorcane]

if she doesn't make it all the way inland FL is in huge trouble.

[gtalum]

Personally, I don't think that Wilma will make a Mexico landfall at all

Perhaps you missed it, but Wilma already made a Mexico landfall.

[Brent]

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/images/at200524.gif
the NHC is very hopeful

I just saved that one...

[LanceW]

HEY NOW. I don't like this run. I am at 28.1/81.3. That is WAY to close to me

Where is Poinacia ?

South of Kissimmee. Osceola/Polk county line.

[Foladar0]

i think its NORTH movement begining ! iam i the only one seeing this?

It's -been- going north, hence the WNW and the NW movements stated by the NHC.

[truballer#1]

new frame came in. She has wobbled NNE paralleling the coast!

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Personally, I don't think that Wilma will make a Mexico landfall at all

me 3

[Foladar0]

new frame came in. She has wobbled NNE paralleling the coast!

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Personally, I don't think that Wilma will make a Mexico landfall at all

me 3

It already has, in a way, it may not go inland much though.

[cjrciadt]

HEY NOW. I don't like this run. I am at 28.1/81.3. That is WAY to close to me

Where is Poinacia ?

South of Kissimmee. Osceola/Polk county line.

Charley passed thru right there and here in Kissimmee.!! However Wilma's windfield is much larger, CAt1 winds may return here not good.

[CHRISTY]

right but its there saying its going to go maybe west inland for a while and stall then take off towards florida. i agree with this eventually turning NE but as far as this stalling and weaking to a CAT 1 to me might not happen i have to see go inland completely first.

[THead]

Personally, I don't think that Wilma will make a Mexico landfall at all

Perhaps you missed it, but Wilma already made a Mexico landfall.

Yet we know what he means........
And we know it raked Cozumel severely. I hope everyone is ok there, and on the rest of the mainland coast that has been getting the eye-wall all afternoon.

[gatorcane]

it may not competely go inland.

[LanceW]

HEY NOW. I don't like this run. I am at 28.1/81.3. That is WAY to close to me

Where is Poinacia ?

South of Kissimmee. Osceola/Polk county line.

Charley passed thru right there and here in Kissimmee.!! However Wilma's windfield is much larger, CAt1 winds may return here not good.

We had 120+ MPH winds at the house. The last thing I saw on the TV for 6 days was Tom Terry saying "Poinciana, hunker down, because it is....."