TD 27,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[dixiebreeze]

Convection is really deepening again in 27 NoName:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

Badly sheared and recon hasn't found a closed circulation yet(apparently).

I think Recon went to lunch -

[SouthFloridawx]

Convection is really deepening again in 27 NoName:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

Badly sheared and recon hasn't found a closed circulation yet(apparently).

I think Recon went to lunch -

Dixie I think you are right about the convection

[no advance]

No advance in PRico. And believe me you can not tell by the weather there is a td nearby.. A beautiful day in the Carib. Alttle windy. Let me tell you what they have really cleaned up old San Juan.

[cycloneye]

No advance in PRico. And believe me you can not tell by the weather there is a td nearby.. A beautiful day in the Carib. Alttle windy. Let me tell you what they have really cleaned up old San Juan.

Did you went to Rincon to surf thru the big waves there?

[Brent]

Convection is really deepening again in 27 NoName:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

Badly sheared and recon hasn't found a closed circulation yet(apparently).

I think Recon went to lunch -

I don't think so... show me a closed circulation.

[CHRISTY]

[SouthFloridawx]

Convection is really deepening again in 27 NoName:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

Badly sheared and recon hasn't found a closed circulation yet(apparently).

I think Recon went to lunch -

I don't think so... show me a closed circulation.

Who said there was a closed circulation?

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Yowzers! Caribbean convection is really firing today...

[stormernie]

The NHC will be downgrading to open wave at 4 PM
No LLC could be located within the area investigated with highest winds of 30 MPH.

[fasterdisaster]

27 will be back!

[Blown Away]

There is a nice little rotation to the clouds. It does look better this afternoon, but if they can't find a LLC then it's done for now.

[txwatcher91]

The NHC will be downgrading to open wave at 4 PM
No LLC could be located within the area investigated with highest winds of 30 MPH.

Yes, but remember, Katrina was spawned by a TD that was downgraded to a tropical wave, and we all know what happend next....

[krysof]

Yeah 27 is destroyed, its over for sure now, nothing will form, there will be no TS Gamma or Hurricane Gama.

[artist]

I have Crow waiting in the wings!

[SouthFloridawx]

i don't think they will downgrade at 4 pm but, that's just my opinion. If anything they will wait till 10 PM to see if the convection ceases.

[krysof]

I have Crow waiting in the wings!

If this were October, September than you'd be right, but its mid November and the season officially ends by November 30 about 2 weeks away. I for one know that I will not be eating crow at all.

[Scorpion]

Yeah 27 is destroyed, its over for sure now, nothing will form, there will be no TS Gamma or Hurricane Gama.

[artist]

Krysof - you could be right - but you failed to mention this is 2005 - the season all records have been broken. And 2 weeks still means 2 weeks (and with this year - I don't think the systems could care less whether it ends then or not!)

[Brent]

4pm isn't the final advisory... but it sounds like they didn't find a center. It's defintely on life support.

[SouthFloridawx]

I'm actually kind of suprised.... maybe we didn't get all the data from the recon mission.....?

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE NOV 15 2005

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS DEPRESSION STILL DISORGANIZED...

INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN
WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST OR
ABOUT 265 MILES... 420 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH... 20 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 1006
MB...29.71 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS... NORTHERN VENEZUELA... AND POSSIBLY OVER
ARUBA... BONAIRE... AND CURACAO.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...14.8 N... 69.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER KNABB