Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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Scorpion

#461 Postby Scorpion » Tue Oct 18, 2005 4:49 pm

skysummit wrote:Talk about consensus!

Image


OUCH.
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mike815
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#462 Postby mike815 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 4:49 pm

yeah what concensis lol anywhere from tampa south
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jaxfladude
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#463 Postby jaxfladude » Tue Oct 18, 2005 4:49 pm

skysummit wrote:Talk about consensus!

Image



:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:

Man, living here in Jacksonville, Florida and not yet having a direct hit in the 22+ years since moving from Oregon. I have come to despise hurricanes with an intense fury worthy of a Cat. 5!!
Last edited by jaxfladude on Tue Oct 18, 2005 4:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#464 Postby AZS » Tue Oct 18, 2005 4:50 pm

18/1715 UTC 16.6N 80.9W T4.5/4.5 WILMA


12Z GFDL:

Max Winds: 136 knots
Winds at Landfall: 103 knots

After that, i think that GFDL got crazy... :roll: :roll: :roll:
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#465 Postby Flakeys » Tue Oct 18, 2005 4:53 pm

Our local Met says the showers we are getting now are from a disturbance in the Bahamas.

Stan in the Keys
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#466 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 18, 2005 4:58 pm

This is looking very impressive!
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg
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#467 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 5:00 pm

Yes looking very organized.
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chris_fit
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#468 Postby chris_fit » Tue Oct 18, 2005 5:01 pm

963 mb
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truballer#1

#469 Postby truballer#1 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 5:02 pm

chris_fit wrote:963 mb

really? dropping fast!
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sponger
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#470 Postby sponger » Tue Oct 18, 2005 5:03 pm

ITS GOING TO BE BEAST! I think the hard right hook in some of the models is unlikely, given its future size. My bet is the gfdl has the best handle at this point. I cant wait to see the updated model runs, might be worth staying up for!
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#471 Postby Brent » Tue Oct 18, 2005 5:10 pm

truballer#1 wrote:
chris_fit wrote:963 mb

really? dropping fast!


URNT12 KNHC 182158
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 18/21:42:20Z
B. 16 deg 36 min N
081 deg 32 min W
C. 850 mb 1112 m
D. 55 kt
E. 34 deg 051 nm
F. 111 deg 082 kt
G. 024 deg 009 nm
H. 963 mb
I. 17 C/ 1524 m
J. 20 C/ 1526 m
K. 20 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C7
N. 12345/ 8
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF302 0524A WILMA OB 13
MAX FL WIND 82 KT NE QUAD 21:39:30 Z

Yep...
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#472 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 5:11 pm

WOW its drfopping that fast. surprised it isn't a CAT 2 yet.
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inotherwords
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#473 Postby inotherwords » Tue Oct 18, 2005 5:12 pm

sponger wrote:ITS GOING TO BE BEAST! I think the hard right hook in some of the models is unlikely, given its future size. My bet is the gfdl has the best handle at this point. I cant wait to see the updated model runs, might be worth staying up for!


GFDL is showing Charlotte Harbor. Very sad.

Better for me than when it was showing Tampa or Manatee County, but still. Charlotte Harbor has barely recovered from Charley.
Last edited by inotherwords on Tue Oct 18, 2005 5:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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P.K.
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#474 Postby P.K. » Tue Oct 18, 2005 5:13 pm

GFS appears to be showing this to the SW of the UK in 10 days time, ok maybe I'm looking a little bit too far ahead. :lol:
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#475 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 5:18 pm

mike815 wrote:yeah what concensis lol anywhere from tampa south


Usually these "spaghetti model" maps would show lines anywhere from Pensacola to the central Bahamas this far out in the forecast. This is very good agreement right now.
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#476 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 5:32 pm

I can agree, very good agreement right now. Hopefully it will remain that way. I have a feeling that the models might have a slight shift northward
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f5
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#477 Postby f5 » Tue Oct 18, 2005 5:45 pm

Brent wrote:
truballer#1 wrote:
chris_fit wrote:963 mb

really? dropping fast!


URNT12 KNHC 182158
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 18/21:42:20Z
B. 16 deg 36 min N
081 deg 32 min W
C. 850 mb 1112 m
D. 55 kt
E. 34 deg 051 nm
F. 111 deg 082 kt
G. 024 deg 009 nm
H. 963 mb
I. 17 C/ 1524 m
J. 20 C/ 1526 m
K. 20 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C7
N. 12345/ 8
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF302 0524A WILMA OB 13
MAX FL WIND 82 KT NE QUAD 21:39:30 Z

Yep...


Rita comes to mind
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#478 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 18, 2005 5:52 pm

The eye is gone...
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#479 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Oct 18, 2005 5:59 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The eye is gone...


Image
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#480 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 18, 2005 6:00 pm

It was not there on IR...But its there on that.
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