Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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WindRunner
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#4641 Postby WindRunner » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:24 pm

jkt21787 wrote:Yeah, sorry again about that. Didn't know how to convert it. I should have known as the SFMR was nowhere near it.


Actually, that's not the SFMR, that's the current flight speed winds, with the 30-sec max winds in the same format, 3rd to last column, and SFMR readings in the second to last column. I had to go look it up when I saw you say that just to make sure I wasn't getting confused with the NOAA layout.
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#4642 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:24 pm

I would not Question the NHC any more...That have had this track for 4 days now...
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#4643 Postby Brent » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:24 pm

tallywx wrote:If anything, the latest fix showed a slight bump north (probably due to the increased tilt with height if anything else). All in all, straight down the NHC forecast track thus far.


Nice map. :D
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#4644 Postby jkt21787 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:26 pm

WindRunner wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:Yeah, sorry again about that. Didn't know how to convert it. I should have known as the SFMR was nowhere near it.


Actually, that's not the SFMR, that's the current flight speed winds, with the 30-sec max winds in the same format, 3rd to last column, and SFMR readings in the second to last column. I had to go look it up when I saw you say that just to make sure I wasn't getting confused with the NOAA layout.

What the link to find out what everything is? I really need to learn the format of NOAA plane :D
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#4645 Postby El Nino » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:28 pm

DrStorm wrote:The next 24 hours will be key in determining where landfall will happen in Florida.

:wink: LOL


That's something very wise from you ... You beat me on that LOL :wink:
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#4646 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:28 pm

Good points..

I was thinking maybe in realtion to the possiblity that it may be speeding up a bit earlier than projected, it may track it bit more southerly.

I'm more concerned about the Keys and the earlier media reports about so many staying behind.
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#4647 Postby caneman » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:29 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
WindRunner wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:Yeah, sorry again about that. Didn't know how to convert it. I should have known as the SFMR was nowhere near it.


Actually, that's not the SFMR, that's the current flight speed winds, with the 30-sec max winds in the same format, 3rd to last column, and SFMR readings in the second to last column. I had to go look it up when I saw you say that just to make sure I wasn't getting confused with the NOAA layout.

What the link to find out what everything is? I really need to learn the format of NOAA plane :D


Still not sold on Napes though thinking more Ft. Myers to Port Charlotte. What does everyone else think?
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#4648 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:30 pm

caneman wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:
WindRunner wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:Yeah, sorry again about that. Didn't know how to convert it. I should have known as the SFMR was nowhere near it.


Actually, that's not the SFMR, that's the current flight speed winds, with the 30-sec max winds in the same format, 3rd to last column, and SFMR readings in the second to last column. I had to go look it up when I saw you say that just to make sure I wasn't getting confused with the NOAA layout.

What the link to find out what everything is? I really need to learn the format of NOAA plane :D


Still not sold on Napes though thinking more Ft. Myers to Port Charlotte. What does everyone else think?


Naples is strong IMO Exit south of Vero
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#4649 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:30 pm

jkt21787 wrote:Yeah, sorry again about that. Didn't know how to convert it. I should have known as the SFMR was nowhere near it.


You know what j I dont know to how to decode the NOAA ones so you are not alone. :)
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#4650 Postby Brent » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:33 pm

caneman wrote:Still not sold on Napes though thinking more Ft. Myers to Port Charlotte. What does everyone else think?


Naples-Jupiter Inlet.
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#4651 Postby THead » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:33 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
WindRunner wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:Yeah, sorry again about that. Didn't know how to convert it. I should have known as the SFMR was nowhere near it.


Actually, that's not the SFMR, that's the current flight speed winds, with the 30-sec max winds in the same format, 3rd to last column, and SFMR readings in the second to last column. I had to go look it up when I saw you say that just to make sure I wasn't getting confused with the NOAA layout.

What the link to find out what everything is? I really need to learn the format of NOAA plane :D


Not sure if this is what you mean, but its some useful info for anyone else that might not know, like me, up until a few weeks ago.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/reconlist.shtml

And click on the "how to read" links next to each report to decipher the format.
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#4652 Postby jkt21787 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:36 pm

Yeah, but it doesn't have the minobs though. I'm specficially looking for how to decode the NOAA minobs.

Thanks though, THead.
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#4653 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:38 pm

A little bit of an easterly wobble...
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#4654 Postby CronkPSU » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:39 pm

hmmm that is interesting on the last IR frame (20:15)

eye looks covered up but you see a huge blow up of convection on the NE side wincluding some gray
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#4655 Postby x-y-no » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:40 pm

jkt21787 wrote:Yeah, but it doesn't have the minobs though. I'm specficially looking for how to decode the NOAA minobs.

Thanks though, THead.


http://www.ofcm.gov/nhop/00/pdf/r-app-g.00.pdf (PDF)
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#4656 Postby WindRunner » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:41 pm

jkt21787 wrote:Yeah, but it doesn't have the minobs though. I'm specficially looking for how to decode the NOAA minobs.

Thanks though, THead.


Go to the bottom of the S2K recon page (http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/recon.htm) and click on the "How to use" for the minobs. It's a PDF, but that's where what I said earlier came from.

EDIT: :uarrow: That's it. x-y-no beat me to it.
Last edited by WindRunner on Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#4657 Postby THead » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:42 pm

Picking up the edge of Wilma's eye on Key West long range radar.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.kbyx.shtml
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#4658 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:42 pm

THere's some significant shearing on the far northern edge of the storm.
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#4659 Postby jkt21787 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:44 pm

Thanks WindRunner and X-Y-No!
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#4660 Postby El Nino » Sun Oct 23, 2005 3:44 pm

CronkPSU wrote:hmmm that is interesting on the last IR frame (20:15)

eye looks covered up but you see a huge blow up of convection on the NE side wincluding some gray


Indeed, and almost at the same placa as the outerband with deep convection that you can see at the beginning of the animation. I think there's over there some potential to deepening and consolidating the eye with some very cold topclouds.

What time for landfall ? Still 7AM ? Of course, I'm at work at this moment and back 2h later !
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