Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

johngaltfla · #4781 Postby **johngaltfla** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:12 pm

Tornado warnings going nuts here. Ft. Lonesome, Manatee County, Polk County, SE Hillsborough County all under the gun.

Looks like it's going to be a long night. :eek:

6SpeedTA95 · #4782 Postby **6SpeedTA95** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:13 pm

El Nino wrote:Who is talking seriously (with a quite high probability) a cat4 or even 5 cane ? Center of the storm is not exposed to shear, and will reach coast before it can have some impact.

When next RECON or any informations about central pressure and windspeed is programmed ?

I thought I read on another site the next recon would be till after 11pm can anyone confirm?

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #4783 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:14 pm

Remember Katrina made second landfall at 120 or so mph winds. So if this gets up to 120 mph winds in make landfall. Then go's right across dade or Miami. This thing will be getting retired!

Typhoon · #4784 Postby **Typhoon** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:15 pm

6SpeedTA95 wrote:
El Nino wrote:Who is talking seriously (with a quite high probability) a cat4 or even 5 cane ? Center of the storm is not exposed to shear, and will reach coast before it can have some impact.

When next RECON or any informations about central pressure and windspeed is programmed ?

I thought I read on another site the next recon would be till after 11pm can anyone confirm?

No, AF305 is heading to Wilma right now.

Loring · #4785 Postby **Loring** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:15 pm

thermos wrote:Why would you stay in the Keys for a Cat 2? That's no picnic. Maybe they are worried about their property, boats, etc. Or just evac weary.

one road in, one road out. that road gets very crowded and slow when theres not an evacuation... now imagine everyone in the keys on that 2 lane road out. nobody wants to have a hurricane party in their car on 7 mile bridge.

this isnt the first hurricane theyve been through, nor the worst.

theres also a big festival down there this weekend.

i guess you just have to understand the mentality of the key dwellers...

fasterdisaster · #4786 Postby **fasterdisaster** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:15 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Remember Katrina made second landfall at 120 or so mph winds. So if this gets up to 120 mph winds in make landfall. Then go's right across dade or Miami. This thing will be getting retired!

If it disappears right now it's getting retired.

6SpeedTA95 · #4787 Postby **6SpeedTA95** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:16 pm

ronibaida wrote:
6SpeedTA95 wrote:
Wirbelsturm wrote:Shear only affects the core of the storm. shear to the north won't matter a bit!

I meantiond that earlier, the core of the storm still looks pretty good but she has to be able to breath to grow to a 4 or 5. I dont see that being possible that shear up north is significant. You can watch it on the WV/IR and Visible scans

we know that it wont get to a cat 4 or 5.... Max is cat 3 or 120mph

Thats what I'm thinking 120 to 125 mph

inotherwords · #4788 Postby **inotherwords** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:19 pm

johngaltfla wrote:Tornado warnings going nuts here. Ft. Lonesome, Manatee County, Polk County, SE Hillsborough County all under the gun.

Looks like it's going to be a long night.

Is this the product of the trough hitting the warm, moist air, or is it feeder bands? I'm getting hammered here.

El Nino · #4789 Postby **El Nino** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:20 pm

Yup, right in the middle of the cat3. Just around 200km/h. A "good" end of the season ...

johngaltfla · #4790 Postby **johngaltfla** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:21 pm

Tornado warning, Sarasota County, near Northport moving NW at 35 ...Residents near Bee Ridge area should seek cover. In effect until 1845.

:eek:

Holy Crap! I'm near Bee Ridge! :eek:

6SpeedTA95 · #4791 Postby **6SpeedTA95** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:22 pm

Have you guys seen this GREAT lookign feeder band running up through the carolinas?

New tornado warning in florida...okeechobee county or something like that

everyone in sourthern florida needs to be alert this evening and into tomorrow monring.

thermos · #4792 Postby **thermos** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:22 pm

Here come the tornadoes

http://kamala.cod.edu/svr/

jkt21787 · #4793 Postby **jkt21787** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:24 pm

thermos wrote:Here come the tornadoes
http://kamala.cod.edu/svr/

Yeah, they are coming fast and furious now. If ANY of our members are in an active tornado warning, head to a place of safety!

The tornadoes can be as destructive as the eyewall of Wilma will be.

johngaltfla · #4794 Postby **johngaltfla** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:25 pm

thermos wrote:Here come the tornadoes
http://kamala.cod.edu/svr/

6:18 p.m. warning is heading towards my neighborhood. Bye for now gang!

Everyone in Laurel and the Bee Ridge area of Sarasota needs to seek shelter now...

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #4795 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:26 pm

Stay safe...I hope the tornadoe stays away from you.

cape_escape · #4796 Postby **cape_escape** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:27 pm

johngaltfla be safe! Let us know that all is ok when you can!

jkt21787 · #4797 Postby **jkt21787** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:28 pm

johngaltfla wrote:
thermos wrote:Here come the tornadoes
http://kamala.cod.edu/svr/

6:18 p.m. warning is heading towards my neighborhood. Bye for now gang!

Everyone in Laurel and the Bee Ridge area of Sarasota needs to seek shelter now...

Please stay safe! Good Luck...

boca · #4798 Postby **boca** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:30 pm

Wilma showing some darker colors now.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

fasterdisaster · #4799 Postby **fasterdisaster** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:32 pm

This definitely could pull off a 3 at landfall.

jkt21787 · #4800 Postby **jkt21787** » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:32 pm

The latest sat image is *by far* the best she has looked since coming off the Yucatan...

Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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