Brent wrote:gkrangers wrote:This storm is a real pain...
Just like a woman...
I would hate to live in a world devoid of women!
Hurricane Emily Advisories
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gkrangers
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mike18xx
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gkrangers
Emily will be reanalyzed at the end of the season without a doubt...Recon did find Category 5 winds between advisories. So Emily could be upgraded after the season. We'll have to wait and see.mike18xx wrote:Emily is the only WNW-tracking, non-recurving, non-EL Nino year central Caribbean storm I can recall that failed to attain cat-5 in the NW Carr upon entering the vacinity at cat-4 status.
I guess she had a headache....
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mike18xx
They've gone back to 10-minute inrements:
http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html
http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html
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You'd think people would have better things to do with themselves than mess with a weather board. Hehehe. At least find something Harry Potter related... 
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cycloneye
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Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:She is 135 mph cat4.
We will know in minutes what will be the real intensity.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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wx247
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Can we assume that the NHC is really working hard on this one??? Usually we have it by now.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Brent
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HURRICANE EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052005
0300Z MON JUL 18 2005
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM
CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE...THEN WESTWARD AND SOUTHWARD TO
CAMPECHE...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE ISLAS MUJERES. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM
BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BELIZE-MEXICO BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EMILY. A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED
FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST AND THE NORTHEAST COAST OF
MEXICO EARLY MONDAY.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 86.5W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 25SE 15SW 40NW.
50 KT.......100NE 40SE 25SW 60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 80SE 50SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 200SE 100SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 86.5W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 85.8W
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.0N 88.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 15SE 0SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 25SE 15SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 60SE 30SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 22.3N 91.7W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 25SE 15SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 40SE 25SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 80SE 50SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.3N 94.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 40SE 40SW 100NW.
34 KT...130NE 75SE 75SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 24.1N 96.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE 40SE 40SW 100NW.
34 KT...130NE 75SE 75SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.0N 102.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 86.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
FORECASTER PASCH
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052005
0300Z MON JUL 18 2005
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM
CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE...THEN WESTWARD AND SOUTHWARD TO
CAMPECHE...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE ISLAS MUJERES. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM
BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BELIZE-MEXICO BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EMILY. A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED
FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST AND THE NORTHEAST COAST OF
MEXICO EARLY MONDAY.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 86.5W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 25SE 15SW 40NW.
50 KT.......100NE 40SE 25SW 60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 80SE 50SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 200SE 100SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 86.5W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 85.8W
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.0N 88.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 15SE 0SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 25SE 15SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 60SE 30SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 22.3N 91.7W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 25SE 15SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 40SE 25SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 80SE 50SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.3N 94.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 40SE 40SW 100NW.
34 KT...130NE 75SE 75SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 24.1N 96.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE 40SE 40SW 100NW.
34 KT...130NE 75SE 75SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.0N 102.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 86.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
FORECASTER PASCH
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#neversummer
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wx247
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*gulp*
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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