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brunota2003
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#21 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:08 pm

Dick Pache wrote:Roatan Island East of Honduras

Winds N to 40-45 MPH

Pressure dropping 29.583"

http://63.245.92.231/Current/Current_custom.htm

Thanks to Artist
Is that correct??? Roughly 1002 millibars??? OMG... :eek: And still dropping???
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msbee
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#22 Postby msbee » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:12 pm

schmita wrote:
Can someone give me the date "Backwards" Lenny hit us here in the islands? I believe it was around this time in November of 1999?
Thanks
irina


hey Irina
you could have just called and asked me LOL

Lenny was right over us the 19th
18.00 -63.30 11/18/18Z 110 966 HURRICANE-3
18.10 -63.10 11/19/00Z 85 975 HURRICANE-2
Last edited by msbee on Fri Nov 18, 2005 5:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Dick Pache
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#23 Postby Dick Pache » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:19 pm

Re Roatan Pressure reading

I think they have a Davis Vantage Pro

But the link is up and down today

The 5 day wind and Pressure history is on the site
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mike815
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#24 Postby mike815 » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:21 pm

I dont know about the pressure drop thing. Really need confermation on this.
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#25 Postby Forecaster Colby » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:22 pm

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

Why are they estimating? The recon was in the system, and didn't they measure 1003?
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Damar91
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#26 Postby Damar91 » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:23 pm

Pressure might be dropping, but the convection sure doesn't go with it, at least right now.
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#27 Postby mike815 » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:25 pm

Yeah why is it estimated thats wierd.
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#28 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:26 pm

Darn, I was hoping this would be considered a new storm and be named Delta. I'm not too comfortable with a three-storm lead over the West-Pac.
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fci
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#29 Postby fci » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:26 pm

Let's hope that the GFDL is wrong.
Last thing we need here is heavy rain and winds gusting to 55-65 kts or so.
Blue tarps, debris.... NOT a good situation if it happens.

And given how bizarre this season has been, who knows what could happen next. :roll:
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#30 Postby mike815 » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:29 pm

I totally agree not a good situation. Also may be a severe weather conponent to this storm and the cold front.
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#31 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:29 pm

hurricanefreak1988 wrote:Darn, I was hoping this would be considered a new storm and be named Delta. I'm not too comfortable with a three-storm lead over the West-Pac.
It still would have been Gamma either way...
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#32 Postby Windy » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:30 pm

Man, when the TD dissapated, I said to myself "Finally, the season is over!". This afternoon, I check my email and find the NHC is posting advisories on Gamma. Then I check the models and notice what the GFDL does with it. Then I notice that the NHC is weighting towards the GFDL. WHAT THE HELL IS GOING ON THIS YEAR?!! :eek: :eek: :eek: :lol:
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#33 Postby Windtalker1 » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:31 pm

Brent wrote:
Canelaw99 wrote::hoola: We've got Gamma! As long as it's a small trop. storm, if that and doesn't screw up my T-giving camping plans, I'll be ok :)


It'll be a very distant memory by Thanksgiving. :wink:
except for those without "POWER"
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#34 Postby Damar91 » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:31 pm

Would that cold front impacting Gamma actually make it stronger at all?
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#35 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:33 pm

Damar91 wrote:Would that cold front impacting Gamma actually make it stronger at all?
hhhmmm... thats a good question...mets??? I would think it would tighten the pressure gradinet, causing the winds to go up, but not sure...
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#36 Postby ihatebadweather » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:35 pm

fci wrote:Let's hope that the GFDL is wrong.

I could be wrong, but I believe that traditionaly, the GFDL trends to over intensify in high shear environments. I hope that is the case here.
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#37 Postby mike815 » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:36 pm

Yes tru it but not all the time.
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#38 Postby Recurve » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:36 pm

Damar91 wrote:Would that cold front impacting Gamma actually make it stronger at all?


If you mean its intensity as a tropical cyclone, not really. But I am interested in hearing some experts' opinions on what hybrid/extratropical potential there is.

T cyclones aren't the only killers. We've had "winter" storms kill people and result in hundreds of coast guard rescues of boaters. I'm concerned that everyone is so tuned in to the H-word, that south florida could let its guard down and have a 50 or 60 knot system strike while many people are on the water.

We are already getting outer strato bands from this, the radar shows rain moving toward us apparently from both the northeast and southwest at this time.
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#39 Postby schmita » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:52 pm

"6 years ago today it was sitting right over your head."

Thanks Brent, sort of thought so.

irina
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hurricanefreak1988
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#40 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Fri Nov 18, 2005 4:56 pm

brunota2003 wrote:
hurricanefreak1988 wrote:Darn, I was hoping this would be considered a new storm and be named Delta. I'm not too comfortable with a three-storm lead over the West-Pac.
It still would have been Gamma either way...

Oh gosh. DUH. Stupid me. :oops:
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