Ivan Advisories

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nomolos
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#1001 Postby nomolos » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:31 pm

uhhh oh!
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dhweather
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#1002 Postby dhweather » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:31 pm

943? Wow!!
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feederband
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#1003 Postby feederband » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:31 pm

:eek:
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Jetman
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#1004 Postby Jetman » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:31 pm

There are unconfirmed reports of 24 deaths related to "Ivan".

More: http://stormcarib.com/reports/2004/grenada.shtml

Jetman
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cebers01
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#1005 Postby cebers01 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:32 pm

Won't be the last drop today I bet... Ivan has been pumping iron it would appear...
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tallywx
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#1006 Postby tallywx » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:32 pm

Buoys in the NE Gulf south of Tallahassee are running 82-84F. Not exactly prime temps. for a cat 4. That, coupled with shear, could be the saving grace (I HOPE!!!) if it decides to hit this Panhandle coast.

I've never been sick of tracking hurricanes before in my life, but now I am. The only reason I'm doing so is out of necessity. Other than that, I need a break.
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feederband
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#1007 Postby feederband » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:32 pm

:eek: :eek:
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skysummit
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#1008 Postby skysummit » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:33 pm

Possum Trot wrote:How far is that from the center of the storm? It looks like a long way for TS force winds.


I'm thinking somewhere in the range of 150 - 170 miles from the center.
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canegrl04
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#1009 Postby canegrl04 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:33 pm

Thats the lowest its been yet :eek: :eek: :eek: Ivan's gotta be about 150mph right now.
Last edited by canegrl04 on Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Ziplock48

Holy Cow, Batman!

#1010 Postby Ziplock48 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:34 pm

Thanks for the baaad news! This is sooooo not good. Looks like we are seeing an historic Hurricane in the making, for all the bad reasons.

Remember a couple of years ago when hurricanes were outrunning their stacking? All we chatted about seemed to be vertical stacking, or more correctly, the lack of...which led to the storms falling apart before landfall in the SE US.

This year is different. An understatement if there ever was one.
Zip
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JTD
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#1011 Postby JTD » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:34 pm

but NO increase in the flight level winds. NONE whatsoever.

That is good news, at least! :D
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rainstorm

#1012 Postby rainstorm » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:35 pm

yah!! means more deaths
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Canelaw99
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#1013 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:35 pm

Again - MOMMY!!!!!! :Hug:
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JTD
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#1014 Postby JTD » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:36 pm

rainstorm wrote:yah!! means more deaths


huh? You're not saying people want deaths are you?
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nomolos
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#1015 Postby nomolos » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:36 pm

I believe pressure drop is usually followed by increased winds...the 8 and 11 advisories should be interesting.
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feederband
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#1016 Postby feederband » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:36 pm

but NO increase in the flight level winds. NONE whatsoever.

That is good news, at least!

I THINK THAT WILL CHANGE
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charleston_hugo_veteran
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#1017 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:36 pm

what matters is the landfalling cat. IMHO...it can stay a cat 5 as long as it wants as long as landfall is less!!
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Aquawind
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#1018 Postby Aquawind » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:36 pm

My wife just got home and said she heard on the radio that Ft Myers had a 60% chance of getting eyewall..Based on the models..evidently the radio guys discussed the models...Then he said he would try to get a real weather guy on soon...LMAO..Freakin idiot!! That's not nice either..94 or 96 FM..

:roll:
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tallywx
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#1019 Postby tallywx » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:37 pm

Good. Statistically, the stronger it is now, the less likely it can maintain that strength over many days. Hopefully, it being strong now means it'll be weaker by the time it approaches the U.S. I know that doesn't make sense, but I'm irrationally looking/needing hope here.
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LilNoles2004
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Oh jeez...

#1020 Postby LilNoles2004 » Wed Sep 08, 2004 4:37 pm

EEK. That is all.
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