Charley Advisories

[KBBOCA]

Here's a site with some report from the Cayman Isles. No technical data, but folks' impressions

http://stormcarib.com/reports/2004/cayman.shtml

[BayouVenteux]

Here's a site with some report from the Cayman Isles. No technical data, but folks' impressions

http://stormcarib.com/reports/2004/cayman.shtml

Thanks KBBOCA. No observation like local eyes.

[Derek Ortt]

I probably should have said this earlier, but it is essential not to focus on the precise center. The effects of the storm spread well away from the eye and the storm should expand as it moves toward the north, especially after it emerges into the Atlantic

[chris_fit]

News conference...

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS SARASOTA!!!
Level 2 Evacuations.

Commencing at NOON TODAY

[Nimbus]

They mentioned the ridge was building stronger than they expected over western Cuba this morning so the track might not start bending till Charley approaches the trough. The storm could stall and get sheared into north Florida more along the UKMET forecast track.

[The Dark Knight]

Geez...... Be safe everyone in Fla..

[Brent]

Good idea, IMO.

[cycloneye]

000
URNT12 KNHC 121334
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 12/1333Z
B. 19 DEG 33 MIN N
80 DEG 59 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2953 M
D. 55 KT
E. 225 DEG 006 NM
F. 320 DEG 65 KT
G. 225 DEG 006 NM
H. 983 MB
I. 9 C/ 3074 M
J. 17 C/ 3080 M
K. 8 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C19
N. 12345/7
O. .1/3 NM
P. AF966 0603A CHARLEY OB 12
MAX FL WIND 83 KT E QUAD 1151Z.

Pressure down 1 mbs from the last message so maybe the 11 AM advisory reflects an increase to 90 mph or maybe they will leave it at 85 mph.

[Brent]

Completely agree Derek. I keep telling people the hurricane is not a point.

[Thunder44]

On the Fox News Channel, some reporter at the Hurricane Center live a few mins ago said it has 100mph winds now. But I don't know if she's reporting accurate info, because she says it was still Cat one.

[The Dark Knight]

If it doesn't show, http://www.capecodtropics.tk

[scogor]

Please post the site to this information

[The Dark Knight]

True.... Could have been a freak gust..????

[chris_fit]

Did not find info on site.

Watched live news Conference on Fox 13 of EMS Conference.

[Brent]

I don't believe that and here's why:

The max flight level winds do not support that. They support 85, maybe 90 mph. NOW, the hurricane DOES have GUSTS to 100 mph right now.

Pressure is down to 983 mb, so I guess there's a chance winds will be up, but I don't have any evidence recon found strong enough winds.

[Steve H.]

Derek, agree also that this should see 100kts, possibly 115. But the track???? Hurricane Alley has the 12Z models (cheesey ones) showing a significant westward shift. I don't buy these yet as the long wave trough continues to move SE from the central plains....Any thoughts yet on that?

[scogor]

Thanks

[The Dark Knight]

Not that bad at all......

[GaryOBX]

Please post the site to this information

Here you go... Sarasota EOC Mandatory evacuation will be in effect at noon today; county buildings are closed Friday

SARASOTA COUNTY (THURSDAY, AUGUST 12, 2004) - A mandatory evacuation for mobile homes, barrier islands and low-lying areas will be effective as of noon today (Thursday) due to Hurricane Charley. County buildings are closed Friday. A decision on closing Sarasota County schools will be announced at noon today. Evacuation is mandatory by midnight tonight. Residents in those areas will not be allowed back in the area after that time.

Shelters will open at 4 p.m. today. Evacuees should head east, not north or south. Evacuees should be prepared to be away from home at least two nights, Thursday and Friday. Emergency services will be discontinued as of midnight today. Emergency services will respond to life-and-death situations until sustained winds reach 45 mph. Gusts at that point could be 80 mph. Employers should consider allowing their employees to leave work early today.

The Emergency Operations Center was activated to Level 1 as of 8 a.m. this morning, Thursday, Aug. 12. An evacuation of people with special needs began at 9 a.m. and is expected to take at least 12 hours.

A press conference is scheduled at 10 a.m. today and will be broadcast live over Access Sarasota (Channel 19 on Comcast).

There will be no trash pickup on Friday. Residents are advised not to put out trash, yard waster and recyclables.

There will be no Sarasota County Area Transit (SCAT) service on Friday. A decision about Saturday service will be made on Friday.

Also, the Sarasota County Hurricane/Flood Preparedness Expo, originally scheduled Saturday, Aug. 14, has been postponed for two weeks until Saturday, Aug. 28. It will be from 9 a.m.-2 p.m. at Robarts Arena, 3000 Ringling Blvd., Sarasota.

The Sarasota History Center exhibit, “Sarasota County’s Medical History,” originally scheduled for Friday, Aug. 13, has been postponed until Sept. 10. It will be held from 5:30-7:30 p.m. at the History Center, 701 N. Tamiami Trail, Sarasota.

The Sarasota County Health Department will be closed Friday. For pressing matters, call the following emergency contact number, call the Sarasota County Emergency Information at (941) 861-4636. If this is an immediate health emergency, hang up and dial 911.



SOURCE: SARASOTA COUNTY PUBLIC COMMUNICATIONS

[Thunder44]

More likely it's probably not true. I really posted about it to show how the media is can report inaccurate information on these storms. But sometimes the NHC has more info than we they release to the public before their advisories or have different interpertation of how the strong the storm is, for some reason or the other. So we'll just have to see what do the next advisory.