Charley Advisories

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Josephine96

#1601 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:05 am

Thanks MW.. Even though I'm inland.. I'm technically in the watch area.. so I'm eyeballing this monster of a storm here
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The Dark Knight
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#1602 Postby The Dark Knight » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:05 am

LOL.... Oh, iz yido charwee shy....... No he definately isn't.....LOL..
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Weatherboy1
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seems to be moving more NNW

#1603 Postby Weatherboy1 » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:05 am

Over the past few hours, it seems like Charley is moving more to the NNW than NW. This would suggest the hurricane center's forecast is panning out -- their track has this thing skirting the east end of the island S of Cuba (forget the name). While I still believe we are safe here on the east coast of FL, any slight deviation in track could at least result in us getting TS force winds -- especially if Charley pushes up the intensity scale. Judging from the emergence of an eye, the latest vortex messages, etc., that could unfortunately be happening now.
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KBBOCA
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#1604 Postby KBBOCA » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:05 am

I hope people won't WAIT until 6 p.m. They'll never make it anywhere with the limited roadways!

LEAVE NOW if you are in the affected areas!
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donsutherland1
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#1605 Postby donsutherland1 » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:06 am

WeatherSnoop,

Hopefully everything will turn out ok for you. On such a track, if Charley reaches the strength I believe he will (at least Category 2 or perhaps higher), you will likely experience a sustaned period of hurricane-force winds.
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Josephine96

#1606 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:07 am

Hey WB.. I'm thinking where I'm at.. we may get hurricane force winds here.. One of our local mets said so.. and if this thing reaches major status or grows in size.. I think hurricane force winds are definitely a guarantee
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#1607 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:07 am

Thanks Brian.
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Josephine96

#1608 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:08 am

{cringes} why did I even read that> :eek:

Please, be nothing more than a Cat 2-3.. :eek:
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#1609 Postby weatherSnoop » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:09 am

Thanks don...feeling a little anxious and I know that feeling will intensify as Charley does
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#1610 Postby Guest » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:09 am

I might be living in the central plains, but this stuff interests me a ton. Stay safe down there in Florida and where ever else this monster decides to head.
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wayoutfront

#1611 Postby wayoutfront » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:09 am

:eek: :eek:
I'm impressed Charley.... quit showing off
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Anonymous

#1612 Postby Anonymous » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:10 am

Well it may already be approaching Cat 2, if not already there.
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#1613 Postby The Dark Knight » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:10 am

LOL.... Charley is going to be a FREAKIN' BEAST!!!! If anyone has any WORST CASE SCENARIOS FOR CHARLEY BEING A CAT3-4 WHEN HITTING FLA, then speak now!!!!....If no then forever hold your peace..lOL
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#1614 Postby Stormchaser16 » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:11 am

But FL winds would translate down to around 80-85 MPH winds....

And they only estimate the surface winds at 40KTs(weird)

And this is in the NE quadrant

Dunno about rapid intensification yet
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Josephine96

#1615 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:11 am

Charley definitely wants to show off all right.. If he shows off enough.. then the entire Central Florida area, even inland better be very careful..

I'm already going to be very careful cause the local mets have said hurricane force winds are a good possibility
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ColdFront77

#1616 Postby ColdFront77 » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:11 am

The pressure here is currently 1.00" higher than the center of Hurricane Charley. I am located near 29.0°N 82.0°W;
approximately 640 miles due north of the storm's center.

980 mb = 28.94"
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#1617 Postby Agua » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:12 am

I just got off the phone with one of my old law school buds who lives in Tampa.

I'm not being a panic monger here, but those folks down there do not have a CLUE as to storm preparation. He'd never heard of boarding windows. He was taking it lightly, thinking that trimming a few limbs from trees in his yard would do the trick. He didn't understand that the power would be off, probably a week at a minimum.

I hope I convinced him his choices are to prepare with foodstuff, board his windows, or get the hell out of town. He laughed when I said that I'd pray for him. When I told him I was serious, I think he finally got a hint of the gravity of his situation.

I'm afraid if his ignorance with regard to preparation and what these storms can do is the norm down there, it will be a catastrophe.
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Josephine96

#1618 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:12 am

Thank you Brian.. I'll stay safe here.. and watch or listen to the radio as long as I can..

Like I said.. if the weather gets too bad.. I'll probably go play duck and cover in the bathroom..
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#1619 Postby weatherluvr » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:13 am

Question Don-

On your model run, the angle of the N to NNE turn at landfall looks to be a little sharper than on the NHC's projected path. What chance is there of possibly reemerging over the Atlantic for a sustained period, and what possible consequences could this have farther up the coast for the Mid Atlantic and the Northeast?
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#1620 Postby Skywatch_NC » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:14 am

I have a cousin in Tampa...and her sister, brother-in-law and niece live in Sarasota. :eek:

Eric
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