Charley Advisories

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lynnstal
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How safe is the Orlando area regarding Charlie?

#1881 Postby lynnstal » Fri Aug 13, 2004 4:15 am

I now live about 20 miles west of Orlando and was wondering about what to expect from Charlie. We are in Groveland, Lake County. When I was younger I lived in South Miami (this was before Andrew) and went through quite a few hurricanes - I was a kid and my Dad boarded up and all was well. I've never experienced a hurricane inland and really don't know what to expect.

It is now 5:00 in the morning and I'm just sitting here wondering what it will be like. We live in a house built in 2002 so it should be strong (bad construction not withstanding :lol: ). It is just me and my husband - we are retired. We are not in a flood zone, although we live on a small lake.

Like most newer houses, we have a great room with a sliding glass door in the kitchen - all one open area from kitchen at the back to living room in front . We have brought everything loose inside, but haven't boarded up. I've read on this board that tape is now considered to be a bad idea. Any suggestions for prep at this late date?
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Guest

#1882 Postby Guest » Fri Aug 13, 2004 4:19 am

As soon it is light gather up all the stuff outside. We just had a rainband stuff was blowing all around the yard. E.Cen. fl.
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chrisnnavarre
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82.9W 0500EST Positon, Charley Leaning NW???

#1883 Postby chrisnnavarre » Fri Aug 13, 2004 4:20 am

Look at the Radar presentation, (from Cuba) of Charlie, notice the NW-SE lean of the storm. Based on the 0400-0500 EST positions of Charlie is the storm leaning to the NNW and out into the Gulf of Mexico???


Image
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Derek Ortt

#1884 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Aug 13, 2004 4:20 am

You may get some gusts over hurricane force out of Charley
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Derek Ortt

#1885 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Aug 13, 2004 4:21 am

I see a slight NNE lean out of Charley. Also, the sat imagery shows a distinct NNE lean with the overall cloud shield
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#1886 Postby Nimbus » Fri Aug 13, 2004 4:27 am

Charley still has some western component for how long who knows. If you look at a loop that is over 6 hours in length the move you see looks like a long NNW wobble.
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lynnstal
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#1887 Postby lynnstal » Fri Aug 13, 2004 4:27 am

Thanks for the comments. Most stuff is already inside - did that yesterday. Tried to buy some water yesterday and everyplace was sold out. We have flashlights and batteries. But hopefully we won't lose power, or if we do only for a little while, and all will be good.
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#1888 Postby chrisnnavarre » Fri Aug 13, 2004 4:36 am

Tampa Radar shows a clear NNW Lean as well..

http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USLoca ... odnav=none

The low is really digging into the Gulf, I'm no weather guy, but an ex-radar Retired Navy vet off a flat-bottomed LST. Wouldn't the storm lean towards the Low instead of land???

Interesting to see if the eye tracks west of 82.9W at the 0600-0700EST positions.
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Derek Ortt

#1889 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Aug 13, 2004 5:11 am

and the northward turn appears to have begun looking at the last hour on radar. Right now it is almost due south of Tampa
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Matthew5

#1890 Postby Matthew5 » Fri Aug 13, 2004 5:13 am

It looks like it is getting stronger by the second!
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#1891 Postby drudd1 » Fri Aug 13, 2004 5:14 am

I'll have to agree. While there still seems to be a westward component to the movement, it is almost negligible at this time.
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#1892 Postby Nimbus » Fri Aug 13, 2004 5:15 am

There is an Upper level low rolling back east under Charley to his south. Might provide some temporary steering since Charley is still under the high pressure ridge and is not being steered by the front yet. Once Charley gets above 25 N the steering may change again though.
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Guest

#1893 Postby Guest » Fri Aug 13, 2004 5:17 am

CDO getting very close to SW Fl.
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969MB

#1894 Postby jdt » Fri Aug 13, 2004 5:51 am

Closed eye wall and 12 NM wide eye. This from latest recon data. Key West Radar shows this very well including the eye wall.
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Guest

#1895 Postby Guest » Fri Aug 13, 2004 5:52 am

whoa...
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Matthew5

Charley forms a ring around its eye?

#1896 Postby Matthew5 » Fri Aug 13, 2004 6:03 am

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS ... kbyx.shtml

Deep red,Orange,Yellows have formed in a ring around the eye. The storm has very deep convection with a small eye. This might be in bombing mode! :eek:
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#1897 Postby wx247 » Fri Aug 13, 2004 6:05 am

I agree...the strengthening continues!
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#1898 Postby HurricaneGirl » Fri Aug 13, 2004 6:05 am

:eek:
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Matthew5

#1899 Postby Matthew5 » Fri Aug 13, 2004 6:12 am

124 mph wind gust in Cuba? :eek:
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124 mph gust in Cuba

#1900 Postby wx247 » Fri Aug 13, 2004 6:13 am

This happened overnight I believe!!!

Watch out Florida!!!
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