Ivan Advisories

[stormernie]

This is key for the Keys and Florida, I agree with the more NW-WNW movement. Clearly in IR

[huricanwatcher]

OMY!!!!! there i go again.........

(strange trip we are all on)

[NorthGaWeather]

Satellite looks wnw around 290.

[canegrl04]

Thats what I was thinking.The only place these people have to escape is a hole in the ground.
I listened to the disaster preparedness minister on Fox today,and judging from his demeaner and answers to questions,Jamaica is going to suffer great loss of life

[calidoug]

290? Look again.

This thing is WNW / NW the past few hours.

300 easy.

It may even just miss Jamaica to the NORTH.

Check the IR loop.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Here's a little table:

Due W: 270
WNW: 292.5
NW: 315
NNW: 337.5
Due N: 360 (a.k.a. 0)

[Rainband]

Look at the gfs cousin the gdlf right shift more or less with the nogaps now but weaker

[Canelaw99]

Wow - look at how he's sprawled out all over the Carib....geez - he's a greedy 'cane isn't he???

[Jevo]

Ivanthe terrible is moving 305-310 as of last plots

[brudeb]

Read your post and it gave me goosebumps. I am praying for the people of Jamaica and hoping that we in Florida don't get hit again. I live on the east coast and have had enough.

[soonertwister]

The DR makes at least the 5th country where Ivan has caused someone's death. Probably have been people killed in Haiti, too. People there die by the dozens or hundreds from just a rainy TS.

[MWatkins]

According to the 5pm advisory...300. And the last 3 hours may be closer to 305.

MW

[B-Bear]

You can always do it the easy way. Take a piece of paper and hold it up against your monitor, while positioning the paper against the sat image so that the southern edge of the eye wall stays riding along the edge of the paper. Keep adjusting the paper until the edge of the eye wall remains on the paper throughout the sat loop. Then look to the upper left hand corner of the paper. As you can see, it runs through Jamaica. See? No fancy equipment required.

[Coldfront]

Prayers are being sent and will continue to be.

There is potential for a Mitch-like disaster in Jamacia. Perhaps not on the same scale, but still devastating just the same.

[Deana Cuevas]

Thanks!. I 've been going to other areas of this site. It's Cool I'm thinking my questions may get better. Everyone has so much information. Do you think the Low Pressure/High Pressure will move and push Ivan more into Central Florida? I've been reading about this.

[Guest]

According to the 5pm advisory...300. And the last 3 hours may be closer to 305.

MW

Totally agree. Derek I don't know how much earlier you started this thread but I really think Jamacia is going to take this head on, not even close to skirting it. In regards to the Miami call I don't know dude there is alot of time left and IMO the trend is east. I don't agree with the TPC 5 discussion at all shifting it west.

[HURAKAN]

Ivás has become the southernmost category five in record to have form in the Atlantic Ocean. Do we need more surprises?

[Derek Ortt]

ising garp, I have just fixed the center to be at 15.2N and 72.7W. The short term motion has been a bit closer to 310, though this may not last at 310

[WeatherEmperor]

A bit further to the east. Not good for south florida.

<RICKY> IF this has already been posted, my fault.

http://weather.net-waves.com/modelplot.htm

[chris_fit]

i dont see why the track was shifted so far west at 5

[Deana Cuevas]

WOW!! THANKS! Your site blew me away. I can understand that! So let me see if I understand this if the Low(trough) stays it could push Ivan into Central florida? Please explain.