Frances Advisories

Wacahootaman · #2801 Postby **Wacahootaman** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:17 pm

I think so, or even SW over Cuba.

I remember when Hurricane Elana was aimed dead on at Cedar Key Fla moving NE, then stalled and did a u turn to turn west and end up hitting Mississippi.

Remember Betsy did the stall in the atlantic and doubled back to hit Miami and New Orleans.

This high is getting stronger I think, and may cause it to go through the Fla straits or even hit the north coast of Cuba

Website · #2802 Postby **Brent** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:18 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:land based station recorded recon. That suggests that recon did NOT get the lowest pressure

Yeah.

golter · #2803 Postby **golter** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:19 pm

Your joking right..

dennis1x1 · #2804 Postby **dennis1x1** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:21 pm

our first cubacaster!!!

#2805 Postby **ncbird** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:23 pm

I am feeling so helpless as I watch this monster head towards Florida. You all have just been through major Charlie and now this. My heart cries for you all. I so wish there were more than prayers I could do. I wish everone of my friends I have found on this board that are in the path of Francis safety for you and your loved ones.

NCBird

Hurricane Cheese · #2806 Postby **Hurricane Cheese** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:23 pm

NHC is estimating 946 mb with there 5 pm advisory....San Salvador reported 948 on the south side of the eye.

Looks like this vortex may have been a bad pass....she could be coming back a bit...

dennis1x1 · #2807 Postby **dennis1x1** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:24 pm

sat pics slightly improving......big thing would be closing off and clearing out a new eye...

dennis1x1 · #2808 Postby **dennis1x1** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:26 pm

im not up on my bahamas geography.....is that little island thats been in the eye a good part of the day habitated by many? anyone?

#2809 Postby **hial2** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:27 pm

Hey, in the map with color coded probabilities north Cuba has the same color code as the EC!!

Link to follow

#2810 Postby **hial2** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:28 pm

Link to the previous

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... trike.html

Wacahootaman · #2811 Postby **Wacahootaman** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:28 pm

Hey, it is possible.

I dont pretend to be anything other than a rank amateur but if a strong high did block it from going north or even north west, where would it go?

Look at the tracks of hurricanes Elena and Betsy. Both stalled then reversed course.

I dont pretend to be able to expertly interpertate these last frames in this sequence professionally, but it does look like the blocking high is getting stronger.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 2java.html

JTD · #2812 Postby **JTD** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:28 pm

Look, I am not at all good with these things....but I am looking at the IR channel 4 and it looks to me like the eyewall is reforming farther south than the eye before the ERC and the storm seems to be going more NW-WNW now?

Anybody else see that or am I WAY off?

Guest · #2813 Postby **Guest** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:29 pm

chris_fit wrote:
Redder wrote:remember there are those who have no clue WTH that info means.

http://www.hurricanehunters.com/vortex.htm

nevermind then goober.

Ill go back to work and let Jim Cantore give me the latest when I get home LOL some peeps just don't want to learn recon data code, just like you probably dont want to learn the tax code Chris. If you had a question regarding taxes or financial planning I would be more than glad to help out, and I definitely would not post a link http://www.irs.gov/ and say figure it out yourself when I could give you the answer with ease.

:roll:

dennis1x1 · #2814 Postby **dennis1x1** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:33 pm

i dont see a reformation.....i can follow the filled in coc for the last several hours....it does appear nearly stationary right over that island (man if anyone lives there...what a day) for a while now.

i also still see some "bobbles" in the sat pics which make it hard to precisely track....

JTD · #2815 Postby **JTD** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:37 pm

Dennis, I'm still at work. If you can update me on what you're seeing via track...I'd appreciate that.

NJCane · #2816 Postby **NJCane** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:37 pm

Well developed hurricanes dont relocate their center.

Website · #2817 Postby **Brent** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:39 pm

Hurricane's eyes don't "redevelop". It may have moved, but it didn't redevelop elsewhere.

Agua · #2818 Postby **Agua** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:39 pm

dennis1x1 wrote: it does appear nearly stationary right over that island (man if anyone lives there...what a day) for a while now.

YIKES!

chris_fit · #2819 Postby **chris_fit** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:47 pm

Redder wrote:
chris_fit wrote:
Redder wrote:remember there are those who have no clue WTH that info means.

http://www.hurricanehunters.com/vortex.htm

nevermind then goober.

Ill go back to work and let Jim Cantore give me the latest when I get home LOL some peeps just don't want to learn recon data code, just like you probably dont want to learn the tax code Chris. If you had a question regarding taxes or financial planning I would be more than glad to help out, and I definitely would not post a link http://www.irs.gov/ and say figure it out yourself when I could give you the answer with ease.

Explaining every A-P would take a while Redder....

This link is very informative. It will provide you with information to what the "Letters" mean. If I were to "explain" it I would have copy/pasted the same information. It's not like its hard.... VERY self explanitory. If you have any specific question or do not understand that page.... where it says A MEANS THIS, B MEANS THIS, etc....please let me know and I will help you. I thought this would be better though. Not trying to be rude.

JTD · #2820 Postby **JTD** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:47 pm

Simple question then....

What is happening with Frances right now direction and intensity wise?

Frances Advisories

Prayers for all in Francis's path

Eyewall reforming further south?

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