Gaston Advisories

[frankthetank]

heres a nice shot of her/him ...whatever...almost looks like its trying to wrap itself up... from this afternoon... man its beautiful down there
hi res shot...you can probably find your house with this one...

http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/real ... 0.500m.jpg

[doglegleft]

Isn't that the truth bensontc...

I have to imagine there will be a lot of confused golfers... I gave up my tee time this evening... sleep well.

[Stormsfury]

between Charleston and McClellanville, SC ... pushed the time up from early afternoon to late morning based on radar trends ...

http://www.stormsfury1.com

(my forecast/prognostic discussion)

[SCHawkFan]

You are right about surprised folks. Here in Myrtle Beach not much is being made of the storm. I think it is coming up to fast to do much to prepare. Cannot evacuate anyone now as we do not need a bunch of cars on the road while a hurricane is bearing down. Hopefully it stays Cat 1 or below. Even at that strength, after 12" of rain already this month, trees will be falling all over the Grand Strand.

[adelphi_sky]

Wow. You can see Baltimore and DC too!

[Wolfman21]

Central North Carolina?? Around the Raleigh-Durham area???

[Stormsfury]

Central North Carolina?? Around the Raleigh-Durham area???

Potential heavy rainmaker for Eastern North Carolina ... and tornadoes north and east of the center of circ.

SF

[Wolfman21]

ok, and that means WHAT for CENTRAL North Carolina???

[B-Bear]

ok, and that means WHAT for CENTRAL North Carolina???

Well, that kind of depends on what Gaston wants to do. He's had a mind of his own for quite some time now. If he moves west, or west by northwest, you could get some wind and rain out of it. But if he moves more north, or north by northwest, it probably won't have a huge impact on you.

It's just very hard to tell what this guy wants to do yet. But it's looking to me like north or north by northwest.

[STORMSURGE]

just saw the latest image on the ir and it appears to have 2 eyes, the obvious black image and also next to that on the right, maybe 2 centers of circulation not yet together, or just a show of getting better organized?

[Cid 98]

Does anyone have the latest NWS statement for Charleston that supposedly came out at 12:02? For some reason I can't get it to come up.

[weatherlover427]

HURRICANE STATEMENT BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED...CORRECTED TROPICAL STORM GASTON LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 1202 AM EDT SUN AUG 29 2004

...GASTON JUST OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST...
...AREAS AFFECTED...THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF INLAND MCINTOSH...COASTAL BRYAN...INLAND LIBERTY...INLAND BRYAN...COASTAL LIBERTY...COASTAL MCINTOSH...BERKELEY...DORCHESTER...INLAND COLLETON...ALLENDALE...HAMPTON...CHARLESTON...COASTAL COLLETON... BEAUFORT...INLAND CHATHAM...INLAND JASPER...COASTAL JASPER AND COASTAL CHATHAM COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE GEORGIA COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...BETWEEN 39 AND 73 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH MIDNIGHT MONDAY.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERKELEY AND DORCHESTER COUNTIES THROUGH MIDNIGHT MONDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.2 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY TO OCCUR TONIGHT. GASTON IS DRIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. GASTON IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE CENTRAL CHARLESTON COUNTY COAST AS A MINIMAL HURRICANE NEAR THE ISLE OF PALMS EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...AT 9 PM EDT...THE STATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA...IN COOPERATION WITH CHARLESTON COUNTY...HAS ASKED FOR A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION OF THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF CHARLESTON COUNTY AS WELL AS LOW LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES THE LOWER PENINSULA OF DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON. A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION OF MOBILE HOMES THROUGHOUT CHARLESTON COUNTY IS ALSO ENCOURAGED. ALL DRAW BRIDGES AND SWING BRIDGES IN CHARLESTON COUNTY HAVE ALSO BEEN LOCKED DOWN TO ACCOMMODATE VEHICULAR TRAFFIC.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES TONIGHT AND SUNDAY COMBINED WITH STRONG ONSHORE WINDS...WILL INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF COASTAL FLOODING AND SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED LEVELS WILL OCCUR MAINLY ON THE BEACHES NEAR AND TO THE NORTHEAST OF CHARLESTON...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN BAYS AND RIVERS. OFFSHORE WINDS OVER THE GEORGIA COAST AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA COAST WILL LIMIT THE STORM TIDE SOUTH OF BEAUFORT. HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR IN THE CHARLESTON HARBOR AT 749 AM SUNDAY...AT 906 AM AT BEAUFORT AND AT 807 AM IN BULLS BAY.

...WIND IMPACTS...WINDS OVER THE SOUTH CAROLINA AND GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS AND ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AND ARE EXPECTED TO REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. IF THE CURRENT TRACK HOLDS...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH MAY OCCUR BETWEEN 10 AM AND 2 PM ALONG THE CHARLESTON COUNTY COAST... INCLUDING ISLE OF PALMS...FOLLY BEACH...DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON...MOUNT PLEASANT AND SULLIVANS ISLAND.

FARTHER INLAND OVER DORCHESTER AND BERKELEY COUNTIES...WINDS SUNDAY WILL BE 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. FOR BEAUFORT AND COASTAL COLLETON COUNTIES...WINDS WILL BE 25 TO 35 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 45 MPH...MAINLY ALONG THE BEACHES. WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS HAMPTON...ALLENDALE AND JASPER COUNTIES.

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS ALONG THE GEORGIA COAST WILL REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. WHILE THE CURRENT TRACK SHOWS LITTLE WIND EFFECTS FOR COASTAL GEORGIA...A SHIFT IN THE EXPECTED FORECAST TRACK MAY INCREASE FORECAST WIND SPEEDS ALONG THE GEORGIA COAST. ALL RESIDENTS UNDER THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS... SEAS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AS GASTON APPROACHES THE COAST. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. SEAS OF 6 TO 10 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. AS SWELL BREAKS ALONG BEACHES TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL BE LIKELY.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...WITH THE CURRENT INTENSITY FORECAST...FLOODING RAINS WILL BE LIKELY MAINLY ACROSS THE LOWCOUNTRY OF SOUTH CAROLINA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALLTOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES MAY OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA CLOSE TO THE FORECAST TRACK...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. LESSER RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE GEORGIA COAST. WITH THE GROUND STILL FAIRLY SATURATED FROM RECENT RAINS...FLOODING IS LIKELY. THIS IS A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION FOR DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON.

...TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND ON SUNDAY...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM GASTON CAN BE FOUND IN ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE.

...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AROUND 3 AM SUNDAY.


There you go.

(edited to not take up so much room)

[seahawkjd]

Will he be a cane or closer?

[BUD]

Hurricane. It might be 80mph????

[NOAA-NHC Saubers1]

no there arent 2 centers of circulation, and it will strengthen slightly before landfall

[seahawkjd]

What direction do you think its heading now?

[STORMSURGE]

and since my last post the two have joined into one and def. showing signs of of getting stronger. Gaston will be a hurricane before landfall.
It sure does like the area its in, its been there forever now it seems, not losing steam by churning up the same water as usual.

[Wnghs2007]

Tropical Storm Gaston Intermediate Advisory Number 6a

Statement as of 2:00 am EDT on August 29, 2004


...Gaston approaching the South Carolina coast...

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for coastal South Carolina
from the Savannah River to Little River Inlet. A Hurricane Warning
means that hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area
during the next 24 hr. Since it is not possible to precisely
predict the path and intensity of a tropical cyclone...preparations
to protect life and property should be rushed to completion
throughout the entire warning area.


A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for coastal North
Carolina from north of Little River Inlet to Surf City.


A tropical storm watch remains in effect from south of the Savannah
River to Fernandina Beach Florida.


At 2 am EDT...0600z...the center of Tropical Storm Gaston was
located near latitude 32.1 north...longitude 79.4 west or about
65 miles southeast of Charleston South Carolina.


Gaston is moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph. A
turn toward the north is expected in the next 24 hours. The center
of Gaston is expected to move across the South Carolina coastline
sometime this afternoon.


Maximum sustained winds are 65 mph...with higher gusts.
Observations from the Charleston radar indicate that Gaston is
getting better organized...and it is expected to become a hurricane
before reaching the South Carolina coast.


Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the
center.


The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb...29.29 inches.


Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...with
higher levels in bays...is expected near and to the east of where
the center crosses the coast. Tides of 1 to 3 ft above normal are
expected elsewhere in the warned area. Dangerous high surf and rip
currents are also possible along the coast in the warned area.


Rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches...with locally higher amounts...
are expected along the path of Gaston.

Isolated tornadoes are possible early Sunday over northeastern South
Carolina.


Repeating the 2 am EDT position...32.1 N... 79.4 W. Movement
toward...north-northwest near 5 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 65 mph. Minimum central pressure... 992 mb.


For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.


The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 5 am EDT.


Forecaster Franklin




$$

[drezee]

29/0615 UTC 31.8N 79.2W T4.0/4.0 GASTON -- Atlantic Ocean

[BUD]

Thanks, I been looking for that.