Ivan Advisories

[Novacane]

If it does indeed pass south, isn't that kind of a good news/bad news situation? Good in that it might spare Jamaica the worst, bad in that it keeps the eye offshore where it has more opportunity to strengthen before hitting somewhere else?

[Josephine96]

What does all that mean?

{is still a dummy with vortex messages}

[CFLCaneWatcher]

That sounds really wacky! That's surface level winds down to 115 mph, that seems crazy. It appears much more organized than that.

[Stormtrack03]

In addition, notice this came in right after the 2 PM advisory lol.

[-=-]

I'm on campus now about to head to a class, so I'll check it out and see if it has changed. Should post again about 4pm.

*edited: I"ll check out the public posted information that I can read

[Hurricane Cheese]

Boy, if what I'm looking at on IR currently is a Cat 3 then it's the best damn Cat 3 I've ever seen!!

[NorthGaWeather]

The eye is closed, its also contracting, the temp difference between the core and rest of the storm is larger, the relative humidity in the core is lower all signs the storm is healthier than the last recon.

[chris_fit]

chris_fit
, I suggest you read mf_dolphin's announcement about posting whole data info. on the board.

I have.

If i post the link to the "file" I bet 1/2 the users on this board will now know how to open it. ( it's a vile without an extension and you'd have to open it through notepad or save it to disk rename or something along those lines) Vortex is a small amount of text anyways.

[Stormcenter]

Is it just me or does the pressure just keep rising?

Yes it's now 940mb but he still a very strong
hurricane.

[kevin]

I knew I should have looked at the temperature differences and the closed eyewall. Pressures not falling remains good... hopefully he doesn't "bomb" on us.

[otowntiger]

I don't know. Everyone is talking about this being a temporary "fluctuation" or cycling down. Much like Frances this is quite a weakening trend. I don't see it ever getting back up to where it was yesterday. Combine its current weaker condition with the interaction of mountains in Jamaica and Cuba, the forecast shear in the Gulf and the lower SSTs there, I'd say this thing will be doing good to make US landfall as a cat 2! That is great for Florida, except no one around here needs any more rain.

[HeatherAKC]

I guess it's not so top-secret now is it?

[btsgmdad]

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/NHC/

The most current recon is always the one at the bottom of the page.

[calidoug]

Thats not the best QUAD for flight level winds, folks. The surface winds are still estimated at 145 mph at 2PM.

And the organization is rapidly improving.

Check the IR!

[-=-]

I guess it's not so top-secret now is it?

It's not top secret...some information is public if you actually go there. It just isnt published information that they want to be held accountable for

[calidoug]

It's not going to miss Jamaica to the south.

Unfortunately.

[NorthGaWeather]

The recon shows a much better organized storm.

[Hurricane Cheese]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

There's the latest IR...


Doesn't Ivan have that tilted look that Hugo had coming into SC, except Hugo was tilted towards the west instead of the east!?

Also notice the large increase in deep red convection around Ivan...

[chris_fit]

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/NHC/

The most current recon is always the one at the bottom of the page.

Cool. Didn't know about that one. I went the FTP way.

Thanks

[Dean4Storms]

They keep coming west!



http://weather.net-waves.com/model.php