Ivan Advisories

AlexiBlue · #3581 Postby **AlexiBlue** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:38 pm

Calidoug, please post links to graphics, but not the graphics themselves, per the first message at the top of the main message board. Takes up too much bandwidth.

#3582 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:38 pm

an excellent discussion by Berg. Well worth reading all the way through:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWDAT.shtml?

calidoug · #3583 Postby **calidoug** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:41 pm

AlexiBlue, you are WRONG.

As has been subsequently pointed out, by me, and others, IT MAKES NO DIFFERENCE to bandwidth or database usage.

Did you even read my post here?

Did you "view source" and note that the image is pulled from the NHC server?

canegrl04 · #3584 Postby **canegrl04** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:41 pm

I knew this would happen sooner or later.A hurricane does not fizzle out in very warm water.Ivan was just taking a break. I think its very possible by the time he gets to FLorida,he could be cat 3-cat 4 :eek:

chris_fit · #3585 Postby **chris_fit** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:42 pm

LoL...

we need to lock or delete this thread

Matthew5 · #3586 Postby **Matthew5** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:42 pm

Fodie77 wrote:
Innotech wrote:winds will pick up soon. 150-155 mph borderline Cat 5 on Jamaica landfall looks likely

I pray to God you're wrong, but it does seem more and more likely at this point.

Who do you think is doing this??? Thats right its God.

Fodie77 · #3587 Postby **Fodie77** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:43 pm

Matthew5 wrote:
Fodie77 wrote:
Innotech wrote:winds will pick up soon. 150-155 mph borderline Cat 5 on Jamaica landfall looks likely

I pray to God you're wrong, but it does seem more and more likely at this point.

Who do you think is doing this??? Thats right its God.

You're absolutely right. But prayer can't hurt can it? I'm sure he'd listen to both sides of the story. :wink:

Fodie77 · #3588 Postby **Fodie77** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:45 pm

chris_fit wrote:LoL...

we need to lock or delete this thread

Yeah, God forbid the execs see we're actually trying to question them. :grr:

Derek Ortt · #3589 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:46 pm

Have seena live report from Kingston from about 5:15 p.m. an it appears as if tropical storm sustained are now occurring inland, likely somewhat stronger near the coast and there are already reports of minor flooding

Praxus · #3590 Postby **Praxus** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:46 pm

From another board:

posted September 10, 2004 05:34 PM

"I just got a text from my friend in Kingston....no power, extremely windy and its raining hard."

birdwomn · #3591 Postby **birdwomn** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:47 pm

One of my concerns is the number of people flocking to the Pensacola area, based on this forecast. Let's face it, most people don't disect the discussions the way those of us here do.

I have many family and friends in the panhandle area and I am NOT planning to evacuate to that area at this point in time for exactly the reasons that we are discussing here. I could be going from the frying pan into the fire.

#3592 Postby **HollynLA** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:49 pm

they are doing the right thing. they cant take a chance ivan takes a right turn into fla at the last second. they can change the track later.

Change the track later? When, once it's north of FL :roll:

Mello1 · #3593 Postby **Mello1** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:52 pm

chris_fit wrote:It means the official forcast is east (right) of the model consesus.

Okay. But if all of the models are leaning west, I wonder why the official forecast isn't being adjusted as well. Prudent? Or politically incorrect?

c5Camille · #3594 Postby **c5Camille** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:54 pm

Mello1 BINGO!!!!

Hurrilurker · #3595 Postby **Hurrilurker** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:54 pm

I'm assuming hPa (pressure) is the same as millibars?

Mello1 · #3596 Postby **Mello1** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:56 pm

c5Camille wrote:my impression is that they truely belive this thing
is going to go further West... and that they are not
going to change the official forcast for fear that
another "Charlie" happens... and the thing slams
east. They don't want to let West coast of Florida
to put there guard down untill they are MUCH more
certain of the track. they are covering there a$$
and i can't blame them... In reality the cone is
supposed to cover this type of fudge for them.

BTW Orrt... you are the MAN! you saw this 2 days ago...

At least that was their very explanation as to why the sharp turn to the right for Charlie ~~ that it was within the cone.

#3597 Postby **Cookiely** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 4:59 pm

What if the track were more to the center of the state and they are afraid of starting a panic and a mass exodus????

#3598 Postby **alicia-w** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 5:03 pm

Now you know what Charlie Brown felt like when Lucy pulled that football away from him....

Website · #3599 Postby **Brent** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 5:03 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

Best it has looked all day.

yoda · #3600 Postby **yoda** » Fri Sep 10, 2004 5:05 pm

Yep...

Ivan Advisories

NHC 5 p.m. gen. disc. -- Strong Ridge and.....

Ivan exploding... poor Jamaica.

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