Ivan Advisories

[Josephine96]

shifted to the right storm track? is that what you think.. In the next 2-3 days..?

[Josephine96]

Pressure is down to 918 huh? I wonder what the winds will be at the 5pm advisory?

165? 170?

[Zadok]

John 1.23: He said, I am the voice of one crying in the wilderness, Make straight the way of the Lord, as said the prophet Esaias.

[kevin]

165mph winds would crush anything.

[ursa minor]

Shell Oil is pulling their offshore workers from the rigs off of the Louisiana coast. It doesnt mean much except they are looking at the westward movement of the models, and cautious it takes alot of time to move that many people by helicopter.

[Stormtrack03]

Yea, I think so, just my opinion .

[Mister Popps]

graphics are now available at http://www.nwhhc.com/atl092004graphics.html

Are you seeing a line being punched out over the La/Ms cold front? Looking at latest watervapor loops,I am seeing Texas state outline, then a hole appears to beginning to appear in the cold front that has stalled. <p>
Am I seeing things?

[adelphi_sky]

I'd think it's those warm SSTs

[yoda]

Poweful in the Ocean Side of the Force this Hurricane has become... hmmm, yes most powerful. Feel sorry for all those in its path I do, yes yes.

[latemodel25]

why do you think that? when is the big turn to the east suppose to take place if it does? Im just north of sarasota and south of tampa. this is scarry stuff! what is the nogaps forecast does anyone know?

[Stormsfury]

I hope they never name a hurricane Adolf.

The Pacific list included Adolph ... but was removed ...

[Josephine96]

I agree with you ST.. I don't believe this panhandle scenario at all.. I'm not trying to bash the NHC but maybe they should rethink it just a tad..

[Derek Ortt]

It doesnt matter at all if this hits at low or high tide. Opal also hit at low tide. 1. There is no significant tidal range for the GHOm and 2, it doesn't matter with a storm of this intensity. The winds if it comes in as a 5 will destroy everything, anyways

[Sean in New Orleans]

It will be close---maybe Ivan will go over the extreme Western tip of Cuba, but, regardless, the island will be on the rough eastern side.

[lilbump3000]

To me in my own opinion, i feel that we have a stronger than thought high pressure and a weaker than thought trough moving through the U.S. and to me thats why i think the models might be shifting west with each run.

[Stormtrack03]

The NHC claimed all along after Cuba they are very uncertain, so lets wait till the storm hits Cuba and we will see what they say then .

[Buck]

And it isn't showing signs of stopping yet.

[Josephine96]

Yeah.. true.. Let's wait till post Cuba

[Hurricane Cheese]

WOW!!!!

IVAN, certainly a storm for the ages.


Godspeed to the Cayman Islands!!!!

[air360]

man, these all seem in very good agreement all the way through the whole forecast period...thats unusual

http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200409_model.html