Ivan Advisories

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

Dear God! Please...

No more Dyn-O-Mat stories.

Still more interesting than pin the track on the Hurricane Map...

Good one!!

[dennis1x1]

no, the worst is still around the primary eyewall..and its well offshore...the secondary wind maxima may be close to the coast....

[tallywx]

In all defense to NHC, Ivan is exactly on track with their 5 a.m. track (it'll hit the 2 p.m. location predicted at 5 a.m. spot on), so it doesn't seem to be trending any further west than the NHC currently predicts at the moment.

[jlauderdal]

just told people north of the 7 mile bridge in the keys to take your shutters down. What do you think about that? Also said in Dade and Broward we would feel no effects from Ivan. That sounds like the all clear even though the evacuation order has not been lifted and the NHC basically says we don;t know where its going due to weak steering currents.

[birdwomn]

After Ivan
1) starts to make a turn
and/or
2) crosses into the GOM

in my unprofessional opinion

[lilbump3000]

Well the keys may only experience tropical storm force winds at best. So if you need shutters for tropical storm winds, then keep them up.

[Ivanova]

It almost appears Ivan is intentionally avoiding direct hits on
these islands... it seems to be put in a direct path towards the
gates of Ishtar... or what is that ocean gateway to the
Gulf of Mexico called ??

[Aquawind]

just told people north of the 7 mile bridge in the keys to take your shutters down. What do you think about that? Also said in Dade and Broward we would feel no effects from Ivan. That sounds like the all clear even though the evacuation order has not been lifted and the NHC basically says we don;t know where its going due to weak steering currents.

Wow..Early blunder blurp..

HecK I am in the cone still as of 11am..You all could getta good blow yet..with the uncertainty of the track and the fact it's a CAT5 to remember..

[mobilebay]

it's not more right, it's the same as before. NHC refuses to move it west because of the tampabay area. If they do, they are out of the cone, then if it makes the turn like it may... Oh boy do they have PR cleanup to do with a hurricane going outside of the cone..So they are just protecting themselves. Sadly it's kinda at the risk of the people to the west. But after what florida has been through they are protecting them, and themselves for the eventually " right hook "

You are absolutly correct. 100%

[wxwatcher2]

I think one more day of waiting to evac the keys might have been wise in this case and saved a lot of people some grief.
I understand (sort of) they dynamics in a keys evacuation but, a lot of time and gas was used and where are these people staying now? I'll bet a lot of them want to go back.

I think everyone should get out of the way of a major hurricane. Maybe the keys were evacuated correctly this time. Hindsight is always so much better.

[FloridaGirl]

I live in the Fort Walton Beach area and am unsure as to what to do. I have already gassed the car and stored water and supplies, just do not know whether I want to risk the nightmare I went thru with Opal where we sat on the interstate for hours on end.

Hubby decided to take a hunting trip to Colorado last week so I am alone with plywood but cannot put it up by myself, I guess I will go begging to the neighbors. Is anyone else going to board up in this area or is it too soon to do this? My house held up well with Opal, so I think I would be OK to stay if it is a cat 3.

[abajan]

If only Grenada were so lucky...

[boca]

will not have a direct hit unless Ivan changes course. Cancun and Cozamel are more in line than Wesstern Cuba, just an opinion.

[wxwatcher2]

Well, Key West is out of the cone. Wonder if they can go back home now??

I'm not sure the cone has anything to do with it.
You aren't suggesting that NHC is more than weather oriented? Do you think they are politically pressured as well?

(I'm still in the cone)

[crabbyhermit]

I just heard on FOX or MSNBC that there is currently more traffic going in to Key West than coming out, and that they are urging people that it's not time to think you can come back just yet.

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

Well, Key West is out of the cone. Wonder if they can go back home now??

I'm not sure the cone has anything to do with it.
You aren't suggesting that NHC is more than weather oriented? Do you think they are politically pressured as well?

(I'm still in the cone)

I do not care what ANYONE SAYS! This storm is weird and it has not played by anyones rules.....Everyone should pay attention!!

[Nimbus]

Last few frames have been towards the middle of the Yucatan channel with an increased forward speed. Usually an increase in forward speed means the steering has become stronger for the direction of travel.

[Portastorm]

Nimbus, if that is true, then are you suggesting a more dedicated and consistent west-northwest passage through the Channel with less chance of the sharp right-hand turn Ivan would have to make to satisfy the current projected path?

[Guest]

looking at possible landfall around Pensacola, Fl.... not sure why the anchor woman felt inclined to say so as she was reviewing the up and coming rain chances for this week....maybe they, meaning Steve Lyons are leaning to the left. I noticed earlier he stated landfall would be most likely in western Florida panhandle.

[bfez1]

West, east, north? Geesh, which is it?
Which way is the storm moving as of right now?